snowbrag master thread

[yoga-like_abana]

  making moves

[wetwillie]

31st best team is the highest ranked NuBig12 member.  Ruh roh.

[mocat]

31st best team is the highest ranked NuBig12 member.  Ruh roh.

it's a weird time in the b12. 6 noncon losses to non-p5 teams is really bad:

baylor (texas state)
cincinnati (miami-ohio)
houston (rice)
iowa state (ohio)
oklahoma state (south alabama)
texas tech (wyoming)

for context, this is how many noncon losses to non-p5 teams the other conferences have:

B10: 1 (purdue to fresno st)
SEC: 1 (vanderbilt to unlv)
P12: 2 (asu to fresno st, stanford to sacramento st)
ACC: 4 (bc to northern ill, gt to bowling green, uva to james madison, vt to marshall)
-------
SBC: 6
MWC: 6
CUSA: 9
AAC: 10
MAC: 11

[MakeItRain]

31st best team is the highest ranked NuBig12 member.  Ruh roh.

these things are cyclical, the conference sucks this year, so what? There's no need to delineate anything further from that. Two years ago the Pac 12 was as bad as the Big 10 West is now. The SEC had like 8 of the top 10 teams, now Missouri is the 4th highest rated team, barely in the top 25.

[mocat]

31st best team is the highest ranked NuBig12 member.  Ruh roh.

these things are cyclical, the conference sucks this year, so what? There's no need to delineate anything further from that. Two years ago the Pac 12 was as bad as the Big 10 West is now. The SEC had like 8 of the top 10 teams, now Missouri is the 4th highest rated team, barely in the top 25.

yep

[wetwillie]

Which programs do you see cyclically rebounding into top 25 candidates for 24 and 25?  We certainly have quite a few programs that have the resources but the next couple year outlook to me is kind of bleak.

[mocat]

Which programs do you see cyclically rebounding into top 25 candidates for 24 and 25?  We certainly have quite a few programs that have the resources but the next couple year outlook to me is kind of bleak.

it doesn't matter which ones. if you're suggesting ksu/wvu/isu/baylor/osu/ttu/tcu/ku/cin/byu/houston/ucf will ALL be outside the top 25 in '24 and '25, that is a wager i will gladly take. preseason, midseason, end of season, doesn't matter

[wetwillie]

I'm suggesting the teams in our conference capable of recruiting well enough to be in the conversation for the new playoff format appear to not be on that trajectory in the short term.   

[mocat]

There's no reason to think somebody can't 2022 TCU their way into an all time pantsing in the cfp ccg

[MakeItRain]

Which programs do you see cyclically rebounding into top 25 candidates for 24 and 25?  We certainly have quite a few programs that have the resources but the next couple year outlook to me is kind of bleak.

Who rough ridin' knows, could be anyone. 3/4 of the conference has played for a conference championship and or been in the NY6 in the last decade. The only reason the conference is in the shape it's in this year is because of losses in the non con, that's not going to happen every year, wetwillie.

I'm suggesting the teams in our conference capable of recruiting well enough to be in the conversation for the new playoff format appear to not be on that trajectory in the short term.   

Goalpost movement aside, what does projection or more aptly in this case, perceived projection, mean in the transfer portal era? How did the Pac 12 project before they literally turned over a complete conference worth of starting quarterbacks? The transfer portal, and almost exclusively at one position, is exactly why the Pac has ascended to where they are and the SEC has fallen to their current space.

[mocat]

week 9 snowbrag

spots 1-5 remain very close, although washington was able to hang onto the top spot despite a lackluster effort against a terrible opponent. the cats are back in the t25, thanks in part to continued winning from the two teams that they have lost to.

1 washington (--)
2 michigan (+1)
3 florida st (+1)
4 ohio st (+1)
5 oklahoma (-3)
6 texas (--)
7 alabama (+3)
8 notre dame (-1)
9 oregon (--)
10 georgia (+1)
11 air force (+5)
12 james madison (+2)
13 mississippi (-1)
14 liberty (-1)
15 lsu (+6)
16 missouri (+4)
17 oregon st (+2)
18 penn st (-3)
19 north carolina (-11)
20 duke (-2)
21 usc (-4)
22 kansas st (+9)
23 miami (fl) (--)
24 louisville (+1)
25 utah (+7)

30 texas a&m (--)
40 kansas (+2)
43 arizona (-5)
44 nebraska (+4)
46 oklahoma st (+17)
49 iowa st (+1)
57 colorado (-3)
60 tcu (-11)
64 ucf (+4)
70 west virginia (-26)
74 byu (+10)
77 texas tech (-10)
80 houston (--)
94 baylor (+14)
98 cincinnati (-5)
114 arizona st (+7)

week 9 predictos

#80 houston 21
#22 kansas st 38

#5 oklahoma 40
#40 kansas 24

#87 south carolina 21
#30 texas a&m 35

#70 west virginia 29
#64 ucf 30

#90 purdue 20
#44 nebraska 26

#49 iowa st 28
#94 baylor 21

#74 byu 18
#6 texas 37

#9 oregon 29
#25 utah 21

#57 colorado 23
#28 ucla 35

#98 cincinnati 24
#46 oklahoma st 31

#39 washington st 34
#114 arizona st 21

#17 oregon st 31
#43 arizona 25

bye: missouri, tcu, texas tech

[Stevesie60]

Do more recent games have more weight in snowbrag?

[mocat]

Do more recent games have more weight in snowbrag?

no, all data is weighted equally

[mocat]

week 10 snowbrag

washington gets dropped after a 2nd straight mid performance against a turd.
some fantastic games this week!

1 michigan (+1)
2 ohio st (+2)
3 florida st (--)
4 washington (-3)
5 alabama (+2)
6 notre dame (+2)
7 oklahoma (-2)
8 texas (-2)
9 oregon (--)
10 georgia (--)
11 mississippi (+2)
12 james madison (--)
13 air force (-2)
14 liberty (--)
15 lsu (--)
16 missouri (--)
17 louisville (+7)
18 kansas st (+4)
19 penn st (-1)
20 oregon st (-3)
21 troy (+6)
22 miami (fl) (+1)
23 usc (-2)
24 tennessee (+5)
25 duke (-5)

28 texas a&m (+2)
32 utah (-7)
33 kansas (+7)
35 arizona (+8)
38 oklahoma st (+8)
39 nebraska (+5)
48 iowa st (+1)
56 tcu (+4)
59 west virginia (+11)
67 colorado (-10)
73 ucf (-9)
79 texas tech (-2)
82 byu (-8)
84 houston (-4)
95 arizona st (+19)
106 baylor (-12)
113 cincinnati (-15)

week 10 predictos

#56 tcu 28
#79 texas tech 26

#18 kansas st 24
#8 texas 27

#39 nebraska 25
#99 michigan st 18

#28 texas a&m 25
#11 mississippi 31

#95 arizona st 16
#32 utah 28

#7 oklahoma 35
#38 oklahoma st 23

#16 missouri 24
#10 georgia 31

#84 houston 29
#106 baylor 26

#73 ucf 32
#113 cincinnati 27

#82 byu 24
#59 west virginia 30

#33 kansas 28
#48 iowa st 25

#20 oregon st 37
#67 colorado 26

#27 ucla 25
#35 arizona 23

[wetwillie]

Bedlam and CTR with huge Arlington implications.  Wowza.

[MakeItRain]

Bedlam and CTR with huge Arlington implications.  Wowza.

And junior farmageddon. The top 6 teams all essentially in a one week battle royale. I cannot believe that past the halfway point in the season KU and ISU are still in firm control of reaching Arlington. I also wonder if we're the only contender that has games against 4 of the top 6 teams.

[muqluk]

Look at KU’s schedule

It’s … rough

[Spracne]

Look at KU’s schedule

It’s … rough

We were certainly done no favors. Makes me miss the round robin.

[nicname]

Look at KU’s schedule

It’s … rough

We were certainly done no favors. Makes me miss the round robin.

Rest of schedule is favorable.

[muqluk]

Look at KU’s schedule

It’s … rough

We were certainly done no favors. Makes me miss the round robin.

Rest of schedule is favorable.

Yep. They’ve already passed through half of their gauntlet where we’re just really entering it

[nicname]

Look at KU’s schedule

It’s … rough

We were certainly done no favors. Makes me miss the round robin.

Rest of schedule is favorable.

Yep. They’ve already passed through half of their gauntlet where we’re just really entering it

It's nut cutting time

[mocat]

this year's edition of the b12 is wild

[bananaeater]

this year's edition of the b12 is wild

mocat - need a couple snowbrag parlays for this weekend in the degen thread. 

I believe.

[mocat]

week 11 snowbrag

snowbrag hates the living F out of oklahoma state. they are not good at anything and yet they are 7-2 against a decent schedule. #3 luckiest team in FBS.

1 ohio st (+1)
2 michigan (-1)
3 washington (+1)
4 alabama (+1)
5 florida st (-2)
6 oregon (+3)
7 texas (+1)
8 georgia (+2)
9 mississippi (+2)
10 notre dame (-4)
11 james madison (+1)
12 oklahoma (-5)
13 louisville (+4)
14 penn st (+5)
15 liberty (-1)
16 troy (+5)
17 lsu (-2)
18 tennessee (+6)
19 missouri (-3)
20 air force (-7)
21 oregon st (-1)
22 kansas st (-4)
23 smu (+8)
24 toledo (+5)
25 utah (+7)

31 arizona (+4)
33 kansas (--)
34 texas a&m (-6)
39 oklahoma st (-1)
45 west virginia (+14)
49 iowa st (-1)
51 nebraska (-12)
68 tcu (-12)
70 texas tech (+9)
72 ucf (+1)
76 colorado (-9)
81 houston (+3)
90 byu (-8)
107 baylor (-1)
108 arizona st (-13)
114 cincinnati (-1)

week 11 predictos

#7 texas 32
#68 tcu 20

#18 tennessee 27
#19 missouri 26

#70 texas tech 25
#33 kansas 33

#64 maryland 22
#51 nebraska 23

#31 arizona 32
#76 colorado 24

#107 baylor 16
#22 kansas st 39

#25 utah 21
#3 washington 30

#39 oklahoma st 31
#72 ucf 26

#45 west virginia 21
#12 oklahoma 36

#114 cincinnati 24
#81 houston 30

#77 mississippi st 19
#34 texas a&m 31

#108 arizona st 14
#32 ucla 33

#49 iowa st 25
#90 byu 21

[mocat]

week 12 snowbrag

well well well it looks like oklahoma state is not the third luckiest team in CFB anymore

1 michigan (+1)
2 ohio st (-1)
3 alabama (+1)
4 florida st (+1)
5 georgia (+3)
6 washington (-3)
7 oregon (-1)
8 texas (-1)
9 notre dame (+1)
10 oklahoma (+2)
11 liberty (+4)
12 james madison (-1)
13 penn st (+1)
14 missouri (+5)
15 mississippi (-6)
16 louisville (-3)
17 lsu (--)
18 troy (-2)
19 oregon st (+2)
20 kansas st (+2)
21 toledo (+3)
22 smu (+1)
23 tennessee (-5)
24 iowa (+11)
25 north carolina (+5)

27 utah (-2)
31 texas a&m (+3)
33 arizona (-2)
36 kansas (-3)
44 iowa st (+5)
46 oklahoma st (-7)
55 ucf (+17)
57 nebraska (-6)
60 texas tech (+10)
61 west virginia (-16)
69 tcu (-1)
78 colorado (-2)
86 houston (-5)
97 byu (-7)
101 arizona st (+7)
107 cincinnati (+7)
112 baylor (-5)


week 12 predictos

#78 colorado 29
#84 washington st 32

#10 oklahoma 41
#97 byu 18

#107 cincinnati 22
#61 west virginia 32

#112 baylor 20
#69 tcu 34

#46 oklahoma st 30
#86 houston 24

#55 ucf 27
#60 texas tech 29

#20 kansas st 31
#36 kansas 25

#79 florida 21
#14 missouri 35

#57 nebraska 17
#59 wisconsin 21

#8 texas 28
#44 iowa st 20

#27 utah 22
#33 arizona 24

#7 oregon 42
#101 arizona st 16