2022 midterm elections

[Spracne]

Got to hand it to him ...

https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1590222138144743425?s=20&t=nGlYUpn4IpOMF6KCxmbPkw

[steve dave]

CNN National House Exit Poll

R+ 13    65+
R+ 11    45-64
D +2      30-44
D +28   18-29


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[sys]

RCP completely fanned on this, they missed damn near all of these races.

rcp is a biased source.  they haphazardly include or exclude polls from their averages based on no publicly disclosed methodology.  the 538 polling average is always a better source.

for this election, i think the split ticket average was actually a little better.  but i wouldn't suggest that they have a better methodology over the long term (i think they would say the same thing themselves, they just wanted to produce an average that didn't weight polls by pollster rating).

[DreamWeaver69]

Got to hand it to him ...

https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1590222138144743425?s=20&t=nGlYUpn4IpOMF6KCxmbPkw

lol. Go to bed new found dumpster lib $

[sys]

 

https://twitter.com/MichaelSalfino/status/1590234785892352002

[sys]

for this election, i think the split ticket average was actually a little better.

here is the split ticket average, btw.  pretty much had it in a dead heat.

https://split-ticket.org/2022-nonpartisan-generic-ballot-aggregate/

[sys]

 

https://twitter.com/Alex_Roarty/status/1590235798389100546

[MakeItRain]

for this election, i think the split ticket average was actually a little better.

here is the split ticket average, btw.  pretty much had it in a dead heat.

https://split-ticket.org/2022-nonpartisan-generic-ballot-aggregate/

Thanks for this source, I've never even seen this before, but they seemed to whiff pretty badly too

Our Final House Ratings
Introduction Split Ticket is predicting a 234 to 201 Republican House majority. That would put the GOP in similar position to the one Democrats held after the 2018 midterms. Today’s update makes 7 minor adjustments, eliminates all 17 TOSSUPS, and moves one race from LEANS DEMOCRATIC to LEANS REPUBLICAN.

[Cire]

Crazy night

Polls are completely broken.


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[Cire]

Crazy night

Polls are completely broken.


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https://twitter.com/mattgertz/status/1590317198551449601?s=46&t=Ogtfe_g3uFWY5I3mS_kelw

Welp

Time to move to Bulgaria


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[wetwillie]

So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

[Kat Kid]

Do you guys really think Fetterman competite?

Hard to say


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Lmao

[Cire]

https://twitter.com/edsbs/status/1590322132512575488?s=46&t=Ogtfe_g3uFWY5I3mS_kelw


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[WildcatNkilt]

So house and senate are now republican but just barely?

I don’t think we will know about Senate until Georgia runoff.

[TheHamburglar]

Oh well, back to being a sex worker, I guess
https://twitter.com/JordanUhl/status/1590207413176922113

NYT saying they still think she wins because the 7% is so heavy for her she’ll make it up.

[cfbandyman]

Nice to wake up and see "the red wave did not happen" per 538.

Probably a very marginally led pub house, and senate held on

So much winning

[BIG APPLE CAT]

https://twitter.com/hoodieglasnow/status/1590218187320496128

Hey. Shut up

[DreamWeaver69]

BAC said this was inevitable and that's how these things work. Weird new flex.  Also, what a dumbass video. 

[BIG APPLE CAT]

Yes I’m utterly humiliated

[Institutional Control]

I really don't give a crap about the house, just hope the Dems keep Senate so that federal judges can get approved.

Hunter Biden should probably get an apartment in DC, he's probably going to be there a lot for the next two years.

[DreamWeaver69]

Yes I’m utterly humiliated

Weird way to admit you’re an out of touch dummy

[steve dave]

I believe the google ads algo has been compromised by the spelling ITT




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[Dugout DickStone]

lmfao

[steve dave]

https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1590184921318182912

it's wild how red FL became and how blue MI became

https://twitter.com/RothTheReporter/status/1590293259490045952

[Sandstone Outcropping]

https://twitter.com/keithedwards/status/1590212487567187968

Be sure to click for a full view of the second pic in that tweet. Member of the mainstream media enthusiastically snapping pics of sad Boebert supporters: