Author Topic: 2022 midterm elections  (Read 19633 times)

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Offline XocolateThundarr

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Re: 2022 midterm elections
« Reply #100 on: November 07, 2022, 09:52:21 AM »
The good news for us in Kansas is there is no bad choice for governor other than Pyle.  Both Kelly and Schmidt would do a fine job.
@mikec2w

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #101 on: November 07, 2022, 09:53:57 AM »
I think having a split congress and executive is usually for the best. Checks and balances and all that. Though the dems were surprisingly benign when they fumbled it around aimlessly for awhile there.


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I don't think the Republicans will win the house and the senate, but even if they do, it will change absolutely nothing. The checks and balances have been bastardized so much, on the federal and many cases, state level, that our government is hopelessly broken. This is far from the democracy that was created 246 years ago. State legislatures changing laws to give governors less power, as if controlling they legislative branch isn't enough. Filibusters in the federal legislature, enacted 170 years after our founding, created to stifle civil rights, continue to block progress, for either party. We can't even have appointees for the SCOTUS and cabinet without wheeling and dealing or just flat out refusing to take votes until one side gets their way.

Neither party is at all remotely interested in governing. Gaining or maintaining power, to help raise money, is currently the only goal of both political parties. Checks and balances, as we learned in middle school civics, is long dead.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #102 on: November 07, 2022, 09:55:22 AM »
Oh look! It's Fanning wanting attention.
So mad :curse:

Offline Cire

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #103 on: November 07, 2022, 09:58:59 AM »
Pretty good thread,

I imagine that the dems will do better than wacky and his neighborhood chuds expect they will.

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1589603979344109569?s=20&t=ToUHjP2eBBpSljO7bWBCUg

Offline yoga-like_abana

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #104 on: November 07, 2022, 10:00:25 AM »
Growth of D, lmao

Offline Cire

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #105 on: November 07, 2022, 10:00:42 AM »
There's been a lot written about this, data on registrations/early voting etc not matching polling at all.

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1589599381887467520?s=20&t=3cCzFOtP5uMQWkWGPE11qg

Offline Cire

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #106 on: November 07, 2022, 10:01:41 AM »

Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #107 on: November 07, 2022, 10:02:42 AM »
Growth of D, lmao

The Ds need to stiffen up to hold the firewall in Nevada.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #108 on: November 07, 2022, 10:03:36 AM »

Offline bucket

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #109 on: November 07, 2022, 10:04:07 AM »
I'm not nearly as optimistic as Simon. I don't feel like much has gone in favor of D's the last few weeks.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #110 on: November 07, 2022, 10:05:30 AM »
I'm not nearly as optimistic as Simon. I don't feel like much has gone in favor of D's the last few weeks.
They did get Amy Shumer to host SNL this past weekend, so there is that. She tried hard too. Case closed!

Offline Spracne

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #111 on: November 07, 2022, 10:06:02 AM »
I've been saying this since August 2, but I think the beautiful women of America are a dark horse in this election.

Offline bucket

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #112 on: November 07, 2022, 10:07:36 AM »
I've been saying this since August 2, but I think the beautiful women of America are a dark horse in this election.

I've been reading suburban women aren't polling as strongly for D's.

Offline Spracne

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #113 on: November 07, 2022, 10:08:23 AM »
I've been saying this since August 2, but I think the beautiful women of America are a dark horse in this election.

I've been reading suburban women aren't polling as strongly for D's.

I have little confidence in the polls, at the moment. And possibly ever.

Offline Cire

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #114 on: November 07, 2022, 10:09:03 AM »
I've been saying this since August 2, but I think the beautiful women of America are a dark horse in this election.

I've been reading suburban women aren't polling as strongly for D's.
Polling is broken


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Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #115 on: November 07, 2022, 10:09:45 AM »
I would have given up on polls after 2016 happened if I was a dem.

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #116 on: November 07, 2022, 10:21:00 AM »
I would have given up on polls after 2016 happened if I was a dem.

The polls in 2016 were largely correct, wacky. Read something other than this board and twitter.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #117 on: November 07, 2022, 10:25:02 AM »
I would have given up on polls after 2016 happened if I was a dem.

The polls in 2016 were largely correct, wacky. Read something other than this board and twitter.
Zero people thought Trump was going to win.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #118 on: November 07, 2022, 10:27:01 AM »
 :dunno:

https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/09/why-2016-election-polls-missed-their-mark/

Quote
The results of Tuesday’s presidential election came as a surprise to nearly everyone who had been following the national and state election polling, which consistently projected Hillary Clinton as defeating Donald Trump. Relying largely on opinion polls, election forecasters put Clinton’s chance of winning at anywhere from 70% to as high as 99%, and pegged her as the heavy favorite to win a number of states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that in the end were taken by Trump.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2022, 10:32:22 AM by DreamWeaver69 »

Offline yoga-like_abana

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #119 on: November 07, 2022, 10:29:32 AM »
Polls broke, hard D's

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #120 on: November 07, 2022, 10:33:33 AM »
I would have given up on polls after 2016 happened if I was a dem.

The polls in 2016 were largely correct, wacky. Read something other than this board and twitter.
Zero people thought Trump was going to win.
Whether that's true or not has nothing to do with how right or wrong the polls were. I'm not a fan of polls, particularly for national elections, but they were correct in 2016.

Most polls are for the popular vote, those polls had Hillary beating Trump, which she did, that's not how we select our president. The states he flipped from 2012 were largely within the margin of error for those states.

Offline MakeItRain

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #121 on: November 07, 2022, 10:37:28 AM »

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #122 on: November 07, 2022, 10:47:09 AM »
Gave up on polls in 2016 -> starts thread based on polling in 2022
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #123 on: November 07, 2022, 10:49:27 AM »
mods, please merge with the elite midterm elections thread that we already have going.

Offline DreamWeaver69

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Re: #REDWAVEISCOMING
« Reply #124 on: November 07, 2022, 10:49:44 AM »
Gave up on polls in 2016 -> starts thread based on polling in 2022
I never said this.  :confused: I said if I was a dem I would have gave up on polls in 2016. Are you ok, bud? Chiefs won last night! :love: :cheers: