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Author Topic: Possible WW3 thread  (Read 464464 times)

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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2875 on: May 13, 2022, 06:41:16 PM »
Quote from: sys on May 12, 2022, 10:40:22 PM
good thread.

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1524821198403686401

What are the "difficult political choices" particularly for a dictator?
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Offline wetwillie

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2876 on: May 13, 2022, 07:24:10 PM »
Quote from: MakeItRain on May 13, 2022, 06:41:16 PM
Quote from: sys on May 12, 2022, 10:40:22 PM
good thread.

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1524821198403686401



What are the "difficult political choices" particularly for a dictator?

I assume a coup and his untimely demise
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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2877 on: May 13, 2022, 07:36:21 PM »
Quote from: wetwillie on May 13, 2022, 07:24:10 PM
Quote from: MakeItRain on May 13, 2022, 06:41:16 PM
Quote from: sys on May 12, 2022, 10:40:22 PM
good thread.

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1524821198403686401



What are the "difficult political choices" particularly for a dictator?

I assume a coup and his untimely demise

He's a dictator, that's always a possiblity, even moreso when you involve your country in what amounts to a civil war, for no reason at all. Between that and the sanctions, I can't imagine the angry and disillusioned have much more capacity for anger.
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2878 on: May 14, 2022, 06:48:35 AM »
« Last Edit: May 14, 2022, 07:55:13 AM by Sandstone Outcropping »
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Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2879 on: May 14, 2022, 04:22:57 PM »
Imagine that, an “institute” run by a Kagan of the Nuland-Kagan NeoCon Junta is declaring victory
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2880 on: May 14, 2022, 05:01:08 PM »
i didn't understand what was happening until the end of the video and had to go back and rewatch once i had that understanding.

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1525561800883937280
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Offline Spracne

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2881 on: May 14, 2022, 05:09:56 PM »
Quote from: sys on May 14, 2022, 05:01:08 PM
i didn't understand what was happening until the end of the video and had to go back and rewatch once i had that understanding.

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1525561800883937280

Can you share that understanding with me, please?
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2882 on: May 14, 2022, 05:26:30 PM »
the person or persons they were engaging were close enough to be reached with a hand-thrown grenade.
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2883 on: May 15, 2022, 04:43:32 PM »
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Offline Spracne

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2884 on: May 15, 2022, 04:44:26 PM »
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2885 on: May 15, 2022, 05:00:27 PM »
« Last Edit: May 15, 2022, 05:06:44 PM by Sandstone Outcropping »
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2886 on: May 16, 2022, 11:02:15 AM »
this seems significant to me.  a priori, i'd have thought there would be a good chance that nato nations would pressure ukraine to stop short of retaking crimea (which they still may, but this makes me rethink how likely that is).

https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1526187135568576514
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2887 on: May 16, 2022, 11:22:12 AM »
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2888 on: May 16, 2022, 11:35:32 AM »
fair bit of rumblings about russia either drafting or otherwise inducing former servicemembers to reenlist.

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1526236566833750016
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2889 on: May 16, 2022, 12:14:48 PM »
All interesting developments. I don't see why Putin doesn't just declare victory and leave rather than pouring more resources into this. I will take a lot of time to generate more forces that could be used to renew their offensive plans.
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Offline sonofdaxjones

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2890 on: May 16, 2022, 12:30:19 PM »
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2891 on: May 16, 2022, 01:44:27 PM »
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Offline Sandstone Outcropping

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2892 on: May 16, 2022, 02:32:38 PM »
Quote from: sys on May 16, 2022, 01:44:27 PM
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1526268596153987074
Does this mean they are surrendering or being exchanged for Russian prisoners that Ukraine has?
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2893 on: May 16, 2022, 02:55:32 PM »
afaik, they've surrendered.  no idea if there is also a deal for an immediate prisoner exchange.
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2894 on: May 16, 2022, 05:55:38 PM »
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2895 on: May 16, 2022, 05:57:34 PM »
Quote from: Sandstone Outcropping on May 13, 2022, 10:30:14 AM
He is very informative. Probably already posted ITT but his "War on the Rocks" podcast is worth a listen.

good recommendation.  i found this to be informative and clear-minded.

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1525608513204101121
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Offline sys

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2896 on: May 16, 2022, 06:01:06 PM »
i know there's a tendency to overemphasis russian military deficiencies in a way that gives a mistaken impression of their advantages, and i don't really want to contribute to that, and also maybe there's a good reason that isn't obvious to me why a driver would do this.

all that said, lol.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1526286755384680455
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Offline Spracne

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2897 on: May 16, 2022, 06:17:08 PM »
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Offline LickNeckey

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2898 on: May 16, 2022, 06:45:20 PM »
This guy needs to talk to Dax
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Offline Tobias

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Re: Possible WW3 thread
« Reply #2899 on: May 16, 2022, 06:46:37 PM »
not sure that guy will ever speak to anyone again
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