What was KSU-W's prediction again? 40k? I mean his modified prediction, of course. I believe his initial prediction was around 10k.
That was def his first prediction, it was stupid as hell. I do think he revised to to 40 or 50k.
I will say barring anything spectacular one way or another, I think by the end of 2020, we'll probably be pretty close to 300k (and at least past 250k), and by full calendar year (March 2021) I think we'll be probably around 400k. Now that we have entered the nearly 1000/day average pretty regularly we'll unfortunately probably hang around that value for several weeks.
“Assuming nothing crazy happens,” I think 300k by year end would be highly unlikely. 100k more by March seems even more unlikely.
Schools? People now being cooped up inside? It seems more likely to me, and this thing has powered through summer pretty well and is still slowly building.
Yeah I want to walk that back. When I wrote that I was miscalculating how many days were left in the year.
300k by year's end is certainly possible. I'd bet against it, but i'm chronically and incorrectly optimistic about this.
Hey, I don't want it to happen either, but yeah, I can understand that it seems damn near impossible that this year still has over 150 days/5 months to more to go. Feels like the end of the year should happen like two months from now, but it was like when we crossed the "100 days to election!" a few days ago and I'm like, "100 days? holy crap this is still forever away"
That's just where my calcs (guess) came from, I will admit I think 300k is probably on the high end, but like, not that high.