Idk, I think to a degree SD is right that the market will figure it out but like rn who is betting is important. Voter blocks are way more that a bunch of people who frequent bookies. If you are moving lines cause people are throwing down it's going to skew vs polling. Like yes money influences elections but like plenty of people who don't gamble vote. Whereas like with sports everyone who gambles is watching the games. You can influence the line if Vegas sees people throwing down one way or anyone cause of that "feeling" but those people are 100% watching and probably know something.
I just think rn those who are betting on the election are general bettors who are most like white bros, who are more than likely going to be trump voters.
I will say though regardless this election looks as tight as it can be. Essentially a bunch of coin flips rn.
