Author Topic: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?  (Read 5331 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 35457
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #25 on: April 06, 2020, 02:36:14 PM »
we have decent evidence (best is from the cruise ship and s korea) that the mortality rate is between 1-2%.  call it 1.5 for this.  we have 10k dead right now, but that's more an estimate of how many infected we had 3-4 weeks ago.  my guess is that between then and now we've slowed transmission pretty substantially, so i'll guess we'll have 40k more dead in four weeks.

so my guess for the true number infected + infected and recovered in the us right now would be 50k divided by 0.015 = 3.33 m.


very wide error bars, obviously (and if i was to guess from other measures, i'd probably go under that), but not wide enough to get to 30 m or 100 m or any sort of number that would be implied for many of us to have already been infected.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline Fedor

  • Katpak'r
  • ***
  • Posts: 1312
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #26 on: April 06, 2020, 09:06:15 PM »
My sis who lives in a suburb of Denver (Parker) prob has it.  Symptoms are pretty minimal.
Nope, test was negative,
I was wrong and I apologize. - michigancat 8/22/14

Offline Stevesie60

  • Fattyfest Champion
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 16731
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #27 on: April 07, 2020, 09:18:45 AM »
Yeah, there have even been some reports about it affecting male fertility. But who knows at this point.

How many people's sperm count did they take before and after them having COVID-19?

Offline 8manpick

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 17589
  • A top quartile binger, poster, and friend
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #28 on: April 07, 2020, 09:21:51 AM »
Yeah, there have even been some reports about it affecting male fertility. But who knows at this point.

How many people's sperm count did they take before and after them having COVID-19?
Whether they are testing any after, you would have to imagine there is a fairly large sample of people who have before tests and then got Covid-19.
:adios:

Offline Stevesie60

  • Fattyfest Champion
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 16731
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #29 on: April 07, 2020, 09:39:48 AM »
Good point.

Offline catastrophe

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10250
    • View Profile
Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #30 on: April 07, 2020, 12:19:12 PM »
Don’t really know, but I assume any speculation along those lines is based on data from SARS or other coronaviruses. Not necessarily observation from COVID patients.

Offline nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10969
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #31 on: April 07, 2020, 06:03:54 PM »
Aunt (Wamego) going to hospital today. :sad
Early 60s former smoker, been battling pneumonia and allergies. Her adopted grandson (lives in MHK) has Covid. Prob got from him.

Uncle dropping her off today.

:sad
« Last Edit: April 08, 2020, 02:43:19 AM by nicname »
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.


Online michigancat

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 44323
  • change your stupid avatar.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #32 on: April 07, 2020, 06:18:36 PM »
Aunt (Wamego) going to hospital today. :sad
Early 60s former smoker, been battling pneumonia and allergies. Her adopted son (lives in MHK) has Covid.

Uncle dropping her off today.

:sad
:frown:

Sorry to hear

Offline steve dave

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 73519
  • Romantic Fist Attachment
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #33 on: April 07, 2020, 06:41:19 PM »
Sorry nicname :-(


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Offline nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10969
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #34 on: April 08, 2020, 02:37:47 AM »
update. aunt was allowed to return home from hospital and is awaiting test results. hopefully this is good news.

hospital staff would not allow my uncle in at dropoff as he is not experiencing any symptoms. They are quarantining at home. I'm assuming they are assuming uncle has also been infected until further notice, though not sure. not sure if quarantining together or apart within the home.

Adopted grandson was nearly asymptomatic and only ever had slight fever for a day or two. he has also been quarantining since he tested positive. he should be fine. though i cant imagine the guilt he must be feeling.
« Last Edit: April 08, 2020, 02:42:45 AM by nicname »
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.


Offline Kat Kid

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 17315
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #35 on: April 08, 2020, 08:15:48 AM »
Sounds like my sister in law has it. Lots of symptoms, not sure if she will be able to get a test.
@bentren

Online Katpappy

  • I got my eye on you
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 9728
  • Party on gE
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #36 on: April 08, 2020, 11:02:53 AM »
My wife works at the hospital and Monday morning was told that she handled medicines that was in a COVID-19 patients' room.  They are still requiring her to work and are not going to test unless she has symptoms.  So they may be causing the whole staff to contact COVID-19.  So far no symptoms, just anxiety.     
Hot time in Kat town tonight.

Offline K-S-U-Wildcats!

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10040
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #37 on: April 08, 2020, 11:21:22 AM »
Wife works at a hospital and still hasn’t seen a single confirmed case. They’ve sent a few out for testing, all negative so far. I don’t know a single person who has had it. Zero reported cases at my employer of 500+ people. I know someone who’s former neighbor apparently had it, now recovered. So that’s like 2.5 degrees of separation.

By all anecdotal reports, this varies widely in severity, and the death rate remains virtually non-existent for people under 60 without other aggravating conditions. The Diamond Princess is not a great sample because it had a very old population.

I agree, we’re headed for deaths around 30-40k, although the “true” number of deaths caused by covid, as opposed to dying with covid but primarily from other causes, will continue to be debated for some time. In fact, at least some of our current death count is based upon “presumed” cases that weren’t even confirmed with testing. And eventually, I predict we’ll settle on estimates of somewhere around 10MM US infections this year once we have better testing.
I've said it before and I'll say it again, K-State fans could have beheaded the entire KU team at midcourt, and K-State fans would be celebrating it this morning.  They are the ISIS of Big 12 fanbases.

Online Katpappy

  • I got my eye on you
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 9728
  • Party on gE
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #38 on: April 08, 2020, 12:19:50 PM »
Worst part is we didn't have any cases until they brought in a infected COVID-19 case from rough ridin' Johnson county.  They said they needed to practice on a case so they would be ready when they start coming in.
Hot time in Kat town tonight.

Offline puniraptor

  • Tastemaker
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 20803
  • nostalgic reason
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #39 on: April 08, 2020, 03:35:30 PM »
Worst part is we didn't have any cases until they brought in a infected COVID-19 case from rough ridin' Johnson county.  They said they needed to practice on a case so they would be ready when they start coming in.
What the eff? That's not practice, idiots.

Offline catastrophe

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10250
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #40 on: April 08, 2020, 05:14:44 PM »
That would be almost hilariously negligent if true.

Offline nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10969
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #41 on: April 10, 2020, 10:59:07 PM »
Aunt is covid free. Tests came back negative. Still pretty sick from something else tho. P good news.
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.


Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 35457
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #42 on: April 10, 2020, 11:05:26 PM »
Aunt is covid free. Tests came back negative. Still pretty sick from something else tho. P good news.

glad to hear it, although i'd be a little suspicious of the test result given that she had contact with a confirmed positive.  hope she recovers asap.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.

Offline nicname

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10969
  • Deal with it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #43 on: April 11, 2020, 12:52:00 AM »
Aunt is covid free. Tests came back negative. Still pretty sick from something else tho. P good news.

glad to hear it, although i'd be a little suspicious of the test result given that she had contact with a confirmed positive.  hope she recovers asap.

Yes. very odd imo.
If there was a gif of nicname thwarting the attempted-flag-taker and then gesturing him to suck it, followed by motioning for all of Hilton Shelter to boo him louder, it'd be better than that auburn gif.


Offline Phil Titola

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 12013
  • He took it out!
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #44 on: April 11, 2020, 04:47:39 PM »
I'm going to be v pissed if they end up passing out antibody passes for those who recovered and can now do stuff and I didn't get it due to being a good boy and staying in isolation.

Offline catastrophe

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 10250
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #45 on: April 11, 2020, 06:54:55 PM »
I get mad at people who win tens of thousands of dollars betting on roulette, but I don’t wish I made the same decisions they did.

Online wetwillie

  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • ****
  • Posts: 21652
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #46 on: April 11, 2020, 11:05:21 PM »
I'm going to be v pissed if they end up passing out antibody passes for those who recovered and can now do stuff and I didn't get it due to being a good boy and staying in isolation.

Da fuq is an antibody pass
When the bullets are flying, that's when I'm at my best

Offline Justwin

  • Fan
  • *
  • Posts: 213
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #47 on: April 11, 2020, 11:24:19 PM »
I get mad at people who win tens of thousands of dollars betting on roulette, but I don’t wish I made the same decisions they did.

Except roulette doesn't have odds that favor you.  99.9% chance I don't die if I am infected.  95% chance I don't get hospitalized if I am infected.  If it was the difference between me being able to work and go places or not, I'd take those odds all day, every day.

Offline pissclams

  • Global Moderator
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 42300
  • (worst non-premium poster at goEMAW.com)
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #48 on: April 11, 2020, 11:34:10 PM »
pretty selfish take there, justwin sheesh


Cheesy Mustache QB might make an appearance.

New warning: Don't get in a fight with someone who doesn't even need to bother to buy ink.

Offline sys

  • Contributor
  • Pak'r Élitaire
  • *****
  • Posts: 35457
  • your reputation will never recover, nor should it.
    • View Profile
Re: Do You Know Anyone with COVID-19?
« Reply #49 on: April 11, 2020, 11:51:11 PM »
i don't think we're going to have antibody passports anytime in the near future.  so don't worry about missing out.
we understand it better now that the american century is over and some of us sound more and more like serbs.