Author Topic: 2020 General Election Thread  (Read 60685 times)

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Offline MakeItRain

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1525 on: October 30, 2020, 12:49:53 AM »
The early vote turnout is so high that I think difficulty voting on election day probably actually favors the democrats. You have to think that most of those who haven't already voted are likely voting Trump.

No, I don't think so. As of last week the Secretary of State expected to get 750,000 to 800,000 ballots early that will account for 50% of the total vote. As I outlined in the long post, those areas discussed in the article, especially Cedar Rapids, are reliably democratic.

Offline Cire

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1526 on: October 30, 2020, 06:40:10 AM »
Missed this but seems important.

Pennsylvania is a crap show for the Mail ins which is overwhelmingly dem

https://www.npr.org/2020/10/28/928890290/supreme-court-allows-ballot-extensions-in-pennsylvania-north-carolina-for-now 


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Online 8manpick

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1527 on: October 30, 2020, 07:57:34 AM »
Re: Iowa and late rallies — is there any evidence that late in person rallies help drive turnout for a candidate? Ads I understand, casual Jack sees the ads during the CyHawk showdown or battle or whatever, and decides he is actually going to vote.

I assume that the number of people attending a Trump (or Biden) rally at the end of October who are undecided or maybe not voting is close to zero. Am I wrong?
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Offline memphis

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1528 on: October 30, 2020, 08:02:39 AM »
I'm guessing some is wanting local news coverage but I don't think that's a very strong audience these days either.

Offline star seed 7

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1529 on: October 30, 2020, 08:32:36 AM »
I think it's mostly about pushing turnout and they also get a lot of people registered to vote at those events
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Online Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1530 on: October 30, 2020, 08:44:11 AM »
You can register to vote within a week of the election?

Rallies and TV ads seem so wasteful

Online 8manpick

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1531 on: October 30, 2020, 09:31:19 AM »
You can register to vote within a week of the election?

Rallies and TV ads seem so wasteful
I’m going to register to vote and vote this afternoon!
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Offline MadCat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1532 on: October 30, 2020, 09:35:34 AM »
I voted this morning!  :Woohoo:

Offline memphis

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1533 on: October 30, 2020, 09:45:51 AM »
Thought this was p good.

Quote
One other funny thing about this election is that because of Trump’s Electoral College advantage, there is not much middle ground between a Biden landslide and an extremely competitive, down-to-the-wire photo finish.

If Trump beats his polls by 2 points, that’s a toss-up. If Biden beats his polls by 2 points, then it’s Obama 2008, which people consider a landslide. So the Electoral College edge makes a big difference and is why there’s been this very bifurcated, binary kind of world where we seem to oscillate between, “oh, my gosh, 2016 again” and “Trump is Herbert Hoover.”

https://www.vox.com/21538214/nate-silver-538-2020-forecast-2016-trump-biden-election-podcast

Online michigancat

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1534 on: October 30, 2020, 09:49:28 AM »
You can register to vote within a week of the election?

California has election day registration. I'm guessing lots of other states who think it's a good thing for people vote do too.

Online wetwillie

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1535 on: October 30, 2020, 10:09:34 AM »
Oh crap lol
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Online Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1536 on: October 30, 2020, 11:14:08 AM »
You can register to vote within a week of the election?

California has election day registration. I'm guessing lots of other states who think it's a good thing for people vote do too.

explains Missouri laws

Offline star seed 7

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1537 on: October 30, 2020, 11:37:16 AM »
Missouri is NOT election friendly at all, it's so backwards
Hyperbolic partisan duplicitous hypocrite

Online Institutional Control

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1538 on: October 30, 2020, 11:43:05 AM »
Missouri is NOT election friendly at all, it's so backwards

You have a notary stamp your absentee ballot in MO.

Online Phil Titola

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1539 on: October 30, 2020, 11:57:29 AM »
Missouri is NOT election friendly at all, it's so backwards

You have a notary stamp your absentee ballot in MO.
The in person absentee was a nice addition.

Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1540 on: October 30, 2020, 12:27:06 PM »
Thought this was p good.

Quote
One other funny thing about this election is that because of Drumpf’s Electoral College advantage, there is not much middle ground between a Biden landslide and an extremely competitive, down-to-the-wire photo finish.

If Drumpf beats his polls by 2 points, that’s a toss-up. If Biden beats his polls by 2 points, then it’s Obama 2008, which people consider a landslide. So the Electoral College edge makes a big difference and is why there’s been this very bifurcated, binary kind of world where we seem to oscillate between, “oh, my gosh, 2016 again” and “Drumpf is Herbert Hoover.”

https://www.vox.com/21538214/nate-silver-538-2020-forecast-2016-trump-biden-election-podcast

Honestly, it's fairly true. In the EV thread I know Chings said he had a hard time seeing Biden getting 300+, IMO though I have a hard time seeing trump getting 300+, he may very well win, but if he does it'll be close, conversely that state (PA) could flip to Biden and it also be a photo finish.

However, if things are truly in Biden's camp, it could swing it's way all the way to Tejas.
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Online Trim

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1541 on: October 30, 2020, 03:32:50 PM »
Officially BidenVoter.

Offline IPA4Me

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1542 on: October 30, 2020, 04:18:50 PM »
More MAGA predicto


Offline cfbandyman

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1543 on: October 30, 2020, 04:21:46 PM »
lol at taking the house
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Offline memphis

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1544 on: October 30, 2020, 04:26:37 PM »

Offline Rage Against the McKee

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1545 on: October 30, 2020, 04:36:03 PM »
lol at keeping the white house, too.

Online steve dave

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1546 on: October 30, 2020, 07:51:25 PM »
More MAGA predicto

lmao


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Online chum1

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1547 on: October 30, 2020, 07:53:29 PM »
I'm going to check back with some of these twitter accounts if Trump loses.

Offline DaBigTrain

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1548 on: October 30, 2020, 07:55:44 PM »
I'm going to check back with some of these twitter accounts if Trump loses.

Screenshot the tweets now because they may be hard to find after he loses.
"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

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Offline sys

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Re: 2020 General Election Thread
« Reply #1549 on: October 30, 2020, 10:09:39 PM »
i'd think they'll get to 1.7 million pretty easily.  if it goes all the way to 1.8 m, that'd be amazing.


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