CoronaBro Meltdown/SARS-Covid-19 Spitballing Thread

[Trim]

The nightmare scenario for me is shitloads of white trash July 4-ish fireworks while there’s still a ban on leisure travel to Canada.

I’m close to canceling and instead committing to renting an RV and pak’n around the coast wherever there’s sure to be no bangs.

https://www.cnn.com/travel/amp/us-canada-border-coronavirus/index.html

[michigancat]

The nightmare scenario for me is shitloads of white trash July 4-ish fireworks while there’s still a ban on leisure travel to Canada.

I’m close to canceling and instead committing to renting an RV and pak’n around the coast wherever there’s sure to be no bangs.

https://www.cnn.com/travel/amp/us-canada-border-coronavirus/index.html

good luck with that, I think everyone in california will be trying to rent an RV with you. No one's gonna let us into their countries this summer and people will be desperate to get out of the house

[Trim]

The nightmare scenario for me is shitloads of white trash July 4-ish fireworks while there’s still a ban on leisure travel to Canada.

I’m close to canceling and instead committing to renting an RV and pak’n around the coast wherever there’s sure to be no bangs.

https://www.cnn.com/travel/amp/us-canada-border-coronavirus/index.html

good luck with that, I think everyone in california will be trying to rent an RV with you. No one's gonna let us into their countries this summer and people will be desperate to get out of the house

Yeah, I think I need to pull the trigger on it within a week to be safe. I saw some options that would be plenty roomy on RV versions of Airbnb sites. Most are very mod’d sprinter vans.

[sonofdaxjones]

[youtube]https://youtu.be/2SdUmsMLW0o[/youtube]

MAGA af.

was that like aussie fox & friends?

Or Aussie CNN or MSNBC?

Let me fire up the Aussie TV Sat and I'll let you know cRusty.

"I source everything through Wikipedia" (cRusty)

[DaBigTrain]

Woohoo we’re #1

https://twitter.com/robertmaguire_/status/1262850501760241671

[Spracne]

Nothing wrong with being an optimist. He's a Sudafed pack half full kinda guy.

[star seed 7]

[sonofdaxjones]

There hasn’t been a modern era pandemic yet without an estimated 75-85 million infected in the United States.

But now Useful Idiot Nation has completely lost its mind. 

Sad

[Phil Titola]

things obviously got way out of hand in those countries, but the way france and especially spain crushed their curves has been kinda impressive.  it looked like a sure thing that spain was going to outpace italy, and instead their curve down has been fairly rapid while italy sits on this long ass tail.

https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=esp&areas=ita&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=cases

It would be interesting to see how like Lombardy compared with Madrid and New York, which I thought FT used to have.

and another way of looking at it is western countries with major outbreaks are kind of converging on a pretty similar steady state.

That's pretty crazy

[nicname]

things obviously got way out of hand in those countries, but the way france and especially spain crushed their curves has been kinda impressive.  it looked like a sure thing that spain was going to outpace italy, and instead their curve down has been fairly rapid while italy sits on this long ass tail.

https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=esp&areas=ita&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&cumulative=0&logScale=1&perMillion=0&values=cases

It would be interesting to see how like Lombardy compared with Madrid and New York, which I thought FT used to have.

and another way of looking at it is western countries with major outbreaks are kind of converging on a pretty similar steady state.

That's pretty crazy

But also kind of to be expected w/ enough data points. I agree tho, the lack of variance is noteworthy.

[michigancat]

I'll admit I kinda cherry picked and it's on a log scale that makes it look closer. Like the UK is doing quite a bit worse but Canada is right in the mix too. But there really isn't a TON of difference right now among the countries with similar lockdown orders and little else (as far as I know).

[sys]

the uk is a bit different because the data are probably misleading.  there's a fair bit of evidence that they probably had an outbreak earlier than became apparent and have had about double the number of deaths reported.

if you moved their curve forward and pulled the peak up a good bit, it'd conform better to the pattern (and probably is more accurate).

[sys]

fantastic thread.

https://twitter.com/kakape/status/1262865974564392961

[sys]

Researchers in China studying the spread of the coronavirus outside Hubei province—ground zero for the pandemic—identified 318 clusters of three or more cases between 4 January and 11 February, only one of which originated outdoors. A study in Japan found that the risk of infection indoors is almost 19 times higher than outdoors. (Japan, which was hit early but has kept the epidemic under control, has built its COVID-19 strategy explicitly around avoiding clusters, advising citizens to avoid closed spaces and crowded conditions.)

Emerging evidence suggests COVID-19 patients are most infectious for a short period of time. Entering a high-risk setting in that period may touch off a superspreading event, Kucharski says; “Two days later, that person could behave in the same way and you wouldn’t see the same outcome."

from the article.

[michigancat]

yeah the article's really good too

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/why-do-some-covid-19-patients-infect-many-others-whereas-most-don-t-spread-virus-all

[DQ12]

Researchers in China studying the spread of the coronavirus outside Hubei province—ground zero for the pandemic—identified 318 clusters of three or more cases between 4 January and 11 February, only one of which originated outdoors. A study in Japan found that the risk of infection indoors is almost 19 times higher than outdoors. (Japan, which was hit early but has kept the epidemic under control, has built its COVID-19 strategy explicitly around avoiding clusters, advising citizens to avoid closed spaces and crowded conditions.)

Emerging evidence suggests COVID-19 patients are most infectious for a short period of time. Entering a high-risk setting in that period may touch off a superspreading event, Kucharski says; “Two days later, that person could behave in the same way and you wouldn’t see the same outcome."

from the article.

Damn that's wild.

[catastrophe]

In the background of all this noise it’s nice to know scientists around the world are still out there doing science stuff for us.

[michigancat]

Like I said, keep an eye on churches

definitely seems like the highest risk behavior that is most likely to be resumed by large segments of the population.

https://twitter.com/monicarhor/status/1262849640619270150

[michigancat]

Like I said, keep an eye on churches

definitely seems like the highest risk behavior that is most likely to be resumed by large segments of the population.

https://twitter.com/monicarhor/status/1262849640619270150

It was actually in March but still. Given what we're learning about transmission behavior, this is the highest risk activity.

Hopefully we can learn something about transmission at schools by August. I know Sweden kept elementary schools open and said kids didn't spread it much. But I haven't heard anything about it other than a thread specifically about Sweden.

[sys]

countries with very low incidences of cov2 opening up travel amongst themselves is kind of a no-brainer.  the interesting question is whether all the mumped up countries are also gonna have an "ah, eff it" travel partnership.

https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1263009734640066560

[steve dave]

https://twitter.com/AdamParkhomenko/status/1262908923255894018

[DQ12]

We're shooting for <1600 today.

[Phil Titola]

Touch away at stuff!

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/cdc-coronavirus-mainly-spreads-through-persontoperson-contact-and-does-not-spread-easily-on-contaminated-surfaces-153317029.html

[ben ji]

https://twitter.com/AdamParkhomenko/status/1262908923255894018

 

[catastrophe]

Touch away at stuff!

https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/cdc-coronavirus-mainly-spreads-through-persontoperson-contact-and-does-not-spread-easily-on-contaminated-surfaces-153317029.html

Would like to see a more sciency confirmation of this, but yeah the data seems to really bolster this.