Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own!

[Trim]

Anything worth voting on up here?

[star seed 7]

Anything worth voting on up here?

I used the address for century link

https://ballotpedia.org/Sample_Ballot_Lookup?utm_source=ballotpedia&utm_campaign=sample_ballot_frontpage#address=800+occidental+Ave+s+Seattle%2C+WA+98134&election=2018-11-06

[Trim]

Anything worth voting on up here?

I used the address for century link

https://ballotpedia.org/Sample_Ballot_Lookup?utm_source=ballotpedia&utm_campaign=sample_ballot_frontpage#address=800+occidental+Ave+s+Seattle%2C+WA+98134&election=2018-11-06

I have the giant pamphlet already. I mean are there any that are close calls and for which who wins matters much?

[sys]

It's good news for Beto, I don't really draw any conclusions for anyone else

You guys are very sensitive about data, yikes

just
If voters over 65 were already outvoting voters under 30 by 3 to 1 or more, I'd say it's bad news for Beto. I have no idea what normal ratio is, though.

there are tons of ways it could be either good or bad for beto regardless of the ratio.  i listen to the nv early vote and i look at the fl early vote (but trust it much much less).  everywhere else it's just narrative (for now, until someone proves out a pattern).

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

You guys have never been to Texas, have you?

[K-S-U-Wildcats!]

drawing 0 conclusions I would say that increased voter turnout is good for america in general

I’ve never understood this sentiment. How is it “good for America” to increase turnout among those that are presently too lazy, disengaged, or ignorant to bother to vote? Do we really want more people at the polls because they got a vote reminder from T-Swift or Kanye?

I’m not saying we should actively work to disenfranchise these dullards, but I’m also not saying we should go out of our way to get them to a ballot box.

Anyway, this is off topic so I’ll leave it there. I guess both sides think their voters are “smarter” - but damn both sides should at least be able to agree that there are already too many dumbasses voting.

[wetwillie]

drawing 0 conclusions I would say that increased voter turnout is good for america in general

I’ve never understood this sentiment. How is it “good for America” to increase turnout among those that are presently too lazy, disengaged, or ignorant to bother to vote? Do we really want more people at the polls because they got a vote reminder from T-Swift or Kanye?

I’m not saying we should actively work to disenfranchise these dullards, but I’m also not saying we should go out of our way to get them to a ballot box.

Anyway, this is off topic so I’ll leave it there. I guess both sides think their voters are “smarter” - but damn both sides should at least be able to agree that there are already too many dumbasses voting.

Rich white land owning males should vote and everyone else can eff off is what I always say

[catastrophe]

Back when America was great...

[catastrophe]

But really I don’t completely disagree with KSUW.  We should be focused on increasing information for voters just as much as increasing turnout. I think if you can do that, turnout will inevitably follow. It is currently very difficult to get information on most election races, which understandably makes people less interested unless they are dummies who just want to vote straight ticket.

[chum1]

Bad news for the crowd who thinks fewer should vote.

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1057611494223949824

[Rage Against the McKee]

But really I don’t completely disagree with KSUW.  We should be focused on increasing information for voters just as much as increasing turnout. I think if you can do that, turnout will inevitably follow. It is currently very difficult to get information on most election races, which understandably makes people less interested unless they are dummies who just want to vote straight ticket.

I think a lot of positions should be appointed instead of elected. No reason I should be voting on state treasurer, district attorney, or secretary of state.

[steve dave]

old people love voting. you take those positions and local elections and bond crap away from them and all they have to look forward to is getting the mail every day the second the mailman comes.

[treysolid]

But really I don’t completely disagree with KSUW.  We should be focused on increasing information for voters just as much as increasing turnout. I think if you can do that, turnout will inevitably follow. It is currently very difficult to get information on most election races, which understandably makes people less interested unless they are dummies who just want to vote straight ticket.

It's not even about getting more information out, it's about getting accurate information out. Start by overturning Citizens United and outlawing superPACs.

[Rage Against the McKee]

old people love voting. you take those positions and local elections and bond crap away from them and all they have to look forward to is getting the mail every day the second the mailman comes.

They still get to vote. It might only take them 20 minutes instead of 40 to adjust their glasses and think hard about each choice before choosing the republican, but they can still go to the coffee shop (McDonalds) afterward, talk about it with their friends, and give a good tongue lashing to the one dumbass at the shop who voted for a democrat on accident.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

I'm not gonna lie, when you consider that half of the population has an IQ under 100, I'm not sure greater participation is a positive.

I'm also pretty confident that, given how many new voters trump has engaged, increased turnout is not good for the left-o-whackadoos.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

Like, if you think increased voter turnout is good for libtards, you've probably never talked to a libtard. They'd lose a job (best day ever!) over casting a vote on some menial matter.

[wetwillie]

I'm not gonna lie, when you consider that half of the population has an IQ under 100, I'm not sure greater participation is a positive.

I'm also pretty confident that, given how many new voters trump has engaged, increased turnout is not good for the left-o-whackadoos.

The new trump voters are the under 100 crowd, quite the pickle really.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

Anecdotally speaking, the nevertrump  sky is falling delusionatards are the same people walking around on some random Tuesday in april with an "I Voted" sticker proudly plastered to their stupid vest. These are the same people who were politically active (and be extension, insufferable dorks) in college.

On the other hand, the people I know that love trump have almost certainly never voted in their life, or very rarely vote.

It will be interesting to see how this turns out.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

I'm not gonna lie, when you consider that half of the population has an IQ under 100, I'm not sure greater participation is a positive.

I'm also pretty confident that, given how many new voters trump has engaged, increased turnout is not good for the left-o-whackadoos.

The new trump voters are the under 100 crowd, quite the pickle really.

The Republicans aren't the ones setting up registration tents in the country's shittiest neighborhoods, wetwillietard.

[I_have_purplewood]

I probably will see more 'I voted' posts on FB next week which is getting me real excited.  You know, if I um, get on FB and stuff to see.

[star seed 7]

Post your predictions pwood

I think at least +1 in the Senate.  I'm not quite sure yet on the House but I'll do some p-wood surveying and get back with you.

 

[sys]

here's the latest on nv and fl early voting.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog
http://steveschale.squarespace.com/blog/2018/10/31/6-days-out-florida.html

both are very consistent with close elections, as the polls have been.  interestingly, though, the nv early vote looks slightly positive for the dems and the fl early vote looks slightly positive for the pubs, which is the opposite of polls (although rosen added a good poll today).

[K-S-U-Wildcats!]

Bad news for the crowd who thinks fewer should vote.

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1057611494223949824

The 2018 early vote is exceeding "*total*" 2014 vote? Ummmm.... 

[K-S-U-Wildcats!]

OT, but it's kinda weird that Hillary clearly lost because of husbands voting for their wives, yet Dems are still in favor of any initiative to remove voting from the polling place.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/03/13/like-it-or-not-studies-suggest-that-clinton-may-not-be-wrong-on-white-women-voting-like-their-husbands/

[star seed 7]

Early voting totals, it could have been worded better