538 is giving biden an 86% chance of winning right now. i think it's higher than that.
We'll see, I like 538 a lot, and I think Nate has been saying that if the election was like, today, it'd be like 95 to 5 (so 19 to 1 obv) but there is some margin at play since it could revert back to the mean, or stay as is. We're pretty close to 7 to 1 right now.
It has been quite impressive to see Biden just polling very well in the trio of states of Penn-Wisky-Michigan. It's also gotta be concerning to trump to see FL also turning that way as well. NC and Zona are close to that as well.
All in all, when GA and Iowa and Ohio are in the toss up zone, and Biden's polls have been very consistent if not getting a tick stronger, it looks, as of today, like it's not going to be really be a close one. But still too much time to go IMO