Author Topic: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?  (Read 21445 times)

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Offline chum1

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #225 on: November 08, 2016, 10:30:13 AM »
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With 32,071 voters casting ballots, Democrat Clinton received 71.63% of the vote. Republican Donald Trump received 24.16%, and Socialist candidate Emidio Soltysik — the only third-party candidate on the ballot — received  4.22%.
...
While the result of the Guam election has no bearing on the national election, it may be an indicator of how the rest of the country will vote. Residents here have correctly chosen the winner of each presidential race since 1980, when the first straw poll for president was conducted.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/11/08/hillary-clinton-overwhelmingly-wins-guam/93471844/

Offline chum1

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #226 on: November 08, 2016, 11:54:18 AM »
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A Gallup poll released last month showed a 28-point increase in FiveThirtyEight employees savagely owning me in private Slack channels. Another recent poll from YouGov showed a 12-point bump (from the same time last year) in those who would pay to watch my lifeless body slide down the side of a mountain.

https://medium.com/@and0/election-update-how-our-model-works-8acb97202277#.wqd2dbphy

Offline Mrs. Gooch

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #227 on: November 08, 2016, 04:17:11 PM »
Half-baked election idea:

Election still decided by electoral votes, but to get the presidency the winner has to have gotten some minimum percentage of all votes cast nationally (40%?).  If the electoral winner doesn't hit that mark, new election between new candidates. 

Voters are motivated to vote none of the above or write in something ridiculous if they don't like either.

I need help thinking how the calendar for this would work to be able to get someone picked in time.  Would parties need to have someone on deck if their 1st round candidates don't have what it takes?

I like this idea but there are going to be complications on how you determine which ballots count in the "all votes cast". If the field is left blank, does that count? If they write in a fictional character, does that count? If they write in a name that was not an official write in candidate, does that count?

Any ballot cast, no matter what it has on it - blank, absurd, whatever. Might have to lower the minimum % of those ballots won for the electoral winner to earn the presidency.

An alternative method would be having a quorum on the number of ballots that have to be cast for the election to stand, but that would discourage voting on the non-presidential matters on the ballot.  Maybe have an official "none of the above" or "abstain" option on the ballot that would be scored to determine if the electoral winner has enough national support to take office.

The timing is the tricky part.

You'd need a None of The Above option to differentiate between people who specifically want to vote for no one and people who don't want to vote for President at all but submitted their ballot so they could vote for other offices.



Neil must be reading this blog.

Offline Trim

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #228 on: November 08, 2016, 04:53:43 PM »
On my ballot, I wrote in CK for president.  In my system, that would count as a presidential vote for which the electoral winner would have to get a minimum % of.  If I'd left it blank, it wouldn't count towards that total. 

Offline CNS

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #229 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:33 PM »
I know you mean curt and not that brain dead super relig qb.

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Offline john "teach me how to" dougie

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #231 on: November 08, 2016, 08:19:38 PM »
 RE: OP

The answer is no.

Offline Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #232 on: November 08, 2016, 08:21:11 PM »
This county by county crap annoys me for some reason.
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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #233 on: November 08, 2016, 08:32:01 PM »
If Trump wins does apocalypse start tomorrow or January 20? Same question, only Hillary?
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Offline 420seriouscat69

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #234 on: November 08, 2016, 08:48:05 PM »
Lol. This thread. :lol:

Offline steve dave

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #235 on: November 08, 2016, 08:58:13 PM »
Everyone rub chum's stupid face in his stupid face!

Offline 420seriouscat69

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #236 on: November 08, 2016, 08:59:08 PM »
 :ROFL:

Offline chum1

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #237 on: November 08, 2016, 09:06:54 PM »
 :cool:

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #238 on: November 08, 2016, 09:10:09 PM »
Trump is up 130k in FL with 99% reporting. It's over right?
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Offline steve dave

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #239 on: November 08, 2016, 09:11:36 PM »
Yes

Offline 420seriouscat69

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #240 on: November 08, 2016, 09:13:05 PM »
 :combofan:

Offline Tobias

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #241 on: November 08, 2016, 09:13:36 PM »
i think so

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #242 on: November 08, 2016, 09:15:33 PM »
How is Michigan in play for orange hitler?
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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #243 on: November 08, 2016, 09:16:10 PM »
Betting odds 75% trump per Stossel
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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #244 on: November 08, 2016, 09:17:36 PM »
Nate Tinfoil 60% clinton
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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #245 on: November 08, 2016, 09:23:42 PM »
ABC called OH for Trump
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Offline sys

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #246 on: November 08, 2016, 09:24:44 PM »
Nate Tinfoil 60% clinton

that's not based on voting result tho, just a crippled version of his polls model.  nyt has a model based on voting that's around 80% trump (jumps around a lot).
"a garden city man wondered in april if the theologians had not made a mistake in locating the garden of eden in asia rather than in the arkansas river valley."

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #247 on: November 08, 2016, 09:30:38 PM »
Nate Tinfoil 60% clinton

that's not based on voting result tho, just a crippled version of his polls model.  nyt has a model based on voting that's around 80% trump (jumps around a lot).

 :surprised:  They need to pravda that poll
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Offline CNS

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #248 on: November 08, 2016, 09:35:39 PM »
Clinton needs to do hari kari during her consession speech if she loses, imo

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Re: Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?
« Reply #249 on: November 08, 2016, 09:38:12 PM »
Clinton needs to do hari kari during her consession speech if she loses, imo

You've seen Valkarie?  When they show up at Goebbels' office?  That's the scene.  Only she bites the capsule.