Is this the earliest a Presidential election outcome has been determined?

[Panjandrum]

same cnn poll had clinton up in penn and florida, so they don't really even need to bother counting the votes in nevada.

There's a thin line if he wins every toss up state and flips NH or Colorado.

Though Trump hasn't lead a single Colorado poll (that I've seen) for over a month, and even then, it was basically tied or +1.  Same with New Hampshire.  She's been holding pretty steady leads in both states from the get go.

[steve dave]

people are humiliated to say they're voting for trump in polls though. assume 5% of trump voters are saying they're voting for johnson because of their shame he's right there.

[star seed 7]

people are humiliated to say they're voting for trump in polls though. assume 5% of trump voters are saying they're voting for johnson because of their shame he's right there.

People like dax

[Tobias]

That's a great point lib

[star seed 7]

Thank you

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

My new favorite thing is to post poll results favoring trump, and then watch Panflute and Syst explain them away based upon anecdotes, irrational/unfounded assumptions, or glorious illogical transitive scoring principles.

It's bizarre bow desperate they are to convince themselves everything is a-ok in camp hillcrook.

[Panjandrum]

Four new state polls from Quinnipac, all of them from 10/27-11/1.

NC: Clinton +3
FL: Clinton +1
PA: Clinton +5
OH: Trump +5

[SkinnyBenny]

My new favorite thing is to post poll results favoring trump, and then watch Panflute and Syst explain them away based upon anecdotes, irrational/unfounded assumptions, or glorious illogical transitive scoring principles.

It's bizarre bow desperate they are to convince themselves everything is a-ok in camp hillcrook.

Dang, three cool new nicknames all shoehorned into one post.

[sys]

i'm enjoying it too, fsd.  please continue.

[Panjandrum]

My new favorite thing is to post poll results favoring trump, and then watch Panflute and Syst explain them away based upon anecdotes, irrational/unfounded assumptions, or glorious illogical transitive scoring principles.

It's bizarre bow desperate they are to convince themselves everything is a-ok in camp hillcrook.

Not really Camp Hillary as much as Camp Oh Dear God Not Him, Anyone But Him, AHHHHHHHHH

[star seed 7]

I'm loving it

[chum1]

I polled myself just now and Clinton is up by 100% in Ohio. I'll update this thread every time I do a poll.

[Panjandrum]

Times-Picayune polls:

AZ: Trump +1
CO: Clinton +7
NV: Clinton +7
NM:  Clinton +8

Veritas better do some more work.

[sys]

panj, please don't smoke your cigars out this thread.

[cfbandyman]

panj, please don't smoke your cigars out this thread.

Eh, he's just going to fivethirtyeight and pulling the update polls. That being said, it's interesting seeing how each poll, or poll grouping posts affects the win % on there.

Part of me (the silly, indulgence side) is starting to thing the polls are getting close just to create even more drama. Why wouldn't a vast media conspiracy collude together to tighten the polls near the end? Get everyone in a frenzy! Who will win? It's close! Freak out! ... Profit $$$

[star seed 7]

Polls are tearing this bbs apart

[john "teach me how to" dougie]

people are humiliated to say they're voting for trump in polls though. assume 5% of trump voters are saying they're voting for johnson because of their shame he's right there.

This is true

[john "teach me how to" dougie]

Six days before Election Day in 2012, Democrats in Florida had cast about 39,000 more votes than Republicans. Today, six days before Election Day 2016, Republicans have cast about 17,000 more votes than Democrats.

[Cire]

Pennsylvania is more important than florida.

[420seriouscat69]

people are humiliated to say they're voting for trump in polls though. assume 5% of trump voters are saying they're voting for johnson because of their shame he's right there.

This is true

Yeah, consider me one of them, until right this second of course.

[420seriouscat69]

I just hate Hillary so rough ridin' much. Everything about her is awful. At least Trump will entertain me some and cut my taxes. Sorry he offends some of you. 2016 turned america into a bunch of pussies. Thanks Obama!

[steve dave]

Thanks Obama!

Obama would win the biggest landslide election in the history of our country if he could run for a third term

[420seriouscat69]

Thanks Obama!

Obama would win the biggest landslide election in the history of our country if he could run for a third term

For sure.

[stunted]

Thanks Obama!

Obama would win the biggest landslide election in the history of our country if he could run for a third term

Damn

[star seed 7]

Sd, I would vote for barry over my write in person