Would they even make more money in the Big 10? I keep seeing conflicting information. It seems kind of ridiculous to take a pay cut because you are so tired of being in K-State's shadow, but I guess I wouldn't put it past them.
Yes. With our new TV contract, the Big 12 schools are making roughly the same amount of money as Big Ten schools make with their old TV contract. In three years when the new Big Ten contract is signed and they start getting paid, the Big Ten will be making WAY more than the Big 12 (and probably everyone else).
Money isn't in Tier 1. At this point, the Big Ten gets something like $100 million a year to distribute among it's 12 members from T1. There won't be a substantial increase in volume because whoever buys their Tier 1 rights will still have limited slots to show them because they have limited air time.
The Big Ten will get an over-inflated value for their T1 rights, but it's not going to be this gigantic increase. Even if they got $140 million annually, that would be $10 million per school, which would be like a $1-2 million bump.
Tier 2 is where you make your money because of the sheer volume of content that you can provide, and the BTN is where all of that money comes from. And it's not this gigantic cash cow that people make it out to be. It generally pays out about $7-9 million a year. And that's not up for negotiation in 2016.
Honestly, if we end up falling behind, it may end up being by a couple million, max. Those extra four slices they'll need to carve off, and then a little tiny bit more for Johns Hopkins, will really keep us in the same wheelhouse.