If aTm leaves, then EVERYTHING hinges on how MANY schools the SEC gobbles up.
If the SEC sits tight with aTm plus one more, then we'll ask ND to join us and they'll say "GTFOOMF," and we'll prolly grab the Mormons (WAY more TV's than TCU).
If the SEC gets greedy and goes all super-conference, then ND has to listen to us.
Facts, bros.
Correct.
One and we're fine. The problem is that even if the SEC only expands to 14 this round, it's only a matter of time for the 16 team super conference scenario to run it's course in the next year or two. The Big 10 and Pac 12 have ready shown they won't be one upped.
My concern is even if we bring on BYU or TCU, we're right back where we were next season. I also think it's going to be close to impossible to add BYU for that reason. They've got a good deal as an independent - not sure they see the value.
The Big Ten would be the first to jump. They have the infrastructure to do it with their own network, and adding schools adds inventory, gets them into more markets, and then makes states (like Missouri should they jump) pay more for access to that channel, adding profit to the BTN.
I think the SEC would be a little more reserved. They may go to 16 eventually, but it would require them reworking their deals with CBS and ESPN otherwise they're splitting the same money four more ways. It would be a long term investment, but I don't think they're really going to be squabbling with the Big Ten over the same schools, so they can take their time.
Larry Scott is just going to get on his knees and service whoever he can to get 16 BCS teams west of the Mississippi.
The SEC has to rework their deals, and until they do, they're splitting food between two more mouths.