We need 3 more wins to guarantee a .500 record. That's not that absurd...
In the unlikely event that we do pick up 3 more wins this season that far from guarantees us a nit bid. The last team selected last year was WVU; they entered the nit 2 games above .500, a .500 conference record and a RPI of 90, we're currently 107. So to reach the minimum standard we would have to pick up multiple upset wins then we'd likely still have to win another game. The kenpom odds have to be around or under 10%.
Actually, we are 95 in RPI and 72 in BPI. Every game remaining besides TCU, is against a top 30 RPI team. Get hot and go 4-1 or 5-0 and win a couple games in the Big 12 tourney and K-State could hypothetically sneak into the NCAA tournament. Not likely, but who knows. Its a weak year for bubble teams.
Not sure what you're looking at but we're absolutely 107 in the rpi
http://realtimerpi.com/rpi_Men.html also the bpi is stupid and it isn't a metric used by the committee, if you're going off of the board kenpom is better.
Also the weak bubble thing is non-existent, the bubble looks exactly like it did every other year of the 68 team era because math. Bubble teams are usually two things and this year is no different; a team with a winning percentage around .550-.600 with a few top 50 wins but bad losses (Miami, Purdue, Seton Hall) or a team around .750 or better with little to no top 50 wins but 1 or fewer bad losses(Boise, GW, LSU). This year is no different.