2014 Handicapping Thread -- Degenerates ONLY

[cDubya]

BP, I want to be mad you aren't taking the WVU-4(now down to 3 1/2), but I can't be. Your assessment reverberated deeper than I wished it had, and I think you're spot on. Still, LET'S GO... Gotta believe we'll own UT in Austin again this year!!

To be fair, I'm not going to play either side and there's no "fandom" involved either way.  I think your 'eers are a considerably better team, however there's no way I'm gonna back them financially to recover from that heartbreak against a group of very good athletes who MUST win to keep any hopes of a bowl game alive.

Yep, well said. Objectively speaking, this week has set up for a classic let-down game. And Texas being extra eager to prove they're not as piss-poor as everyone thinks won't help.

Okay, sorry for the de-rail...

[Mixed-Nutz]

Early plays locked in:

Auburn -21
K-State +6
LSU +7

Added:

OU -5
Iowa St -3

Is OU the easiest bet of the weekend?

They are going to smack that ass. Best value bet is us on the money line. WVU/Texas and KU/ISU scare the hell out of me.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

We see the OU/Baylor game as a 10-14 point game with OU playing on revenge angle, so there seems to be a ton of value there.  By The512's algo, we have 8 pts of line value.  Throw in Mangino's desire to embarrass lil bro, and that should be a solid play too.

My guy doesn't release ML's til later in the week, but I'll have a bit on the LSU and K-State ML too.

[mocat]

SMU is just a great big cash cow that you always bet against, no matter how shitty their opponent:

Tulsa -14
Idaho +20.5
UTEP +8
Washington +6.5
Wake Forest +21
Appalachian State -4.5


i'm not super confident on anything this week, but those ^ are my strongest plays

[mocat]

i can't seem to find a line on the Marshall @ Southern Miss game, you guys?

[Bqqkie Pimp]

i can't seem to find a line on the Marshall @ Southern Miss game, you guys?

It's off the board everywhere for some reason, however vegasinsider shows a suggested line of 26

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Skip ahead to the 2min mark



 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Final Card:

Auburn -21
K-State +6/ML
LSU +7 (bought hook)
ou -5
Notre Dame +3
Utah +8
Michy State -3 (bought hook)
UTSA +10
Iowa State -3
App State -4 (bought hook)

Good Luck!!

[mocat]

Tulsa -14
Idaho +20.5
UTEP +8
Washington +6.5
Wake Forest +21 
Appalachian State -4.5

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Tulsa -14
Idaho +20.5
UTEP +8
Washington +6.5
Wake Forest +21 
Appalachian State -4.5

Good call sir!!

[Mixed-Nutz]

Preparation (Insider Note): Last week I talked to a source who has never led me astray, and he told me an interesting note that I didn’t divulge on the site because I figured it would cause a stir before the Iowa State game. Now that OU has demolished Iowa State, I feel comfortable passing the info along. I was told that OU actually used much of the bye week, and some of the Iowa State prep week, working on Baylor. That means, according to my source (again, I can’t recall a time he’s ever been wrong), OU has been preparing for Baylor for the better part of three weeks.

 

BIG BIG MONEY ON OU!!!!!!

[XocolateThundarr]

Preparation (Insider Note): Last week I talked to a source who has never led me astray, and he told me an interesting note that I didn’t divulge on the site because I figured it would cause a stir before the Iowa State game. Now that OU has demolished Iowa State, I feel comfortable passing the info along. I was told that OU actually used much of the bye week, and some of the Iowa State prep week, working on Baylor. That means, according to my source (again, I can’t recall a time he’s ever been wrong), OU has been preparing for Baylor for the better part of three weeks.

 

BIG BIG MONEY ON OU!!!!!!

 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Final Card:

Auburn -21 
K-State +6/ML 
LSU +7 (bought hook) 
ou -5 
Notre Dame +3 
Utah +8   
Michy State -3 (bought hook) 
UTSA +10 
Iowa State -3 
App State -4 (bought hook) 

Good Luck!!

My apologies to any and all who may have tailed me yesterday... Have a had a good run this fall, but that was literally the WORST card I've ever turned in... ever. Just awful.

0-8-2 for the week, now 100-67-7 for the season

On to the next week.

[8manpick]

Preparation (Insider Note): Last week I talked to a source who has never led me astray, and he told me an interesting note that I didn’t divulge on the site because I figured it would cause a stir before the Iowa State game. Now that OU has demolished Iowa State, I feel comfortable passing the info along. I was told that OU actually used much of the bye week, and some of the Iowa State prep week, working on Baylor. That means, according to my source (again, I can’t recall a time he’s ever been wrong), OU has been preparing for Baylor for the better part of three weeks.

 

BIG BIG MONEY ON OU!!!!!!

 

[The Big Train]

good thing i was only using my play farms 

[8manpick]

I'm worried that BOWTRUSS doesn't appropriately rate mid-majors, however, here are my plays this week:

Buffalo +3.5
Buffalo ML +150
Miami +3
USF -12
Idaho -4.5
Appalachian State +14
Ga. Southern +3
TCU -28.5
Rice +21
Pitt +2
W. Michigan -26
ECU -2.5
Bowling Green -13.5

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Locked in so far:

East Carolina -2.5
Penn State -11
Va Tech +5
Pig Aggy -2
Florida -6
Da U +1.5
Ga Southern +3.5
Idaho -5.5
North Texas +6.5

[cDubya]

I'm worried that BOWTRUSS doesn't appropriately rate mid-majors, however, here are my plays this week:

Rice +21

Will be attending and participating in pregame for this one. Rice can have the 21, but this is one game I'll really root for the Herd.

[GoodForAnother]

Al Golden 14-2 ATS as home dog 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Al Golden 14-2 ATS as home dog 

 

[mocat]

Al Golden 14-2 ATS as home dog 

were they favored in The Stand game?

[The Big Train]

im taking a week off from putting farms on the games, last week was a brutal one

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Locked in so far:

East Carolina -2.5
Penn State -11
Va Tech +5
Pig Aggy -2
Florida -6
Da U +1.5
Ga Southern +3.5
Idaho -5.5
North Texas +6.5

Bama -8

[BostonPancake]

Al Golden 14-2 ATS as home dog 

were they favored in The Stand game?

Yes, they were a 12.5 pt favorite.

['taterblast]

let's do this, bp