Under.
We have to replace virtually our entire starting defense. Our starters are going to be of dubious quality and there is zero depth behind them. The inevitable injuries that take place will take their toll. I expect a defense similar to 2010.
We lost both our punter and our place-kicker, both of whom had been brillant over the past couple of years.
With the departure of Klein, we have to replace most of our offense. Defenses were forced to account for CK, which allowed a little guy like Hubert to have some success, which in turn allowed us to open up the playbook a little and also allowed us to chew up the clock and shorten the games. I assume Sams will start because he's the bigger threat to carry the ball, but I still don't expect a rushing attack anywhere near as good as what we've had the last couple of years. The offense will not be as prolific AND it will not possess the ball for the large majority of the game, exposing the weak defense even more.
Our schedule helps us. We have three pud non-con games, plus home games against teams like ISU, WVU and BU, and a road game at KU to help get us to six wins. I don't see us winning more than one roadie and I don't see us knocking off TCU or OU at home.
I think 6-6, with a chance at 7-5.
Games we should win: NDST, UMass, ULL. We need to go 3-0.
Games we can win, but it will be tough: ISU, WVU, BU, KU. We need to go 3-1
Games we will not win: TCU, OU, OSU, UT, TT. We'll likely go 0-5