Author Topic: Rest of the way - WHAT DO WE HAVE TO DO TO WIN THE BIG 12* (Read 7024 times)

OU/KU split in 05-OU won regular season meeting 71-63
KU/UT split in 06- Texas won regular season meeting 80-55
KU/UT split in 08- UT won regular season meeting 72-69

MakeItRain · « **Reply #56 on:** February 21, 2013, 11:22:29 AM »

Quote from: steve dave on February 21, 2013, 07:44:26 AM

the line for the Hoi/Drew superfanfest starts behind me guys

reluctantly walks behind steve dave

kso_FAN · « **Reply #57 on:** February 21, 2013, 11:23:49 AM »

Quote from: MakeItRain on February 21, 2013, 11:22:29 AM

Quote from: steve dave on February 21, 2013, 07:44:26 AM
the line for the Hoi/Drew superfanfest starts behind me guys

reluctantly walks behind steve dave

We got this.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #58 on:** February 21, 2013, 11:40:16 AM »

Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 21, 2013, 11:23:49 AM

Quote from: MakeItRain on February 21, 2013, 11:22:29 AM
Quote from: steve dave on February 21, 2013, 07:44:26 AM
the line for the Hoi/Drew superfanfest starts behind me guys

reluctantly walks behind steve dave

We got this.

please stop this is already uneasy enough for me. I'm standing in this line with a bag on my head. Remember that guy with the Husker Hater blog? That's how I feel here.

kso_FAN · « **Reply #59 on:** February 21, 2013, 11:42:24 AM »

Yes it's hard, but winning the league is on the line. You've got to do whatever it takes.

yoga-like_abana · « **Reply #60 on:** February 21, 2013, 11:42:58 AM »

Hoiberg and his magic shtick

Stevesie60 · « **Reply #61 on:** February 21, 2013, 12:57:39 PM »

Didn't beyondthebets point out how insane Self has been on Big Monday? Maybe it was just in Allen Fieldhouse, because I'm pretty sure the 2011 K-State game wasn't taken into account.

catzacker · « **Reply #62 on:** February 21, 2013, 01:05:43 PM »

Bill is going to F Hilton like she was an female student at KU.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #63 on:** February 21, 2013, 01:32:15 PM »

Quote from: catzacker on February 21, 2013, 01:05:43 PM

Bill is going to F Hilton like she was an female student at KU.

Have you been watching? I bet they lose by at least 7. Bill can't make his players shoot better on the road. ISU doesn't have the scoring issues that OSU does. They played 50 minutes of basketball and couldn't get to 70. They hit 3 field goals the last 15 minutes of that game last night.

kso_FAN · « **Reply #64 on:** February 21, 2013, 01:34:09 PM »

Quote from: MakeItRain on February 21, 2013, 01:32:15 PM

Quote from: catzacker on February 21, 2013, 01:05:43 PM
Bill is going to F Hilton like she was an female student at KU.

Have you been watching? I bet they lose by at least 7. Bill can't make his players shoot better on the road. ISU doesn't have the scoring issues that OSU does. They played 50 minutes of basketball and couldn't get to 70. They hit 3 field goals the last 15 minutes of that game last night.

The really annoying thing in all of this is that we should have beat KU by 10 at our place. I can take our loss in Ames and Lawrence, but that one... man.

MakeItRain · « **Reply #65 on:** February 21, 2013, 01:38:50 PM »

Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 21, 2013, 01:34:09 PM

Quote from: MakeItRain on February 21, 2013, 01:32:15 PM
Quote from: catzacker on February 21, 2013, 01:05:43 PM
Bill is going to F Hilton like she was an female student at KU.

Have you been watching? I bet they lose by at least 7. Bill can't make his players shoot better on the road. ISU doesn't have the scoring issues that OSU does. They played 50 minutes of basketball and couldn't get to 70. They hit 3 field goals the last 15 minutes of that game last night.

The really annoying thing in all of this is that we should have beat KU by 10 at our place. I can take our loss in Ames and Lawrence, but that one... man.

They have been so bad on the road. There are very little differences between TCU, OU, UT, last night, and what they did against us. Of those 5 games I think they actually played the best against OU. We were way too tight and missed too many open shots and OSU exhibited no patience on the offensive end and took way too many poor shots early in the shot clock. Every OSU player seemed interested in making the big play instead of the correct one. I have a lot of issues with hoi and ISU but their offensive cohesion is undeniable.

kso_FAN · « **Reply #66 on:** February 21, 2013, 01:48:36 PM »

Hoi >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Ford

Though I'll give Ford credit for the recruiting part, but they never should've lost last night.

yosh · « **Reply #67 on:** February 21, 2013, 02:10:13 PM »

EMAC!!

<<<---- 'cept with a moldy redbird on it

aleatoric · « **Reply #68 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:03:30 PM »

Here's a simulation of the rest of the Big 12 season using kenpom's ratings.

Team W L Luck Rnk Share Outrt 1Seed EWins
Kansas 10 3 -0.2 10 0.8517 0.5227 0.6728 14.08
Kansas St. 10 3 1.9 35 0.3430 0.0976 0.2067 13.22
Oklahoma St. 9 4 -0.0 16 0.2088 0.0347 0.1087 12.78
Oklahoma 8 5 0.9 46 0.0164 0.0001 0.0053 11.53
Iowa St. 8 5 -0.4 32 0.0191 0.0002 0.0064 11.04
Baylor 7 6 -1.3 41 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 9.615
West Virginia 6 7 0.3 107 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 7.188
Texas 4 9 -1.3 97 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 6.057
Texas Tech 2 11 0.5 247 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 3.021
Texas Christian 1 12 -0.5 282 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1.464

"Share" column is the probability of winning any share of the title. "Outrt" is the probability of winning the title outright. Ignore "1Seed", I don't have tiebreakers programmed in. "Ewins" is the expected number of wins at the end of the season.

steve dave · « **Reply #69 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:05:33 PM »

Quote from: aleatoric on February 21, 2013, 03:03:30 PM

Here's a simulation of the rest of the Big 12 season using kenpom's ratings.

Team W L Luck Rnk Share Outrt 1Seed EWins
Kansas 10 3 -0.2 10 0.8517 0.5227 0.6728 14.08
Kansas St. 10 3 1.9 35 0.3430 0.0976 0.2067 13.22
Oklahoma St. 9 4 -0.0 16 0.2088 0.0347 0.1087 12.78
Oklahoma 8 5 0.9 46 0.0164 0.0001 0.0053 11.53
Iowa St. 8 5 -0.4 32 0.0191 0.0002 0.0064 11.04
Baylor 7 6 -1.3 41 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 9.615
West Virginia 6 7 0.3 107 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 7.188
Texas 4 9 -1.3 97 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 6.057
Texas Tech 2 11 0.5 247 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 3.021
Texas Christian 1 12 -0.5 282 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 1.464

"Share" column is the probability of winning any share of the title. "Outrt" is the probability of winning the title outright. Ignore "1Seed", I don't have tiebreakers programmed in. "Ewins" is the expected number of wins at the end of the season.

thanks

steve dave · « **Reply #70 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:06:23 PM »

10% chance of an outright.

I'll take it

Stevesie60 · « **Reply #71 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:07:32 PM »

1/5 chance of being the 1 seed in the Big 12 tourney!!!

steve dave · « **Reply #72 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:09:04 PM »

Quote from: Jakesie60 on February 21, 2013, 03:07:32 PM

1/5 chance of being the 1 seed in the Big 12 tourney!!!

HE SAID TO IGNORE IT crap FOR BRAINS!

sorry stevesie, we're buds. just got a little worked up because of how drunk I am on this snowday.

catzacker · « **Reply #73 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:10:06 PM »

Quote from: MakeItRain on February 21, 2013, 01:32:15 PM

Quote from: catzacker on February 21, 2013, 01:05:43 PM
Bill is going to F Hilton like she was an female student at KU.

Have you been watching? I bet they lose by at least 7. Bill can't make his players shoot better on the road. ISU doesn't have the scoring issues that OSU does. They played 50 minutes of basketball and couldn't get to 70. They hit 3 field goals the last 15 minutes of that game last night.

yes, for the past 9 years, I have been. i've seen this movie before. It all ends the same.

Stevesie60 · « **Reply #74 on:** February 21, 2013, 03:17:21 PM »

Quote from: steve dave on February 21, 2013, 03:09:04 PM

Quote from: Jakesie60 on February 21, 2013, 03:07:32 PM
1/5 chance of being the 1 seed in the Big 12 tourney!!!

HE SAID TO IGNORE IT crap FOR BRAINS!

sorry stevesie, we're buds. just got a little worked up because of how drunk I am on this snowday.

Like I said last night, I've been missing important parts of posts recently.