Who to Root Against (Not ND)

[kso_FAN]

at this point I would not absolutely be satisfied with an outright conference championship. that is baseline for not being meltdowny. undefeated and Fiesta Bowl is my current satisfied.

Yes, I'll be pissed if we lose a game now. We've come too far and we play a bunch of beatable teams. I mean, even if we don't have a great game against any of these teams we should still win, but honestly we should score 40 in every game the rest of the way.

We are that good.

[Institutional Control]

my ND friend and I joked before the season started about how we'd end up playing for the championship.  Still kinda hoping that happens.  Would love to see the great white hope destroy their Hawaiian dude with a skull crushing block while The Chamber walks in for his 4th td.   

Impressive.

Yeah I'm not sure I actually believe that OK actually has a friend

FYP

[Stevesie60]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

[Institutional Control]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

And why would Bama be the least likely to lose? They have two top 10 teams left to play.

[kso_FAN]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

At least one team will have an unexpected loss. It almost always happens; see Oklahoma State getting Rhoad last year.

[Stevesie60]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

At least one team will have an unexpected loss. It almost always happens; see Oklahoma State getting Rhoad last year.

Pittsburgh and Wake Forest are bad. It's like if OSU would have lost to KU last year. If anybody's going to lose, it's Oregon.

[OK_Cat]

my ND friend and I joked before the season started about how we'd end up playing for the championship.  Still kinda hoping that happens.  Would love to see the great white hope destroy their Hawaiian dude with a skull crushing block while The Chamber walks in for his 4th td.   

Impressive.

Yeah I'm not sure I actually believe that OK actually has an ND friend

   there's a fairly large catholic population in Oklahoma. 

[EMAWmeister]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

USC absolutely owns Notre Dame.  It's worse than the CTR.

[kso_FAN]

http://outkickthecoverage.com/chances-bama-oregon-kansas-state-and-notre-dame-finish-undefeated-tiny.php

[EMAWmeister]

my ND friend and I joked before the season started about how we'd end up playing for the championship.  Still kinda hoping that happens.  Would love to see the great white hope destroy their Hawaiian dude with a skull crushing block while The Chamber walks in for his 4th td.   

Impressive.

Yeah I'm not sure I actually believe that OK actually has an ND friend

   there's a fairly large catholic population in Oklahoma.

I just can't believe you found an ND fan with thick enough skin to put up with you. 

["storm"nut]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

At least one team will have an unexpected loss. It almost always happens; see Oklahoma State getting Rhoad last year.

Pittsburgh and Wake Forest are bad. It's like if OSU would have lost to KU last year. If anybody's going to lose, it's Oregon.

I see LSU beating Alabama. Also don't discount Pittsburgh. They will keep that game close

[EMAWesome]

From an article on ESPN (prolly Luked, but GFY)

Anyway, his latest formula calculates the chances of Bama, K-State, Oregon and Notre Dame entering the bowl season with undefeated records:

Notre Dame: 62.2 percent (remaining schedule: Pittsburgh, at Boston College, Wake Forest, at USC)

Alabama: 57.1 (at LSU, Texas A&M, FCS-member Western Carolina, playing-like-an-FCS-member Auburn)

K-State: 43.0 (Oklahoma State, at TCU, at Baylor, Texas)

Oregon: 18.9 (at USC, at Cal, Stanford, at Oregon State)

And the chances that all four of those teams go unbeaten: less than 2.9 percent

http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/page/BMOC-103012/bmoc-salutes-kansas-state-coach-bill-snyder-heisman-race-more

[Stevesie60]

I do think LSU has a better shot at knocking off Alabama than people think, but I probably still only give them a 30% of winning.

Fun fact: That's the chance I gave us to win in Norman this year.

[kso_FAN]

Pittsburgh

Not much different than 2011 ISU.

Yeah, lost to FCS school, but also beat Virginia Tech and lost by 10 to undefeated Louisville. I'm not saying its likely, but they could beat ND.

I just hope we aren't the team that has the unexpected loss, but I don't expect us to be.

[OK_Cat]

my ND friend and I joked before the season started about how we'd end up playing for the championship.  Still kinda hoping that happens.  Would love to see the great white hope destroy their Hawaiian dude with a skull crushing block while The Chamber walks in for his 4th td.   

Impressive.

Yeah I'm not sure I actually believe that OK actually has an ND friend

   there's a fairly large catholic population in Oklahoma.

I just can't believe you found an ND fan with thick enough skin to put up with you.

this isn't real life, bro.   

[Stevesie60]

Pittsburgh

Not much different than 2011 ISU.

Yeah, lost to FCS school, but also beat Virginia Tech and lost by 10 to undefeated Louisville. I'm not saying its likely, but they could beat ND.

I just hope we aren't the team that has the unexpected loss, but I don't expect us to be.

As an outsider, I would probably pick us. But knowing our team, how humble they are, and how they respond to adversity, it's not going to be us.

[GoodForAnother]

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

anyone.  just 10 days ago ND barely beat 5-4 BYU 20-17 at home.  barely beat 3-5 Purdue at home earlier in the year.  one bad day on offense and ND can lose to anyone.

most likely 2/4 will lose and it will be clear cut.  the odds are way in favor of that.  most likely candidates to lose a game are probably ND, Oregon, us and Bama in that order.

Who the hell do you think ND is going to lose to?

And why would Bama be the least likely to lose? They have two top 10 teams left to play.

because they're really good

[8manpick]

http://outkickthecoverage.com/chances-bama-oregon-kansas-state-and-notre-dame-finish-undefeated-tiny.php

PICKED TO BEAT ALL PUD CONTENDERS OTHER THAN 'BAMA, AND ALWAYS PICKED TO COVER THE SPREAD!

cool article

[EMAWesome]

http://outkickthecoverage.com/chances-bama-oregon-kansas-state-and-notre-dame-finish-undefeated-tiny.php

PICKED TO BEAT ALL PUD CONTENDERS OTHER THAN 'BAMA, AND ALWAYS PICKED TO COVER THE SPREAD!

cool article

 

[p1k3]

at this point I would not absolutely be satisfied with an outright conference championship. that is baseline for not being meltdowny. undefeated and Fiesta Bowl is my current satisfied.

Yes, I'll be pissed if we lose a game now. We've come too far and we play a bunch of beatable teams. I mean, even if we don't have a great game against any of these teams we should still win, but honestly we should score 40 in every game the rest of the way.

We are that good.

_fan, can anyone stop Klein and Co.? I keep thinking someone will slow us down but we've scored 8 straight times in the last two games.

[JohnCurrie is Weird/Gross]

Prediction Machine

Kansas State Wildcats
Games Remaining: 4
Undefeated Chances: 27.7%
Closest Remaining Game: at TCU (November 10)

Alabama vs. Kansas State
Todd Furhman Line: Alabama -10.5
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Alabama 31 – Kansas State 23
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Alabama wins 62.7%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State +10.5

Oregon vs. Kansas State
Todd Furhman Line: Oregon -5
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Kansas State 37 – Oregon 34
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Kansas State wins 54.2%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State +5

Kansas State vs. Notre Dame
Todd Furhman Line: Kansas State -2.5
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Kansas State 31 – Notre Dame 27
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Kansas State wins 55.5%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State -2.5

Kansas State vs. Florida State
Todd Furhman Line: Florida State -2.5
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Kansas State 35 – Florida State 21
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Kansas State wins 73.0%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State +2.5 (big)

Kansas State vs. Florida
Todd Furhman Line: Florida -1
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Kansas State 30 – Florida 21
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Kansas State wins 67.3%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State +1 (big)

Kansas State vs. LSU
Todd Furhman Line: LSU -1
PredictionMachine.com Projected Score: Kansas State 28 – LSU 20
PredictionMachine.com Projected Win Percentage: Kansas State wins 64.4%
Hypothetical ATS Pick: Kansas State +1

•Chances there are still six undefeated FBS teams on December 2 (after conference title games): 0.06% (or 1-in-1718)
•Chances Alabama, Notre Dame, Kansas State and Oregon are undefeated on December 2: 1.22% (or 1-in-82)
•Chances Notre Dame, Kansas State and Oregon are undefeated on December 2: 2.23% (or 1-in-45)
•Chances Oregon is undefeated and Kansas State and Notre Dame are not on December 2: 8.79% (or 1-in-11)
•Chances Notre Dame is undefeated and Kansas State and Oregon are not on December 2: 22.96% (or 1-in-4)
•Chances Kansas State is undefeated and Oregon and Notre Dame are not on December 2: 13.31% (or 1-in-8)
•Chances that Louisville is the only undefeated FBS (BCS eligible) team on December 2: 2.62% (or 1-in-38)
•Chances that Alabama is the only undefeated FBS (BCS eligible) team on December 2: 15.83% (or 1-in-38)
•Chances that both Alabama and Oregon lose in their respective conference championship games: 4.28% (or 1-in-23)
•Chances that no FBS team is undefeated on December 2: 9.35% (or 1-in-11)
•Chances that Alabama, Oregon, Notre Dame and Kansas State all have at least one loss on December  2: 15.75% (or 1-in-6)

[EMAWmeister]

at this point I would not absolutely be satisfied with an outright conference championship. that is baseline for not being meltdowny. undefeated and Fiesta Bowl is my current satisfied.

Yes, I'll be pissed if we lose a game now. We've come too far and we play a bunch of beatable teams. I mean, even if we don't have a great game against any of these teams we should still win, but honestly we should score 40 in every game the rest of the way.

We are that good.

_fan, can anyone stop Klein and Co.? I keep thinking someone will slow us down but we've scored 8 straight times in the last two games.

I would be worried about us slipping up, but we are so consistent that I just don't see it.

[kso_FAN]

at this point I would not absolutely be satisfied with an outright conference championship. that is baseline for not being meltdowny. undefeated and Fiesta Bowl is my current satisfied.

Yes, I'll be pissed if we lose a game now. We've come too far and we play a bunch of beatable teams. I mean, even if we don't have a great game against any of these teams we should still win, but honestly we should score 40 in every game the rest of the way.

We are that good.

_fan, can anyone stop Klein and Co.? I keep thinking someone will slow us down but we've scored 8 straight times in the last two games.

ISU did the best of anyone, and that's the only game under 5.0 YPP we've had all year.

OSU is the best defense we play the rest of the year and they haven't allowed any opponent to gain more than 6 YPP all year.
TCU is okay, but 3 of their last 4 opponents have gained 6.0 or better.
Baylor and Texas both have pretty bad defenses and both give up about 6.3 YPP right now.

[p1k3]

at this point I would not absolutely be satisfied with an outright conference championship. that is baseline for not being meltdowny. undefeated and Fiesta Bowl is my current satisfied.

Yes, I'll be pissed if we lose a game now. We've come too far and we play a bunch of beatable teams. I mean, even if we don't have a great game against any of these teams we should still win, but honestly we should score 40 in every game the rest of the way.

We are that good.

_fan, can anyone stop Klein and Co.? I keep thinking someone will slow us down but we've scored 8 straight times in the last two games.

ISU did the best of anyone, and that's the only game under 5.0 YPP we've had all year.

OSU is the best defense we play the rest of the year and they haven't allowed any opponent to gain more than 6 YPP all year.
TCU is okay, but 3 of their last 4 opponents have gained 6.0 or better.
Baylor and Texas both have pretty bad defenses and both give up about 6.3 YPP right now.

 

[kso_FAN]

ISU did the best of anyone, and that's the only game under 5.0 YPP we've had all year.

OSU is the best defense we play the rest of the year and they haven't allowed any opponent to gain more than 6 YPP all year.
TCU is okay, but 3 of their last 4 opponents have gained 6.0 or better.
Baylor and Texas both have pretty bad defenses and both give up about 6.3 YPP right now.

 

To be fair, OSU's defense has faced the worst 4 offenses (by YPP) in the Big 12. The best offense they played all year (Arizona) put up 59 against them and even Texas scored 41.