The Official Bracketology Thread

[SdK]

What seed are we going to get? Mainly talking to fan and pp as they are the resident stat folks and seem to have a finger on the pulse of things.

[kso_FAN]

11 or 12 with the play in I'm guessing.

[SdK]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

[kso_FAN]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

I suppose it is possible to sneak up to a 10, but almost all the mock brackets have us in the 11 or 12 play in game.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

There are 3 Big East teams at 10 or 11 that do not have play ins. That probably won't happen.  They will probably send xavier there just to sell a few tickets.

The autobid sitch is getting pretty stupid when all the 12-16 seeds are sutobids, with all but 4 getting "byes". Thats 18 not good teams that get a bye.

[BackPayne]

With the play-in options, how do we match up?

[Powercat Posse]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

I'd guess the last 6 teams in will be
11 seed
11 seed
11 seed vs 11 seed play in game
12 seed vs 12 seed play in game

I think there is an 85% we make the Tourney.
I think 70% chance we are in the play in game, 15% we get an 11 with no play in, 15% chance that we don't make it. If we would gave beaten WV and lost to Isu, I think there was a good chance we would have jumped up to a 10 seed

[Steffy08]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

I'd guess the last 6 teams in will be
11 seed
11 seed
11 seed vs 11 seed play in game
12 seed vs 12 seed play in game

I think there is an 85% we make the Tourney.
I think 70% chance we are in the play in game, 15% we get an 11 with no play in, 15% chance that we don't make it. If we would gave beaten WV and lost to Isu, I think there was a good chance we would have jumped up to a 10 seed

Solid stats.  I hope you are right.  But I'll take "don't get in" paying 6/1 odds.

[kso_FAN]

Solid stats.  I hope you are right.  But I'll take "don't get in" paying 6/1 odds.

Why?

[bws]

Frank vs oscar in Dayton?
 
 [https://twitter.com/D1scourse/status/840960316431335426]

[catastrophe]

I could see the Cats getting left out due to non-con SOS.  It's really the perfect opportunity for the committee to make a statement if they wanted to.

That said, I see the odds of getting left out as being pretty low.

[420seriouscat69]

Frank vs oscar in Dayton?
 
 [https://twitter.com/D1scourse/status/840960316431335426]

Would happily beat that as. They look super shitty.

[Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!)]

I could see the Cats getting left out due to non-con SOS.  It's really the perfect opportunity for the committee to make a statement if they wanted to.

That said, I see the odds of getting left out as being pretty low.

Of our 13 noncon games, four were against p5 teams and one against the MWC champion. We even played a roadie at SLU.  If anyone is going to be made an example of its Cuse or USC.

[ChiComCat]

oscar will win a play-in game and tout his tournament victory for the rest of his career here.

[MakeItRain]

oscar will win a play-in game and tout his tournament victory for the rest of his career here.

In theory that win would be a better win than any of the wins that the 1-4 seeds will get in the first round.

[ChiComCat]

oscar will win a play-in game and tout his tournament victory for the rest of his career here.

In theory that win would be a better win than any of the wins that the 1-4 seeds will get in the first round.

True but they earned an easier path.  We will have had a mediocre season and get rewarded with a winnable tournament game.

[star seed 7]

oscar will win a play-in game and tout his tournament victory for the rest of his career here.

In theory that win would be a better win than any of the wins that the 1-4 seeds will get in the first round.

lol, love this

[Powercat Posse]

S.Carolina only played 4 tourney teams away from home but they did lose them all.  I think they slipped down to a 9 seed, but be very surprised if they fell to a Dayton game

I can't believe all the Twitter talk about Duke getting a 1 seed. They keep pointing out their 13 top 50 wins.  I know they beat UNC 2 of 3 times, but UNC had 11 top 50 wins. They also were 14-4, not 11-7 in ACC like Duke.  The regular season still counts for a lot.  Don't ever recall a team in a P5 finishing 3 games back of a team and ending up with a higher seed.  Duke is very very likely gonna be the 2 with either Nova or KU (As Gonzaga and AZ will be top 2 seeds out West)

[kso_FAN]

You might as well prepare yourself, because IMO Duke is going to get a 1 seed.

[Trim]

There's way too many teams allowed in this thing, and not enough advantages given to the best teams.

[Powercat Posse]

That sucks. I was thinking the win over Baylor would get us a 9 or 10

I'd guess the last 6 teams in will be
11 seed
11 seed
11 seed vs 11 seed play in game
12 seed vs 12 seed play in game

I think there is an 85% we make the Tourney.
I think 70% chance we are in the play in game, 15% we get an 11 with no play in, 15% chance that we don't make it. If we would gave beaten WV and lost to Isu, I think there was a good chance we would have jumped up to a 10 seed

Solid stats.  I hope you are right.  But I'll take "don't get in" paying 6/1 odds.

Whoever is team 68 getting in is gonna be weak.
* USC, beat 1 Pac12 team with a top 90 RPI.
* Cuse, who only wins away from home were vs the #12 and #13 ACC teams. Plus a 84 RPI
* Illinois St, 2 wins vs the top 100. Their best win away from home was vs #128 RPI. That is also their 3rd best overall win
* Iowa, 14 losses with an 81 RPI. Went 4-10 away from home. 3 losses outside the top 100

[kso_FAN]

We are only going to see more expansion for the tournament, so this weak bubble top will only increase.

I don't think the P5 bubble is any different than normal this year either, there is just a lack of strong mid major teams that are selection bid worthy.

[Powercat Posse]

RIU beat vcu to win the A-10
That just takes them from last 4 in game (probably a 11 seed now).

I now have Xavier, KState, Wake and ?? as the play in teams.

[kso_FAN]

Fox Sports now has us vs USC with the right to play Wisconsin. 08 repeat.

[Dugout DickStone]

would winning a play in game be the most successful 1 game period in KSU history?