Author Topic: GOP Battledome Trump v Ryan  (Read 6172 times)

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Offline Panjandrum

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Re: GOP Battledome Trump v Ryan
« Reply #75 on: October 12, 2016, 01:21:12 PM »
interesting quote (harry enten).

Quote
The main fight for the Republican Party of the future is between cultural conservatives (Trump) and social conservatives (think Ted Cruz). The fiscal conservatives are a tiny faction. Someone like Ryan is lost.

Harry Enten is awesome.  Love his stuff.

I think "tiny" may be a little hyperbolic.  I think there's a pretty significant overlap between social and fiscal conservatives, but if pressed to pick one circle of the Venn diagram, they'd go with social in public/polling, but fiscal in the voting booth.

Trump's performance in the primary indicates otherwise. Also, Ted Cruz was second.

Primary voters are the farther ends of the spectrum, which is where the cultural/social folks live.

I'm not really going to use this election as a real barometer for that stuff.  Trump whipped the white nationalists into a frenzy and got them on his side for the first few primaries.  If he had never been a part of the process, would it have been Jeb vs. Cruz?  Kasich vs. Cruz?  It's hard to say.  No one really got coverage other than Trump and whoever he was fighting at the time.  So, it makes the most sense that the last guy standing was the one he turned his guns on last.

He went after the most solvent ones in order.  He went after Jeb, then Rubio, then Cruz.  There was cannon fodder there in the middle (Fiorina, Kasich), but he took out the strong candidates one by one.