Author Topic: death poll 5.0 (Read 4178 times)

sys · « **Reply #26 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:31:44 PM »

may as well call it, it's gonna be tomorrow or saturday. congratulations to the two posters who predicted correctly.

Bqqkie Pimp · « **Reply #27 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:32:09 PM »

I think I saw an article on DFW CBS this morning that 3 people died overnight in an auto accident from COVID. Don't forget to count them.

sys · « **Reply #28 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:33:36 PM »

i don't do the counts myself, bookie.

steve dave · « **Reply #29 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:39:33 PM »

Quote from: Bqqkie Pimp on April 30, 2020, 03:32:09 PM

I think I saw an article on DFW CBS this morning that 3 people died overnight in an auto accident from COVID. Don't forget to count them.

I have seen multiple variations of that boomer meme on SW KS Facebook tons

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

star seed 7 · « **Reply #30 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:41:07 PM »

Quote from: steve dave on April 30, 2020, 03:39:33 PM

Quote from: Bqqkie Pimp on April 30, 2020, 03:32:09 PM
I think I saw an article on DFW CBS this morning that 3 people died overnight in an auto accident from COVID. Don't forget to count them.
I have seen multiple variations of that boomer meme on SW KS Facebook tons

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Two threads a day on texags, minimum.

Bqqkie Pimp · « **Reply #31 on:** April 30, 2020, 03:41:45 PM »

Quote from: sys on April 30, 2020, 03:33:36 PM

i don't do the counts myself, bookie.

Just a little covid death count humor, sys.

waks · « **Reply #32 on:** April 30, 2020, 04:54:50 PM »

Quote from: steve dave on April 30, 2020, 03:39:33 PM

Quote from: Bqqkie Pimp on April 30, 2020, 03:32:09 PM
I think I saw an article on DFW CBS this morning that 3 people died overnight in an auto accident from COVID. Don't forget to count them.
I have seen multiple variations of that boomer meme on SW KS Facebook tons

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Same. My 73-yr-old uncle w/ cancer is rightfully terrified of getting this. That doesn't stop him from sharing these memes and calling it a hoax though. Anything to own the libs.

sys · « **Reply #33 on:** April 30, 2020, 05:00:20 PM »

Quote from: waks on April 30, 2020, 04:54:50 PM

My 73-yr-old uncle w/ cancer is rightfully terrified of getting this. That doesn't stop him from sharing these memes and calling it a hoax though. Anything to own the libs.

amazing.

sys · « **Reply #34 on:** April 30, 2020, 05:11:52 PM »

one of the best coronavirus expert accounts predicts 300k deaths by the end of august. caveat being it's mostly a guess as to how we'll respond rather than about the biology of the virus.

https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1255978143904444417

Bqqkie Pimp · « **Reply #35 on:** April 30, 2020, 06:49:06 PM »

Quote from: sys on April 30, 2020, 05:00:20 PM

Quote from: waks on April 30, 2020, 04:54:50 PM
My 73-yr-old uncle w/ cancer is rightfully terrified of getting this. That doesn't stop him from sharing these memes and calling it a hoax though. Anything to own the libs.

amazing.

Hopefully people will realize this isn’t a libs vs pubs or MAGA vs TDS or white vs black with this before it’s too late.

[They] want us divided on whatever lines [they] can divide us on and [they] are winning.

https://twitter.com/jamesokeefeiii/status/1255909714552139776

cfbandyman · « **Reply #36 on:** April 30, 2020, 07:07:11 PM »

Quote from: sys on April 30, 2020, 03:31:44 PM

may as well call it, it's gonna be tomorrow or saturday. congratulations to the two posters who predicted correctly.

Yup call it for tomorrow.

cfbandyman · « **Reply #37 on:** April 30, 2020, 07:13:11 PM »

Quote from: sys on April 30, 2020, 05:11:52 PM

one of the best coronavirus expert accounts predicts 300k deaths by the end of august. caveat being it's mostly a guess as to how we'll respond rather than about the biology of the virus.

https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1255978143904444417

This has been my view about this as well. Like, especially since we're in this "let's reopen this bitch" mode. No way this goes down like a miracle, and no bqqkie, I am not cheering wanting more deaths. I just don't see how it doesn't at least stay at this level, we've hit it for 3 weeks straight, and we've only just started to go down, and now we're trying to open it back up. Unlike Italy, Spain, France, et al, who actually waited longer before trying to do it. We're going to just make this as bad if not worse for a long time.

chum1 · « **Reply #38 on:** April 30, 2020, 07:34:30 PM »

It also seems reasonable to assume that the US would follow a course similar to NYC and the rest of the world, neither of which initially hung at a long plateau. We'll see!

michigancat · « **Reply #39 on:** April 30, 2020, 08:11:09 PM »

Quote from: chum1 on April 30, 2020, 07:34:30 PM

It also seems reasonable to assume that the US would follow a course similar to NYC and the rest of the world, neither of which initially hung at a long plateau. We'll see!

I don't think a lot of the country will take a lockdown as seriously as New York did

cfbandyman · « **Reply #40 on:** April 30, 2020, 08:24:27 PM »

Quote from: michigancat on April 30, 2020, 08:11:09 PM

Quote from: chum1 on April 30, 2020, 07:34:30 PM
It also seems reasonable to assume that the US would follow a course similar to NYC and the rest of the world, neither of which initially hung at a long plateau. We'll see!

I don't think a lot of the country will take a lockdown as seriously as New York did

Right, like, I would generally agree we'd fall down quicker if we stuck to it, but we're not so, we'll see.

chum1 · « **Reply #41 on:** April 30, 2020, 08:39:46 PM »

Quote from: michigancat on April 30, 2020, 08:11:09 PM

Quote from: chum1 on April 30, 2020, 07:34:30 PM
It also seems reasonable to assume that the US would follow a course similar to NYC and the rest of the world, neither of which initially hung at a long plateau. We'll see!

I don't think a lot of the country will take a lockdown as seriously as New York did

NYC did not take it super seriously right away. Other states seem to be taking it about as seriously. It stands to reason that the population distribution of behaviors would be similar across states. And polls seem to support this.

Despite a FEW more businesses being open during May, people will continue to stay home, wear masks, etc. I'm guessing that will be enough to keep things headed in the right direction.

cfbandyman · « **Reply #42 on:** April 30, 2020, 10:30:30 PM »

Quote from: chum1 on April 30, 2020, 08:39:46 PM

Quote from: michigancat on April 30, 2020, 08:11:09 PM
Quote from: chum1 on April 30, 2020, 07:34:30 PM
It also seems reasonable to assume that the US would follow a course similar to NYC and the rest of the world, neither of which initially hung at a long plateau. We'll see!

I don't think a lot of the country will take a lockdown as seriously as New York did

NYC did not take it super seriously right away. Other states seem to be taking it about as seriously. It stands to reason that the population distribution of behaviors would be similar across states. And polls seem to support this.

Despite a FEW more businesses being open during May, people will continue to stay home, wear masks, etc. I'm guessing that will be enough to keep things headed in the right direction.

Let's hope so! I just don't feel optimistic about it.

Bqqkie Pimp · « **Reply #43 on:** May 01, 2020, 12:51:55 PM »

@sys - I dunno, but I think this new info from the CDC might greatly affect your death poll.

Is this poll for "COVID-19 deaths" or for "Deaths with Pneumonia, Influenza, or COVID"?

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_policy/Provisional-Death-Counts-COVID-19-Pneumonia-and-Influenza.pdf

Granted, it's back dated about 3 weeks, but I'm sure we can soon find an updated chart.

sys · « **Reply #44 on:** May 01, 2020, 02:42:26 PM »

we're going with the worldometers count on this one, bookie.

sys · « **Reply #45 on:** May 01, 2020, 09:08:12 PM »

i guess they must have restated a few deaths? at any rate, just up to 65753 today, so we didn't yet beat the model. still a chance this evening, but they don't usually add any more us deaths this late.

Bqqkie Pimp · « **Reply #46 on:** May 02, 2020, 06:45:23 AM »

Quote from: sys on May 01, 2020, 02:42:26 PM

we're going with the worldometers count on this one, bookie.

I know this flies in the face of the narrative sys, but the CDC is at least trying to get us more factual data for this.

https://twitter.com/timrunshismouth/status/1256442410500083713

Looks like it’s still really well under 40k

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm

8manpick · « **Reply #47 on:** May 02, 2020, 11:06:52 AM »

From your link, bq:

Poll

when will the us surpass the 65,976 total cov2 deaths predicted by 8-4-2020 by the ihme's current model?

Author Topic: death poll 5.0 (Read 4178 times)