Give it to me straight guys, are we as bad as I think we might be?
Qualifier: If the offense continues to be this bad and this turnover prone, yes. A compounding issue is the poor defense.
I think it is entirely possible this is a below .500 team. That is shocking.
Yeah, you can really pinpoint three things.
1) We turn it over like crazy, currently over 1/5 of our possessions (22%) end in TOs right now.
2) Teams shoot really well against us (52.6% eFG% allowed) and we are neither good defending 2s (50.5% allowed) or 3s (37.7% allowed).
3) Teams go to the FT line A LOT (45.4% FT rate allowed).
Now, we do some things really well ourselves, a couple of which are somewhat surprising.
1) We are FT rating like Frank teams (54.3%).
2) We shoot really well on 3s (40.1%). That is a bit sporadic though because we have had some dreadful games (LBSU, Pitt, most of Tenn).
3) We oboard pretty well (37.6%).
I think the TOs and offense can be improved with experience, defense I'm not sure. If we can correct TOs, this offense can be pretty good, probably on par with 2013. However, the defensive issues of allowing teams to shoot so well AND go to the FT line is problematic. Like most oscar/Lowry teams we force a lot of TOs, but we can't live with teams shooting this well against us. Granted, the 3PT thing is a lottery comes into play, but teams have also consistently killed us on 2s.
Like michigan, I don't believe we are as bad as we've shown and as sys said, there is some merit to the variance in shooting that could swing us 2 wins in the positive very easily. But then I look at how ugly some stretches of basketball can be and its hard to be positive. Plus, we're going to have to win 10-11 Big 12 games now because our OOC resume is going to pretty bad since its questionable if we've beat a tournament team yet (Purdue's resume will probably look a lot like ours).
So far just a very frustrating start with what looked to be a pretty decent team.
