He won't go for the one game in MHK. I'd offer 66% of BB points vs. the football game. Might move to 75% if he hesitates. I think we score a ton next week, so if we win by 50, then you'd have a 75 pt cushion for the two basketball games.
Probably lose by 40 in Lawrence and 30 in MHK. You'd win the bet!