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Offline bigwillie20

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #25 on: February 16, 2011, 02:42:10 PM »
Am I alone in my thoughts that 8-8 probably gets us in and we're a lock at 9-7  :dunno:
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Offline EllToPay

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #26 on: February 16, 2011, 02:46:10 PM »
Please list teams to root for tonight.

tia.
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Offline kougar24

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #27 on: February 16, 2011, 02:51:01 PM »
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 16, 2011, 02:40:07 PM
Note: please do not compare this year's team to the 07/09 versions that didn't make it. Much different resumes and bubbles to compare. 

But the pain is still fresh.

Just sayin', I wouldn't feel comfortable at all if we went 7-9 and lost in the championship game in KC, whereas I'd be supremely confident if we went 8-8 and lost our first game in KC. :dunno:

Maybe it's just me.
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #28 on: February 16, 2011, 03:05:19 PM »
Quote from: EllToPay on February 16, 2011, 02:46:10 PM
Please list teams to root for tonight.

tia.

Just follow sys' rule of bubble rooting interest. Its pretty simple.

Quote from: sys
always root for any team with no chance to make the tourney or no chance to miss. 

in matchups between two bubbles, root for high probability bubbles, against low probability bubbles.
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catzacker

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #29 on: February 16, 2011, 03:06:19 PM »
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 16, 2011, 02:40:07 PM
Note: please do not compare this year's team to the 07/09 versions that didn't make it. Much different resumes and bubbles to compare. 

this is true.  the field isn't as strong and there's 3 more spots.  but with that mediocrity/parity it's more likely for the "tourney teams" in mid majors (or even in power conferences like the pac 10 or sec) that will probably stumble in the conf tournaments and allow another spot to get taken - wac, horizon, wcc, a10, mt west.  
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Offline sys

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #30 on: February 16, 2011, 03:08:51 PM »
Quote from: bigwillie20 on February 16, 2011, 02:42:10 PM
Am I alone in my thoughts that 8-8 probably gets us in and we're a lock at 9-7  :dunno:

i agree, with the caveat that kstate needs to have mu or texas be one of those 8 wins.
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #31 on: February 16, 2011, 03:09:48 PM »
Quote from: catzacker on February 16, 2011, 03:06:19 PM
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 16, 2011, 02:40:07 PM
Note: please do not compare this year's team to the 07/09 versions that didn't make it. Much different resumes and bubbles to compare.  

this is true.  the field isn't as strong and there's 3 more spots.  but with that mediocrity/parity it's more likely for the "tourney teams" in mid majors (or even in power conferences like the pac 10 or sec) that will probably stumble in the conf tournaments and allow another spot to get taken - wac, horizon, wcc, a10, mt west.  

Yes.

And I think our fans forget about how terrible our SOS was those seasons, both around #100. This year around #10.

But we also have one of the oddest sets of lacking non-quality wins to go along with also lacking non-bad losses that I can remember.
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Offline Underdog Wildcat

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #32 on: February 16, 2011, 03:10:03 PM »
Quote from: Cire on February 16, 2011, 01:00:28 PM
didn't FSU get in at 7-9 one of the years that we didn't at 10-6/9-7?

Arkansas went 7-9 in 06-07 and made it that year(still didn't save Heath's job). I read an article where it said Fla St went 6 and freakin 10 in 98 and still got in. Not unprecedented for "power conference" teams to get in w/sub 500 conf records, but pretty rare.

There's probably a comprehensive list of sub 500 conf teams who made it floating around the interwebs, someone with a great deal of persistence and motivation could hunt that down. :users:
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Offline jtksu

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #33 on: February 16, 2011, 03:11:29 PM »
Seems like the Big East has sub .500 teams qualify pretty regularly.
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Offline kso_FAN

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #34 on: February 16, 2011, 03:15:55 PM »
Quote from: Underdog Wildcat on February 16, 2011, 03:10:03 PM
Arkansas went 7-9 in 06-07 and made it that year(still didn't save Heath's job). I read an article where it said Fla St went 6 and freakin 10 in 98 and still got in. Not unprecedented for "power conference" teams to get in w/sub 500 conf records, but pretty rare.

Won 3 games in the SEC Tourney.
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Offline Underdog Wildcat

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #35 on: February 16, 2011, 03:23:58 PM »
Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 16, 2011, 03:15:55 PM
Quote from: Underdog Wildcat on February 16, 2011, 03:10:03 PM
Arkansas went 7-9 in 06-07 and made it that year(still didn't save Heath's job). I read an article where it said Fla St went 6 and freakin 10 in 98 and still got in. Not unprecedented for "power conference" teams to get in w/sub 500 conf records, but pretty rare.

Won 3 games in the SEC Tourney.

We can do it, forget the bye  :emawkid:

In reality, our bubble probably bursts if we don't get to at least 8-8.
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Offline wetwillie

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #36 on: February 16, 2011, 04:20:20 PM »
Quote from: sys on February 16, 2011, 03:08:51 PM
Quote from: bigwillie20 on February 16, 2011, 02:42:10 PM
Am I alone in my thoughts that 8-8 probably gets us in and we're a lock at 9-7  :dunno:

i agree, with the caveat that kstate needs to have mu or texas be one of those 8 wins.

I've already penciled in jake for a 50+ point performance against mizzou, my super bowl goes through lincoln this year.
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Offline sys

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #37 on: February 17, 2011, 12:05:16 AM »
st mary's (30) just lost to san diego (301).  probably not enough to knock them out of an at large if they lose in their conf tourney.  but they're now in a position where they really don't want to lose again (another reg season loss plus a conf tourney loss).  they still have usu, gonzaga and portland at home; all good teams.

pretty great v low probability result.


http://kenpom.com/team.php?team=St.%20Mary%27s
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Offline CHONGS

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Re: i'm pretty excited
« Reply #38 on: February 17, 2011, 12:14:25 AM »
Magic # is 4.
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