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Messages - Justwin

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1
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: March 22, 2024, 09:55:26 AM »
Even cheaper.

Receivers it will be

Rice
Hollywood
Draft Pick
Watson
Moore
Hardman/James/Toney - one of these

I think it will be Moore and Toney as the #5 and #6 receivers. Moore has a $1.3 million in pay due with a $1.7 million cap hit that won't change if he's not on the roster. Toney has $2.5 million in salary due with a $2.5 million cap hit that won't change if he's not on the roster. I can't imagine taking $4.2 million in dead money to cut your 5th and 6th receivers.

They're both young, and particularly with Toney, there is a lot of talent there that has the potential to be unlocked. Toney is also in a contract year which hopefully will bring out the best in him.

2
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: March 21, 2024, 11:17:43 AM »
Moore makes 1.7 million next year. He'll be back and will be on the roster.

Moore will make $1.3 million next year. I agree that he very likely will be back and on the roster.

3
I think I need double the money right now, adjusted for inflation.

So, if I earn 0.03 over inflation for 12 years then (1.03)^12 = 2.022469067498369 times my present value.

1.03^12 = 1.425760886846178945447841 times your PV. If you want need to double your money in 12 years (assuming no further contributions), you need to have a real return of roughly 6% (72/6 = 12).

4
How much does a High Deductible plan run you on the open market right now?

A guy I know looked into this in October.  He is 60yo and he said his was going to be $990/mo.

I realize that's a lot of money but seems pretty reasonable for a male that age. Obviously don't know the deductible or program info or anything.

It was a catastrophe plan.  I think he said the deductable was $7k, didn't include vision or dental.

A $7000 deductible is not a catastrophic plan. A catastrophic plan would be a minimum of a $25,000 deductible and more like a $50,000 deductible.

5
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: February 20, 2024, 11:36:50 AM »
D-Line coaching savant Joe Cullen should be able to develop known stud FAU into an even bigger stud as well then.

6
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: February 13, 2024, 02:21:01 PM »
what if the chiefs kicked a field goal and tied it up, then neither team scored in the 2nd quarter of OT.  would they drag usher's ass back out on the field for a 2nd half time show?  get Swift to sing from her suite?

My understanding is that an additional half would start after a two-minute break. The team team that did not choose first at the beginning of OT (possess the ball or direction) would get to choose at the beginning of the third OT period. There would be a kickoff to start it like there would be at the beginning of a regulation half.

7
Have to give them credit for coming out bound and determined to prove my point.

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8
I'm not sure I've ever watched a team that is as brain dead as this team.

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9
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports
« on: January 08, 2024, 12:47:01 PM »
My daughter is playing in the Winter Magic indoor soccer tournament next weekend. She has a game that kicks off at 10:45 p.m. next Friday. Pretty sure the whole family won't be going to that game.

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we've played in that before, don't think in any tourney we've ever had a start later than 9pm (which is still too late).  that time sounds like a typo

Definitely not a typo. Also, not the latest kickoff time on Friday! (11:00 p.m.)

I've never had a kickoff that late for an outdoor tournament, but even those are starting to get later. There were 9:30 p.m. games at the MAG this past fall. Tournaments in Kansas City are getting more and more popular for out of region teams. There are a lot of teams in most of the big tournaments which gives you competitive brackets and this is drawing teams from Arkansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Iowa, South Dakota, Illinois and Minnesota.

10
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports
« on: January 06, 2024, 08:38:15 AM »
She just taking an Uber or what?


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I'll still go, but the rest of the family (3 younger kids and wife) will probably just stay back at the hotel.

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11
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: competitive little kid sports
« on: January 05, 2024, 08:56:15 PM »
My daughter is playing in the Winter Magic indoor soccer tournament next weekend. She has a game that kicks off at 10:45 p.m. next Friday. Pretty sure the whole family won't be going to that game.

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12
I've been the biggest MLS honk in the great plains, but the league is really starting to piss me off.
Can you explain to me, a dumb guy, why the European promotion/relegation model and calendar wouldn't work?

The calendar and the promotion/relegation model could very well work in the US. The reasons they likely won't be implemented have to do with money and the status of MLS in US sports.

Of the two, I think it is more likely that the calendar could get changed to match the European calendar. However, the reason this probably won't happen is that the current MLS calendar limits competition with the NFL. There is going to always be some overlap between the two seasons, but the current MLS calendar minimizes that. Also, a good amount of the overlap is the MLS playoffs, which has more draw than regular season games. Additionally, with a large part of the regular season in the summer, the only main competition is baseball for a few months. I also think the desire to limit cold-weather games in December, January and February plays into the current calendar. I imagine the thinking is that the cold weather would limit attendance. There could also be an argument about the risk of injury in cold weather. Even the NFL doesn't play any cold weather games in February.

I would love for promotion/relegation to be put into the US Soccer pyramid. It's not going to happen, though. MLS owners would be putting too much money at risk to ever endorse it. The revenue hit that would come with being relegated would be huge and no businessman is ever going to agree to introduce that risk. There is the potential that promotion/relegation would increase interest and grow the game, but I think that would be very limited. The people that care about it are likely already soccer fans and a lot of non-soccer fans don't even know what it is.

In terms of promotion/relegation, I think a more likely outcome is that leagues like the Premier League will get rid of it. I'm not saying that will happen, but it is more likely than MLS introducing promotion/relegation.

13
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: December 14, 2023, 09:58:16 AM »
Who is the best offensive skill player the chiefs have drafted post Mahomes? Pacheco?


If you're considering the value of the round, then yes. if you're not considering round I'd say Rice is the best. He's going to have the best WR season by a rookie in team history. Hunt was same year as Pat so I guess he doesn't count.

Also looking back, Chiefs had Marcus Peters, Chris Jones, and Pat as first round picks in a 3 year stretch. Wild.

Chris Jones was drafted in the 2nd round.

14
My goodness, give it a rest KK.
Please don't give it a rest KK.

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15
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: November 23, 2023, 08:56:32 AM »
Andy punting from the MFing 39 yard line is what sent me even more than the fumble, INT, or drops.

It was bad. I'm guessing if it's good weather he tries a FG since it was like 4th and 10 I think.

Pretty sure it was 4th and 4.

16
Other Sports (Tiger's Back) / Re: CHIEFS
« on: November 23, 2023, 08:55:01 AM »
Andy punting from the MFing 39 yard line is what sent me even more than the fumble, INT, or drops.

Absolutely terrible decision.

17
This is really good. Arsenal fans will still cry, to be fair I do think this was a foul on Joelinton, but their process here is sound.
https://twitter.com/NBCSportsSoccer/status/1724523703113785650

How someone can watch that and not think that is a foul by Joelinton on Gabriel is a complete mystery to me. If you are the VAR and don't think it's a foul, your process is not sound, in my opinion.

The ball was probably out of play and Gordon was most likely offside. I get why they couldn't rule on those. I think part of the argument Arteta and Arsenal were making is that in a league where there a billions and billions of pounds (dollars) involved, you should have good enough camera angles to see that. It's an indictment of VAR that there are not good enough angles to say for certain that the ball was out of play and that Gordon was offside.

If VAR calls that a foul, they're calling fouls on damn near every corner or ball crossed into a crowded box. I'm actually fine with that being called a foul by var, but they aren't going to call that, you can't tell if the hands on Gabriel's back is consequential or if he's going over easy, the on field refs have to make that call. Like I said though, I'd rather VAR err on the side of more foul calls and more hand balls.

They should call a lot more fouls. If they would, players would not commit so many.

18
This is really good. Arsenal fans will still cry, to be fair I do think this was a foul on Joelinton, but their process here is sound.
https://twitter.com/NBCSportsSoccer/status/1724523703113785650

How someone can watch that and not think that is a foul by Joelinton on Gabriel is a complete mystery to me. If you are the VAR and don't think it's a foul, your process is not sound, in my opinion.

The ball was probably out of play and Gordon was most likely offside. I get why they couldn't rule on those. I think part of the argument Arteta and Arsenal were making is that in a league where there a billions and billions of pounds (dollars) involved, you should have good enough camera angles to see that. It's an indictment of VAR that there are not good enough angles to say for certain that the ball was out of play and that Gordon was offside.

19
Kansas State Football / Re: We got to beat Texass
« on: November 04, 2023, 04:55:58 PM »
Coulda, shoulda, woulda. We're just a few plays away from having an absolutely remarkable season.
The games we've lost are the games you are supposed to win by having your senior QB make plays at the end of the game.

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Yep, I also think the play calls on those “must get” plays have been complete crap.


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I have no quarrel with this statement.

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20
Kansas State Football / Re: We got to beat Texass
« on: November 04, 2023, 04:51:45 PM »
Coulda, shoulda, woulda. We're just a few plays away from having an absolutely remarkable season.
The games we've lost are the games you are supposed to win by having your senior QB make plays at the end of the game.

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21
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: October
« on: November 01, 2023, 09:40:43 PM »
I hope all my pipes don't burst before Blueville gets around to winterizing my sprinklers.
The ground is so warm your pipes will be fine.

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22
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: midlife crises
« on: September 23, 2023, 09:33:36 AM »
Pecan is my hardwood of choice when I bbq.  Let me know when I can grab a load of trimmings while driving through.

With enough notice, that really wouldn't be a problem.

23
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: midlife crises
« on: September 23, 2023, 09:32:50 AM »
I need to know how you pronounce pecan before I decide how to feel about it

pi-kän' (cross between puh-kahn and pi-kahn)

All of the other pecan farmers in Arkansas that I have met say it the same way.

24
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: midlife crises
« on: September 22, 2023, 02:20:28 PM »
Not sure if this is a mid-life crisis or not, but my wife and I are in the process (under contract) of buying 168 acres in Wilson County, KS. It is primarily a grass property. There are some hardwoods on the southern portion around the creeks. We currently own 80 acres in Wilson County and will likely sell that.

The 168 acres has a house on it and we will move there in the next 3-6 months and sell our current house in Manhattan.

Our plan is to plant a pecan orchard and graze sheep and cattle. We'll probably also do some pastured poultry and pastured pork. The grazing will be done in a Greg Judy-style regenerative way.

In the last 12 months we have also purchased a mature 22-acre pecan orchard that is 15 minutes southeast of Little Rock, AR as well as a retail pecan business that goes along with it. We purchased this with friends of ours from when we lived in Little Rock and they live at the farm to manage the day to day things.

25
Essentially Flyertalk / Re: midlife crises
« on: September 22, 2023, 10:58:31 AM »
So if you retire at 55, what's the move for insurance and accessing tax advantaged retirement accounts?

There are ways to access Roth funds before you are 59 1/2 without penalty.

I imagine a person would get health insurance through the exchange. If your income isn't too high, there would also probably be a lot of subsidies for you. You could structure your income correctly to keep it down to get maximum subsidies.

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