751
Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Baylor
« on: February 13, 2014, 04:09:34 PM »
earholing Wacky? Whats that?
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
Above and beyond the normal ref problems, everyone in the conf basically knows that Sheldon Jr is the absolute worst, over the top, flopper in all of NCAA basketball.
I have seen a bunch of vids online of situations where he doesn't even get touched but flops back violently holding his face like he got elbowed. The refs have totally let him by with this bs behavior lately too.
That and Seldon's big dumb feet being out of bounds when he dives into crowds.
can we have a master list of what people, groups, political parties, religions, universities, genders, age groups, etc. that are
goEMAW approved for mocking, laughing at, and general good time fooling around with and which social segments are on
goEMAW protected list. Thanks, I just don't want to bigot off in the wrong direction.
if you need a list then you need to get your ass away from our message board
Well, can I make fun of republicans on here?
do whatever you want
can we have a master list of what people, groups, political parties, religions, universities, genders, age groups, etc. that are
goEMAW approved for mocking, laughing at, and general good time fooling around with and which social segments are on
goEMAW protected list. Thanks, I just don't want to bigot off in the wrong direction.
if you need a list then you need to get your ass away from our message board
How do we know marcus wasn't "word" flopping?QuoteRyan Aber ?@ryaber 15m
Sure this has been said but OSU radio said immediately after the incident that Smart told the OSU coaches that the fan said THE word
couldn't happen. the superbowl is too big of a single event, on something that big, the book tries to get even money on both sides. in the impossible hypothetical you propose where no matter what line they offered, they couldn't do that, they'd shut the book down.
sports gambling is bettor vs. book period. The book has a 5% advantage with bets at the spread. The bettor has to win 52.chnge% of his even money
bets to break even. The best pro gamblers in the world run slightly above this with an extremely good year topping 60%.
In regard to lines, Pinnacle sports does the math and sets the lines for almost the entire industry. Pinny sends early lines to the pros, the pros look for soft lines and make their bets. Pinny adjusts from their professional player imput then attempts to forecast a line that will draw even action. In the
end books don't care as much about good or bad lines as much as they do even action. With that said and all their forecasting books routinely
have games with lopsided action, and don't really gaf because one game is pretty meaningless they win some and lose some and go on.
on an individual bet, it's better v book. in total, it's better v bettor with the book taking the vig.
on large numbers of small bets, like college bball, they don't try to attract even money, they try to get the line right, to protect themselves against professional money. not the same as one big event.
couldn't happen. the superbowl is too big of a single event, on something that big, the book tries to get even money on both sides. in the impossible hypothetical you propose where no matter what line they offered, they couldn't do that, they'd shut the book down.
Stats-what do I do with them? Are they predictive of future events? can they give me a statistically sound advantage over a bookie?
if you don't use stats, the book has a significant advantage over you. actually the other side of the bet does, not the book.
Really? Explain please
a small number of bettors may have statistical models that are better than the statistical models used to set the lines. tons of betters have access to (and use) models that are only a little bit worse. to the extent that sophisticated bettors can overperform, it comes from bettors who underperform. that group will include both those general bettors that use inferior statistical models and those that don't make use of any statistical information.
Stats-what do I do with them? Are they predictive of future events? can they give me a statistically sound advantage over a bookie?
if you don't use stats, the book has a significant advantage over you. actually the other side of the bet does, not the book.
Predictive: if we allow 1.10 ppp and play games at 70+ possessions we will not win another road game this year. We were fortunate against ISU and WVU that we can even talk about turnovers being a factor as poorly as we controlled pace and played defense.