Messages

1776

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Foster > Wiggins, could start for Miami Heat

« on: January 09, 2014, 03:53:55 PM »

So they are saying basically better than Jesus.



(Shuttlesworth)

1777

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: KSU defensive efficiency through the years.

« on: January 09, 2014, 03:45:49 PM »

I don't think the 3 point D is a fluke. At the same time, the D Efficiency is bound to get worse as the  level of competition goes up in conference.

1778

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Reasons We Could Win in AFH

« on: January 09, 2014, 03:41:03 PM »

we show up and play average

lol.

the key is refs letting KSU play defense.  (doubt it happens.)  Probably can survive one or two starters shitting their pants.  Bench has four guys that don't play scared, which will be huge in this environment.

1779

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: spradling played 37 minutes

« on: January 04, 2014, 08:16:14 PM »

Announcer had a great line, "his shot looks like it's always going in, but it usually doesn't."

Still, he played a steady game, never panicked, made OSU keep a man with him at the 3-point line, and there were enough other guys that made plays.

1780

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Can I get a roll call for #teamburnitdown

« on: January 02, 2014, 07:30:17 PM »

What worries me: Shooting, both that of Kansas State and its opponents. The K-State offense has not been particularly good this year. Among Big 12 teams, only TCU ranks lower in the Pomeroy offensive ratings. The reason is poor shooting. Kansas State has made only 30 percent of their three point attempts and 63 percent of their free throws. Both of those totals are costing the Wildcats.
 
Last year, Shane Southwell connected on 48-110 of his three point attempts; so far this season he is 15-52. Will Spradling, another solid shooter last year, is currently 18-57 from long range. The only Wildcat currently shooting a decent percentage from long range is freshman guard Marcus Foster, who has hit 35 percent of his threes.
 
Now, I think the shooting of Southwell and Spradling is likely to turn around. But even if it does, Kansas State doesn't seem to have enough fire-power. Weber's team will have to win with their D.
 
Which brings us to the following concern. Kansas State has held opponents to 0.90 points per possession so far this year. That is an outstanding number. But much of their success comes from the fact that opponents have made only 26 percent of their three pointers and have only hit 62 percent of their free throws; both of these totals fall in the bottom ten of D-I.
 
And both aren't likely to persist. Over the long haul, opponent three point percentage and free throw percentage tend to revert towards the mean. If these numbers do reach the mean, K-State will give up roughly 7 more points per 100 possessions.

What if EVERY STAT reverts back to the mean?!!!

Every game will go into an infinite number of overtimes!!!

1781

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Not Doubting Thomas; Tulane ADV

« on: December 29, 2013, 06:30:14 PM »

^I agree, but at the same time, I guess there are two things an offense can do, when facing a good 3 Point D. 
1) Take more mid-range shots
2) Put up contested 3s.

KSU opponents seem to be doing the second.


In any case, halfcourt opponent EFG% is really good (ranked 30th in NCAA)

http://hoop-math.com/leader_d2014.php

1782

Jerome Tang Coaches Kansas State Basketball / Re: Not Doubting Thomas; Tulane ADV

« on: December 29, 2013, 05:04:04 PM »

It is a mistake to believe that there is no such thing as good 3-Point Defense. 

Good defensive teams run players off the three point line and force them to take the less valuable mid-range jumper.  I don't think this should be very controversial.