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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: 'taterblast on December 02, 2014, 06:48:48 PM
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Georgia Tech over Florida State
Wisconsin over Ohio State
Kansas State over Baylor
Oregon/Arizona - help me out with this one. Do we want Arizona to lose so we jump them? or does it even matter because if Arizona wins they would just replace Oregon in the top 4? OR, if Arizona wins do we jump them both (not likely)?
1 Alabama 11-1
2 Oregon 11-1
3 TCU 10-1
4 Florida State 12-0
5 Ohio State 11-1
6 Baylor 10-1
7 Arizona 10-2
8 Michigan State 10-2
9 Kansas State 9-2
10 Mississippi State 10-2
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Georgia Tech over Florida State
Wisconsin over Ohio State
Kansas State over Baylor
Oregon/Arizona - help me out with this one. Do we want Arizona to lose so we jump them? or does it even matter because if Arizona wins they would just replace Oregon in the top 4?
1 Alabama 11-1
2 Oregon 11-1
3 TCU 10-1
4 Florida State 12-0
5 Ohio State 11-1
6 Baylor 10-1
7 Arizona 10-2
8 Michigan State 10-2
9 Kansas State 9-2
10 Mississippi State 10-2
def want Oregon. We don't Jump a two loss Oregon.
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You might want to get ok_cat's take on this one. He put some real thought into it.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
You're a rough ridin' idiot.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
this is a thread about who to root for on saturday, not what you think is going to happen. idiot.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
this is a thread about who to root for on saturday, not what you think is going to happen. idiot.
Fanning called out my bbs manhood, bro.
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
You're a rough ridin' idiot.
We both said Arizona needs to lose. I'm not sure what your rough ridin' deal is bad person.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
this is a thread about who to root for on saturday, not what you think is going to happen. idiot.
Fanning called out my bbs manhood, bro.
1. We dominated one of those teams, but lost because our ex-fg kicker crap himself. 2. We crap the bed against one of those teams 3. Stop ruining threads.
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
You're a rough ridin' idiot.
We both said Arizona needs to lose. I'm not sure what your rough ridin' deal is bad person.
He thought you meant definitely Arizona (needs to win), just a misinterpretation.
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
You're a rough ridin' idiot.
We both said Arizona needs to lose. I'm not sure what your rough ridin' deal is bad person.
He thought you meant definitely Arizona (needs to win), just a misinterpretation.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
this is a thread about who to root for on saturday, not what you think is going to happen. idiot.
Fanning called out my bbs manhood, bro.
1. We dominated one of those teams, but lost because our ex-fg kicker crap himself. 2. We crap the bed against one of those teams 3. Stop ruining threads.
Sweet moral victories, serious Internet guy
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this is going well
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I think Alabama will stay in the playoff with a loss. They'll probably fall to #4. Honestly, I think it comes down to Iowa state. :frown:
We're in if Arizona, OSU, and FSU lose. We would jump idle MSU if we beat Baylor.
I think all of those teams will lose so I think it will ultimately come down to whether we can beat Baylor...possible if Bryce is really skettied.
We started talking about this in the rankings thread. We think this is the answer.
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Only three things need to happen:
1. Beat bu
2. Gtech beats fsu
3. Wisconsin beats osu
We prefer bama and Oregon to win, so as not to messy things up.
Tcu being above fsu tells us all we need to know about whether a 10-2 big 12 team is better than a 12-1 fsu team.
It's happening guys.
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Tom Fornelli@TomFornelli · 12m 12 minutes ago
The funniest thing about all this debating I’m doing is that I fully expect Kansas State to beat Baylor.
:ksu:
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I know nobody wants to say it, so I will...
Mizzou over Bama.
The question then becomes, will the committee only drop Bama to #4 so that the almighty SEC isn't left out?
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
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How did we do against the two teams with a pulse that we played this year?
They both dominated us because we are slow and unathletic
this is a thread about who to root for on saturday, not what you think is going to happen. idiot.
Fanning called out my bbs manhood, bro.
1. We dominated one of those teams, but lost because our ex-fg kicker crap himself. 2. We crap the bed against one of those teams 3. Stop ruining threads.
Don't let him eff with your ZEAL; only a idiot trying to be gE cool would call the 9th ranked team in the nation un-athletic. By the way, he doesn't even know how to spell big words like un-athletic. :whistle1:
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We need TCU, FSU, and OSU to all lose to have any shot at all.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
nope. you're wrong. would be a lot of fun.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
nope. you're wrong. would be a lot of fun.
This is correct.
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Katdaddy didn't watch the auburn and tcu games :lol:
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Nine teams with a legitimate shot of making the playoff. Of those eight play this week and of those six have a realistic chance of losing. Awesome.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
You don't have to go, or even watch, Debbie Downer
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Katdaddy didn't watch the auburn and tcu games :lol:
Apparently, the CFP committee did.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
You don't have to go, or even watch, Debbie Downer
He wouldn't. Don't worry about it.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
nope. you're wrong. would be a lot of fun.
You'll never know bc there is no chance of us making the playoffs. TCU bama and Oregon could all lose and all stay ahead of us even if we did win (which we won't unless petty is concussed out of my mind).
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Katdaddy didn't watch the auburn and tcu games :lol:
Apparently, the CFP committee did.
Apparently!
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
nope. you're wrong. would be a lot of fun.
You'll never know bc there is no chance of us making the playoffs. TCU bama and Oregon could all lose and all stay ahead of us even if we did win (which we won't unless petty is concussed out of my mind).
we pass TCU if they lose to Iowa State, and we don't even need any of those three to lose to make it in.
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Even if you don't think the Cats have a chance I don't see how you can't be excited for this week of college football. It's going to be amazing with so many teams competing for a last chance to squeak in.
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Even if you don't think the Cats have a chance I don't see how you can't be excited for this week of college football. It's going to be amazing with so many teams competing for a last chance to squeak in.
Yup! :ksu:
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Fanman, this should be a great game for you. Your mancandy will rack up 350+ in a 24 point loss. Heisman!
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
nope. you're wrong. would be a lot of fun.
You'll never know bc there is no chance of us making the playoffs. TCU bama and Oregon could all lose and all stay ahead of us even if we did win (which we won't unless petty is concussed out of my mind).
we pass TCU if they lose to Iowa State, and we don't even need any of those three to lose to make it in.
Yeah, we're in.
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Even if you don't think the Cats have a chance I don't see how you can't be excited for this week of college football. It's going to be amazing with so many teams competing for a last chance to squeak in.
The reason I'm not excited is bc I'm not dumb.
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Fanman, this should be a great game for you. Your mancandy will rack up 350+ in a 24 point loss. Heisman!
I don't think that's something I would get excited about. Something tells me we have two different excitement levels tho between the two of us when gameday arrives. One is changing diapers and the other is all hands on deck.
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Wtf does that even mean
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Even if you don't think the Cats have a chance I don't see how you can't be excited for this week of college football. It's going to be amazing with so many teams competing for a last chance to squeak in.
The reason I'm not excited is bc I'm not dumb.
So if you're excited for arguably the most meaningful weekend of college football ever, then you are dumb? Kim Carnes logic.
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If fsu and tosu both lose and ksu, Oregon, bama, and tcu win, we would have a decent shot. The only question would be if we would jump an fsu team with one loss but not conference champs. The shitty thing is that I think there's a fair chance of all that happening except us winning in Waco.
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If fsu and tosu both lose and ksu, Oregon, bama, and tcu win, we would have a decent shot. The only question would be if we would jump an fsu team with one loss but not conference champs. The shitty thing is that I think there's a fair chance of all that happening except us winning in Waco.
That's pretty much my exact thoughts. I think it really comes down to how well Petty can play coming back from a concussion.
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I'm optimistic since they looked like dog crap last week to a really shitty team.
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I'm optimistic since they looked like dog crap last week to a really shitty team.
I wonder if the CFP committee seen that game.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
Maybe we would want them in the playoff so we have a chance of winning a Natty? :dunno:
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Even if you don't think the Cats have a chance I don't see how you can't be excited for this week of college football. It's going to be amazing with so many teams competing for a last chance to squeak in.
The reason I'm not excited is bc I'm not dumb.
So if you're excited for arguably the most meaningful weekend of college football ever, then you are dumb? Kim Carnes logic.
Oxymoron
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This weekend is no more important than it is any other year. And yea, I'd rather play a bowl game that we have a chance of winning over getting our crap pushed in by 'bama.
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This weekend is no more important than it is any other year. And yea, I'd rather play a bowl game that we have a chance of winning over getting our crap pushed in by 'bama.
Ell's yearly trolling! :cheers: See his NIT acceptance over playing in the NCAA logic. He does a great job with it. :D
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This weekend is no more important than it is any other year. And yea, I'd rather play a bowl game that we have a chance of winning over getting our crap pushed in by 'bama.
As much as I'd want to agree with this and regardless of the outcome in the CFP if we made it, I think it'd be pretty badass for lil ol' K-State to be part of the very first FBS level NCAA playoff.
Losing in the semi-finals >>>> meaningless exhibition win
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Don't fall for the trap, bud.
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My emotional investment is 100% go Cats.
All the other games are just gravy.
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Don't fall for the trap, bud.
:bang:
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It's already been said in the original post but just to reiterate. (as some of you are getting off topic)
Wisconsin beats tOSU
Georgia Tech beats FSU
Oregon beats Arizona
Alabama beats Mizzou
It would help if TCU loses to Iowa State but I'm not going to waste my time with that.
Then the only thing we would have to worry about is Georgia Tech leapfrogging us to get into the final four. They would have had three straight good wins, but with one of their losses being to UNC that probably is too much to overcome. Same with Wisconsin. (lost to NW)
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Why do we want Alabama to beat Mizzou?
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I'm thinking TCU chokes against ISU, and then Baylor chokes against us. Big 12 gets no playoff berths, but we are sole champs.
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Why do we want Alabama to beat Mizzou?
So Mizzou doesn't leapfrog us. I don't think they would, though, if we beat Baylor.
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Why do we want Alabama to beat Mizzou?
So Mizzou doesn't leapfrog us. I don't think they would, though, if we beat Baylor.
Mizzou lost to Indiana. They are not moving from 16 to 4. If by some miracle we make the playoffs, I'd rather the SEC just not be there.
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The only thing crazier than thinking Mizzou has a chance against Bama is thinking Mizzou would leapfrog us if we both win. Maybe Bama's players will all get food poisoning or something.
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This might be an unpopular opinion, but I think this weekend wouldn't be nearly as exciting if it was an eight team playoff.
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This might be an unpopular opinion, but I think this weekend wouldn't be nearly as exciting if it was an eight team playoff.
Yep. Four is the way to do it.
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This might be an unpopular opinion, but I think this weekend wouldn't be nearly as exciting if it was an eight team playoff.
It would be every bit as exciting if conference champions received auto-berths, and last weekend would have been almost as good.
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I'm thinking TCU chokes against ISU, and then Baylor chokes against us. Big 12 gets no playoff berths, but we are sole champs.
won't happen, but would take
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Jake Trotter?@Jake_Trotter·2 mins2 minutes ago
Scenario no one is discussing: say Ga. Tech beats FSU, Wisky beats Ohio St. and K-State rolls in Waco -- 'Cats might be in playoff
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Jake Trotter?@Jake_Trotter·2 mins2 minutes ago
Scenario no one is discussing: say Ga. Tech beats FSU, Wisky beats Ohio St. and K-State rolls in Waco -- 'Cats might be in playoff
Trotters a stud. :ksu:
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Jake Trotter?@Jake_Trotter·2 mins2 minutes ago
Scenario no one is discussing: say Ga. Tech beats FSU, Wisky beats Ohio St. and K-State rolls in Waco -- 'Cats might be in playoff
:peek:
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Damn. I just checked the schd for Saturday. We've got ISU-TCU at 11am, Mizzou-Bama at 3pm, and then everyone else playing at the same time at night. :ohno: Just like '98!
http://espn.go.com/college-football/schedule
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pretty sure TCU didn't play ISU in '98
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I'm thinking TCU chokes against ISU, and then Baylor chokes against us. Big 12 gets no playoff berths, but we are sole champs.
Under this scenario I guess we'd find out just how much the committee really does value a conference champ. Since that would mean cats would be the 10-2 champs of the toughest league in college football and would be left out of the playoff.
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pretty sure TCU didn't play ISU in '98
wut?!
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/college-football-playoff-update-tcu-promotion-shakes-up-odds/
(https://espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2014/12/silver-feature-collegefootball-table1-v5.png?w=610&h=454)
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Our odds should increase to 6 or 7% after we beat Baylor.
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Our odds should increase to 6 or 7% after we beat Baylor.
I would think higher than that,like 10%, but im not good at #math.
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How many things happened last weekend for us to even have a chance this weekend?
1. GaTech beat Georgia
2. Ole Miss beat MSST
3. Stanford beats UCLA
4. OSU loses their QB
5. Petty get's a concussion
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Our odds should increase to 6 or 7% after we beat Baylor.
Well, all of the other games would pretty much be over by that point so our odds would either be very high or non-existant.
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Our odds should increase to 6 or 7% after we beat Baylor.
Well, all of the other games would pretty much be over by that point so our odds would either be very high or non-existant.
Timhawk math says regardless of the Baylor outcome, we are 50:50...either in or not.
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let's do odds, the 'blast way.
cats beat baylor - 35%
Ga Tech beats Fla State - 40%
Oregon beats Arizona - 80%
Wisconsin beats Ohio St - 60%
(.35)(.4)(.8)(.6) = 6.72%
LET'S DO IT
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i got like an 18% on a test once in ksucats discrete math, but that looks 100% legit
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35% seems a bit high for cats over baylor 'blast. I mean, I bleed purple but I'm thinking its like a 15% type of chance.
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35% seems a bit high for cats over baylor 'blast. I mean, I bleed purple but I'm thinking its like a 15% type of chance.
i know :embarrassed:
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bcftoys.com says about 30%, with a weird score:
72.4% PWE :: BAYLOR 28, Kansas State 22
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let's do odds, the 'blast way.
cats beat baylor - 35%
Ga Tech beats Fla State - 40%
Oregon beats Arizona - 80%
Wisconsin beats Ohio St - 60%
(.35)(.4)(.8)(.6) = 6.72%
LET'S DO IT
What algo are these percentages from? Or, are they just arbitrarily made up for your "guesstimation"?
Massey says:
Cats win - 37%
Jackets win - 49%
Duck wins - 77%
Wisky wins - 44%
(.37)(.49)(.77)(.44) = 6.14%
** although I think wisky has a better chance with Barrett out and I doubt Massey factors that in.
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those were my percentages but hey they were pretty close. isn't wisconsin favored?
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bcftoys isn't quite as forgiving.
Cats win - .276
Jackets win - .383
Ducks win - .706
Wisc win - .373
.029
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I had our odds at about 5-10% after this last Saturday. So that seems about right.
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bcftoys isn't quite as forgiving.
Cats win - .276
Jackets win - .383
Ducks win - .706
Wisc win - .373
.029
Isn't Wisonsin like a 4 point favorite now? I don't think they are factoring in Barretts injury.
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bcftoys isn't quite as forgiving.
Cats win - .276
Jackets win - .383
Ducks win - .706
Wisc win - .373
.029
Isn't Wisonsin like a 4 point favorite now? I don't think they are factoring in Barretts injury.
Probably not.
http://www.bcftoys.com/2014-game-projections/
Thursday, December 4th
69.4% PWE :: EAST CAROLINA 27, Central Florida 22
Friday, December 5th
73.8% PWE :: Northern Illinois 36, Bowling Green 27
70.6% PWE :: Oregon 33, Arizona 25
Saturday, December 6th
80.5% PWE :: Alabama 26, Missouri 13
72.4% PWE :: BAYLOR 28, Kansas State 22
96.5% PWE :: BOISE STATE 41, Fresno State 13
60.8% PWE :: CINCINNATI 27, Houston 23
83.2% PWE :: CONNECTICUT 21, SMU 10
60.7% PWE :: Georgia Tech 33, Florida State 31
80.5% PWE :: MARSHALL 24, Louisiana Tech 14
62.7% PWE :: Ohio State 25, Wisconsin 22
98.0% PWE :: OKLAHOMA 44, Oklahoma State 15
98.3% PWE :: TCU 47, Iowa State 15
62.2% PWE :: Temple 16, TULANE 13
Saturday, December 13th
89.8% PWE :: Navy 43, Army 25
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Why would math need to be discreet?
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I would put it at:
'Cats beat Baylor - 30%
GaTech beats FSU - 45%
Wiscy beats OSU - 60%
Oregon beats Zona - 80%
6.48% chance of making the playoff barring something weird like FSU not dropping, Wisy or GaTech jumping us etc...
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Why would math need to be discreet?
i didn't stay around long enough to find out :lol:
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I would put it at:
'Cats beat Baylor - 30%
GaTech beats FSU - 45%
Wiscy beats OSU - 60%
Oregon beats Zona - 80%
6.48% chance of making the playoff barring something weird like FSU not dropping, Wisy or GaTech jumping us etc...
Just for comparison purposes, in this scenario Baylor would have an 18.9% chance, and OSU would have an 18% chance while FSU would have a 55% chance and Zona would have a 20% chance, obviously. GaTech and Wisonsin are at 0% since the committee would have to do something weird to put them in.
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those were my percentages but hey they were pretty close. isn't wisconsin favored?
Yes, Wisconsin is favored based on the Barrett injury. Vegas is giving about 7 pts for Barrett as tOSU would be a 3 pt favorite if Barrett wasn't injured.
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http://www.foxsportsradio.com/articles/fox-sports-daybreak-447180/jordan-stone-recaps-the-new-college-13027470/ (http://www.foxsportsradio.com/articles/fox-sports-daybreak-447180/jordan-stone-recaps-the-new-college-13027470/)
5:20 in the video
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I just ran my numbers and it looks like we have a 0% chance of making the playoff.
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i was having a much easier time deluding myself that we had a sporting chance saturday until pretty much everyone agreed the consensus was 3:1 dogs. When was the last time we were that heavily favored to lose going in?
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i was having a much easier time deluding myself that we had a sporting chance saturday until pretty much everyone agreed the consensus was 3:1 dogs. When was the last time we were that heavily favored to lose going in?
Baylor last year
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i was having a much easier time deluding myself that we had a sporting chance saturday until pretty much everyone agreed the consensus was 3:1 dogs. When was the last time we were that heavily favored to lose going in?
Baylor last year
I would imagine our odds of winning @OU this year were below 40%.
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we were like, 21 point dogs against baylor last year
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we were like, 21 point dogs against baylor last year
Yeah, our odds of winning that game were probably closer to 15-20%.
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i was having a much easier time deluding myself that we had a sporting chance saturday until pretty much everyone agreed the consensus was 3:1 dogs. When was the last time we were that heavily favored to lose going in?
Baylor last year
I would imagine our odds of winning @OU this year were below 40%.
Every year Oklahoma is the toughest game IMO because Stoops has owned Snyder so much. Briles is starting to supplant him though.
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bcftoys isn't quite as forgiving.
Cats win - .276
Jackets win - .383
Ducks win - .706
Wisc win - .373
.029
Isn't Wisonsin like a 4 point favorite now? I don't think they are factoring in Barretts injury.
Probably not.
http://www.bcftoys.com/2014-game-projections/
Thursday, December 4th
69.4% PWE :: EAST CAROLINA 27, Central Florida 22
Friday, December 5th
73.8% PWE :: Northern Illinois 36, Bowling Green 27
70.6% PWE :: Oregon 33, Arizona 25
Saturday, December 6th
80.5% PWE :: Alabama 26, Missouri 13
72.4% PWE :: BAYLOR 28, Kansas State 22
96.5% PWE :: BOISE STATE 41, Fresno State 13
60.8% PWE :: CINCINNATI 27, Houston 23
83.2% PWE :: CONNECTICUT 21, SMU 10
60.7% PWE :: Georgia Tech 33, Florida State 31
80.5% PWE :: MARSHALL 24, Louisiana Tech 14
62.7% PWE :: Ohio State 25, Wisconsin 22
98.0% PWE :: OKLAHOMA 44, Oklahoma State 15
98.3% PWE :: TCU 47, Iowa State 15
62.2% PWE :: Temple 16, TULANE 13
Saturday, December 13th
89.8% PWE :: Navy 43, Army 25
I've been using the bcftoys projections all year and they frankly haven't been a very accurate predictor.
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i was having a much easier time deluding myself that we had a sporting chance saturday until pretty much everyone agreed the consensus was 3:1 dogs. When was the last time we were that heavily favored to lose going in?
Here are our % changes of winning going into every game this year.
ISU - 76.8%
AU - 46.8%
UTEP - 98.0%
Tech - 88.7%
OU - 16.3%
UT - 96.3%
OSU - 94.1%
TCU - 34.0%
WVU - 51.3%
KU - 98.0%
BU - 27.6%
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we were like, 21 point dogs against baylor last year
17 point dogs LY
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/teams/pastresults/2013-2014/team130.html
Interestingly, we are 8-3 ATS this year while Baylor is 6-4-1 ATS.
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
True. A month and a half is a long time.
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If oregon loses, Zona will def jump into the top 5. And there is no way we wont jump a two loss oregon that lost to the same team twice
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If oregon loses, Zona will def jump into the top 5. And there is no way we wont jump a two loss oregon that lost to the same team twice
I'm not sure about that. I would rather the Ducks just win. I think they will.
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If oregon loses, Zona will def jump into the top 5. And there is no way we wont jump a two loss oregon that lost to the same team twice
I'm not sure about that. I would rather the Ducks just win. I think they will.
I think the sec and pac are getting one in either way. I think they take bama in a loss even. Az or Oregon is in. We need to jump fsu and tosu. If they both lose and we win, there a chance. Bama losing couldn't hurt but not sure it matters.
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If oregon loses, Zona will def jump into the top 5. And there is no way we wont jump a two loss oregon that lost to the same team twice
I'm not sure about that. I would rather the Ducks just win. I think they will.
I think the sec and pac are getting one in either way. I think they take bama in a loss even. Az or Oregon is in. We need to jump fsu and tosu. If they both lose and we win, there a chance. Bama losing couldn't hurt but not sure it matters.
Conference championships are supposed to mean something, though.
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I can't reveal my proprietary formula (for obvious reasons), but f(sketti_Petty,OSU_down_another_QB,LHCBS_karma) actually spits out 0.46 (46%). Seriously, though - algorithmic predictos are not capable of accurately accounting for the effects of those two HUGE QB injuries, so I don't see much value in them this weekend.
My fear: if Petty is clearly not 100% or plays little, will the result of our game even matter (assuming TCU wins) in the scenario in which FSU and OSU lose? Could be downgraded to a "meh" victory, but I think we'd still get in. I hope Petty is fully capable on Saturday.
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
True. A month and a half is a long time.
@OU? did i just get clownsuited? is this a clownsuit?
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
True. A month and a half is a long time.
@OU? did i just get clownsuited? is this a clownsuit?
It looks fabulous on you.
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tnx bae
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tnx bae
i meant this one for the island of misfit posts
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
True. A month and a half is a long time.
@OU? did i just get clownsuited? is this a clownsuit?
It looks fabulous on you.
though a month and a half really is FAR TOO LONG
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I know. :frown:
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If oregon loses, Zona will def jump into the top 5. And there is no way we wont jump a two loss oregon that lost to the same team twice
I'm not sure about that. I would rather the Ducks just win. I think they will.
Will take
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I know. :frown:
I thought the consensus was we have about a 6.5% chance of making it?
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I don't think anybody's claiming it's going to happen... Simply that it could happen. We basically need a 3-team moneyline parlay to hit with a 9 pt dog (us), a 4 pt favorite and a 4 pt dog with us controlling our destiny in the most unlikely of the 3 scenarios.
Let that sink in for a minute.
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
I forgot about that CF3.........I'll pipe down
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I don't think anybody's claiming it's going to happen... Simply that it could happen. We basically need a 3-team moneyline parlay to hit with a 9 pt dog (us), a 4 pt favorite and a 4 pt dog with us controlling our destiny in the most unlikely of the 3 scenarios.
Let that sink in for a minute.
:love:
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I know. :frown:
I thought the consensus was we have about a 6.5% chance of making it?
"You'll never make it to the bigtime, kiddo. Might as well study hard." ...said every parent of every prematurely extinguished 5-heart sports pseudoprodigy...ever. Good thing we have nothing but RICHLY NOURISHED 5-hearts, fellas.
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its been so long since we've won a game we shouldn't have.
WE ARE DUE :lynchmob:
True. A month and a half is a long time.
@OU? did i just get clownsuited? is this a clownsuit?
:D
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Fanman, this should be a great game for you. Your mancandy will rack up 350+ in a 24 point loss. Heisman!
I don't think that's something I would get excited about. Something tells me we have two different excitement levels tho between the two of us when gameday arrives. One is changing diapers and the other is all hands on deck.
Burn.
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Why in god's name would you want this team to go to the playoff? It would be no different than one of us stepping into the ring with mike tyson in his prime or a #16 seed in the NCAA tournament. It wouldn't be fun, it would be a joke.
Maybe we would want them in the playoff so we have a chance of winning a Natty? :dunno:
TCU is the big 12s best shot and I know it. I want a confy and fiesta.
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This thread.....and all of the math equations, percentages, derivatives, congruent triangles, fractions, long divisions, square roots, and a whole lot of long winded doggy poo poo.......blows.
We are not going to the playoff.
Lets just beat Baylor and share the big 12 crown, then we can celebrate like the OU dorks did when they shared w/ us, and we can have the TCU dorks make fun of us.
To keep up w/ the thread, I give our chance to beat Baylor at...........11.256%
PIPE don't make me get the PIPE Cleaner out
He has a point with all of us claiming it's going to happen.
I don't think anybody's claiming it's going to happen... Simply that it could happen. We basically need a 3-team moneyline parlay to hit with a 9 pt dog (us), a 4 pt favorite and a 4 pt dog with us controlling our destiny in the most unlikely of the 3 scenarios.
Let that sink in for a minute.
This is why timhawk likes to play parlays.
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go oregon
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25% of the way there, guys.
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if my math is correct our odds go from 6% to 43% with this oregon win
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(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fs10.postimg.org%2Fa4qyj5wrc%2Fbunch_of_dorks.jpg&hash=0cbf4ea9480c15b6071222235d0778b4645156ee)
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
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Definitely Arizona. I doubt they would bump Oregon out if they lost to the same team twice and there were no other one loss teams besides FSU.
You're a rough ridin' idiot.
We both said Arizona needs to lose. I'm not sure what your rough ridin' deal is bad person.
He thought you meant definitely Arizona (needs to win), just a misinterpretation.
Still an bad person. :Ugh:
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
They definitely would. The question is whether they would jump Wisconsin over us because they don't want two big twelve teams in.
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
They definitely would. The question is whether they would jump Wisconsin over us because they don't want two big twelve teams in.
No, no they wouldn't. Everyone is acting like this is the poll-dependent BCS.
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
I disagree wholeheartedly. I'm not sure what they'd do about putting a 2 loss SEC team in if Mizzou pulls the miracle, but they've been looking for a way to leave FSU out.
With that said, I think the Criminoles ass rape the Jackets tonight. (Winston joke not implied)
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
I disagree wholeheartedly. I'm not sure what they'd do about putting a 2 loss SEC team in if Mizzou pulls the miracle, but they've been looking for a way to leave FSU out.
With that said, I think the Criminoles ass rape the Jackets tonight. (Winston joke not implied)
Possibly for FSU, but no way they look at Bama vs KSU based on the whole season and pick us. If they lose today they still have a far better resume than us. We won't get that much credit for a shared big 12 when the team we share it with embarrassed us.
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Ah, just saw your bold...
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
They definitely would. The question is whether they would jump Wisconsin over us because they don't want two big twelve teams in.
No, no they wouldn't. Everyone is acting like this is the poll-dependent BCS.
Ok maybe not Alabama but who cares because there isn't a chance in hell they lose. But Florida State is definitely out if they lose. They've pretty much have already made that clear. Wisconsin or the 'Cats would be in.
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
They definitely would. The question is whether they would jump Wisconsin over us because they don't want two big twelve teams in.
No, no they wouldn't. Everyone is acting like this is the poll-dependent BCS.
Ok maybe not Alabama but who cares because there isn't a chance in hell they lose. But Florida State is definitely out if they lose. They've pretty much have already made that clear. Wisconsin or the 'Cats would be in.
The winner of Wisc - OSU will take it if there is a spot open.
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I'm sure it has been said in this dumb thread, but even if we beat Baylor by 4 TDs the committee won't rank us ahead of a two-loss 'Bama or a one-loss FSU.
They definitely would. The question is whether they would jump Wisconsin over us because they don't want two big twelve teams in.
No, no they wouldn't. Everyone is acting like this is the poll-dependent BCS.
Ok maybe not Alabama but who cares because there isn't a chance in hell they lose. But Florida State is definitely out if they lose. They've pretty much have already made that clear. Wisconsin or the 'Cats would be in.
The winner of Wisc - OSU will take it if there is a spot open.
They have a bad loss to Northwestern so hopefully not!
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Sorry I just got really bummed when I saw the chairman of the committee on gameday. I let myself have hope that if everything went right we could get in, but now I don't feel like that anymore.
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do we want bama to just go ahead and win this game?
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do we want bama to just go ahead and win this game?
I don't think it really matters but Missouri has no chance of getting in regardless.
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No. M I Z. Z O U!
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Sorry I just got really bummed when I saw the chairman of the committee on gameday. I let myself have hope that if everything went right we could get in, but now I don't feel like that anymore.
What did he say?
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Sorry I just got really bummed when I saw the chairman of the committee on gameday. I let myself have hope that if everything went right we could get in, but now I don't feel like that anymore.
What did he say?
That there is no way a team like K-State gets in ahead of a blue-blood with the same or better record.