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General Discussion => The New Joe Montgomery Birther Pit => Topic started by: Sugar Dick on August 23, 2010, 09:26:10 PM

Title: November
Post by: Sugar Dick on August 23, 2010, 09:26:10 PM

I found this website and thought I'd share.  It shows the likely winner based on current polling of the November elections.  It uses all the major polls and some local ones for the less prominent races.

http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php

As of now it has the Dems losing 7 senate seats while repubs pick up 6 with one to "independent" Christ in FL.  It also shows the Dems losing 35 congressional seats and the repubs gaining the same. 

Basically the Repubs need to pick up 3 more Senate seats (counting Christ as repub) and 4 more house seats to regain majorities in both.  A remarkable change in momentum over the last 18 months.  Must have been an enormous increase in old white racist men in that time, either that or everyone is starting realize the dems pulling the strings are a bunch of whacky libs and are throwing the rest out with the bathwater.

Title: Re: November
Post by: Jeffy on August 23, 2010, 10:03:04 PM

Senate:

Some polls have Fiorina leading Boxer in CA.  This one may come down to voter turnout.  We've already seen in the primaries in most locations that conservatives are hitting the voting booth hard.

Rubio/Crist is too close to call right now.  It'll be the same thing.  Meek is going to win the Dem nomination and likely pull most of the black vote from Crist.  I'd put my money on Rubio.

Feingold is a toss-up in WI.

Still loving how Reid's folks keep swallowing the Kool-Aid.  The trash machine is running full speed against Angle.  Voter turnout could be a biggie here too.


House:

I'm not sure Allen Boyd will be able to hold on in Florida.

I don't know anything about Doheny in NY23, but Owens barely edged out Doug Hoffman when Scuzzy dropped out at the last minute in the special.  Owens is slightly ahead in most polls.  That is a traditional republican district.

Title: Re: November
Post by: 06wildcat on August 23, 2010, 10:07:08 PM

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ (http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/)

The ultimate site for election projections (site will probably redirect to NYtimes.com tomorrow since it's now hosted there.)

Title: Re: November
Post by: Sugar Dick on October 11, 2010, 06:24:55 PM

Latest polls have Repubs taking back the Senate by narrow margin, and taking back the House by picking up 47 seats  :eek:.  Also most governors will be Repubs

http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php

Dare we ask the perpetual political talking head rhetorical:  Is this a referendum on BObama and his policies?   :blah: