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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: CHONGS on August 23, 2010, 05:48:11 PM
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| year | plays/game | OE | DE | Ratio(DE/OE) |
| 2004 | 135.2 | 29.56 | 30.56 | 1.034 |
| 2005 | 138.4 | 25.65 | 27.02 | 1.053 |
| 2006 | 127.1 | 24.22 | 25.28 | 1.044 |
| 2007 | 144.9 | 32.80 | 28.70 | 0.875 |
| 2008 | 146.6 | 32.14 | 32.97 | 1.026 |
| 2009 | 130.1 | 23.87 | 24.18 | 1.013 |
This table gives me more hope than I had before about the defense. While still mediocre, in one year Bill has managed to get the DE down by almost 27% which is a very good improvement. This improvement is independent of the slowed down pace, which I thought had accounted for most of the increase in defensive rankings. While the slowing of pace was a huge factor, the defense actually did improve more than I have given it credit for.
The loss of Josh Freeman is clearly evident in the numbers. We had a drop in OE of 26% (the loss of Jordy Nelson resulted in a 2% loss). If we can return to Alan Webb/ Dylan Meier efficiency with a similarly efficient defense we should win 7 games.
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi95.photobucket.com%2Falbums%2Fl150%2Finterficio%2FWins_v_Ratio.png&hash=2092bdaa5c929222f8d5ba1bef2c3bcc2002819b)
The above is what I think we can expect given the ratio of DE/OE. As expected a DE/OE = 1 should result in a .500 team, which we have been hovering around for about 6 years now. As the year progresses, this ratio will be a key stat to track.
2007 was a very underachieving/unlucky team, they should have won 7 games, but only won 5.
For reference the DOD teams routinely had ratios less than 0.4.
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love this stuff
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Chings, I'd love to see an overall comparison at the end of the season between last years and this years data. Just to see how accurate your posts are. I too love this shyte!!
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
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needs more standard deviation
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<- loves Chingon posts.
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
This
Just grow us a pair and tell us how many games you think we will win
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
dunno. chings is pretty smart. he'd easily be in my "top 5 on this board smart list" if i made one. agree that he's probs cuter than your nephew though.
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
This
Just grow us a pair and tell us how many games you think we will win
As I see it right now: 7-8 wins. I am getting more optimistic as the season nears. :dunno: But this is completely separate from the cold hearted stats.
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
This
Just grow us a pair and tell us how many games you think we will win
As I see it right now: 7-8 wins. I am getting more optimistic as the season nears. :dunno: But this is completely separate from the cold hearted stats.
great googly moogly. seriously? btw, chingon is kinda smart. i would probs put him in my top twenty/thirty posters on this site if i made a list of smart people on this site.
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
This
Just grow us a pair and tell us how many games you think we will win
As I see it right now: 7-8 wins. I am getting more optimistic as the season nears. :dunno: But this is completely separate from the cold hearted stats.
great googly moogly. seriously? btw, chingon is kinda smart. i would probs put him in my top twenty/thirty posters on this site if i made a list of smart people on this site.
What can I say, I am getting giddy. When I am right I will lord the crap out of this over all of you filthy motherfuckers. Especially you Rick Daris.
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WHY ARE YOU GETTING MY HOPES UP LIKE THIS
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:angry: I WONT GET MY HOPES UP THIS YEAR CHINGS! YOU CANT TALK ME INTO IT! MY HEART CANNOT TAKE THIS! :angry:
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Chings pretending to be KenPom of football is like my 5 year old nephew pretending to be superman except cuter.
This
Just grow us a pair and tell us how many games you think we will win
As I see it right now: 7-8 wins. I am getting more optimistic as the season nears. :dunno: But this is completely separate from the cold hearted stats.
great googly moogly. seriously? btw, chingon is kinda smart. i would probs put him in my top twenty/thirty posters on this site if i made a list of smart people on this site.
What can I say, I am getting giddy. When I am right I will lord the crap out of this over all of you filthy motherfrackers. Especially you Rick Daris.
well...well...well. seems like someone is trying to cover their bases. you and your cronies had kstate near the bottom of your pre-season poll and now you are guaranteeing 8 wins. i've truly seen it all now. you should really try and peddle your snake oil somewhere else because this fanbase, this message board, is to smart for that. :nono:
Hoo boy! Well, I personally cannot wait to unveil the CPI for football this season, but alas, the Strength of Schedule component won't have any real meaning until about four weeks into the season :frown:. To give a little bit of that CPI flavor though, I went through last seasons data and have the final CPI from 2009. Here is some of that amazing DATA!
1 Alabama
2 Florida
3 TCU
4 Texas
5 Boise State
6 Ohio State
7 Penn State
8 Cincinnati
9 Oklahoma
10 Virginia Tech
11 Central Michigan
12 Nebraska
13 Oregon
14 Pittsburgh
15 Air Force
16 BYU
17 Mississippi
18 Texas Tech
19 Arkansas
20 LSU
21 Clemson
22 Georgia Tech
23 Iowa
24 Wisconsin
25 Miami
26 Rutgers
27 Houston
28 Nevada
29 Oregon State
30 Tennessee
31 North Carolina
32 Stanford
33 Utah
34 Oklahoma State
35 Temple
36 Arizona
37 Connecticut
38 Navy
39 Northern Illinois
40 Boston College
41 Auburn
42 Southern Cal
43 West Virginia
44 Southern Miss
45 Middle Tennessee
46 South Florida
47 Fresno State
48 East Carolina
49 Missouri
50 Central Florida
51 California
52 Kentucky
53 Michigan State
54 Notre Dame
55 Troy
56 Ohio
57 Georgia
58 Louisiana Tech
59 Northwestern
60 South Carolina
61 Michigan
62 Tulsa
63 Bowling Green
64 Arizona State
65 Texas A&M
66 Kansas
67 UCLA
68 Buffalo
69 Wake Forest
70 Kansas State
71 Southern Methodist
72 North Carolina State
73 Arkansas State
74 Purdue
75 Florida State
76 Louisiana-Monroe
77 Washington
78 Iowa State
79 Mississippi State
80 Kent State
81 Western Michigan
82 Duke
83 Idaho
84 Marshall
85 Army
86 Minnesota
87 Texas El Paso
88 New Mexico State
89 Florida Atlantic
90 UAB
91 Louisiana-Lafayette
92 Hawaii
93 Indiana
94 Utah State
95 Eastern Michigan
96 Toledo
97 Ball State
98 Akron
99 San Diego State
100 Tulane
101 Colorado
102 Vanderbilt
103 New Mexico
104 North Texas
105 Rice
106 Illinois
107 Western Kentucky
108 Wyoming
109 Baylor
110 Colorado State
111 UNLV
112 Virginia
113 San Jose State
114 Maryland
115 Memphis
116 Washington State
117 Florida International
118 Syracuse
119 Louisville
120 Miami (Ohio)
Here is the ranking by Raw Offensive Efficiency (number of points scored per 135 plays [includes offensive and defensive possessions])
1 45.4 Boise State
2 41.4 TCU
3 41.2 Nevada
4 39.7 Cincinnati
5 38.6 Texas
6 37.9 Arkansas
7 37.5 Houston
8 37.3 Florida
9 37.0 Stanford
10 37.0 Georgia Tech
11 36.0 Oregon
12 35.4 Fresno State
13 34.9 Pittsburgh
14 34.9 BYU
15 33.7 Alabama
16 33.7 Wisconsin
17 33.6 Northern Illinois
18 33.3 Texas Tech
19 33.2 Central Michigan
20 33.1 Virginia Tech
21 32.6 Oregon State
22 32.6 Idaho
23 32.4 Miami
24 32.3 Clemson
25 31.9 Auburn
[83 23.8 Kansas State ]
Here is the ranking by Raw Defensive Efficiency (number of points allowed per 135 plays [includes offensive and defensive possessions])
1 11.49 Nebraska
2 11.70 Alabama
3 12.39 Florida
4 12.40 Penn State
5 12.63 Ohio State
6 12.63 TCU
7 12.74 Oklahoma
8 14.43 Texas
9 15.32 Air Force
10 15.90 Iowa
11 16.68 Virginia Tech
12 16.73 LSU
13 17.22 Central Michigan
14 17.73 North Carolina
15 18.21 Boise State
16 18.52 Rutgers
17 18.87 Mississippi
18 19.46 Utah
19 19.70 Boston College
20 19.79 Texas Tech
21 20.62 Southern Cal
22 20.78 Cincinnati
23 20.97 South Carolina
24 21.03 Oklahoma State
25 21.05 Pittsburgh
[54 24.17 Kansas State]
Here is the ranking by Raw Tempo (number of possessions per game [includes offensive and defensive possessions])
1 158.01 Houston
2 152.10 Texas A&M
3 148.70 Texas Tech
4 146.81 Middle Tennessee
5 145.79 Florida International
6 143.79 Kansas
7 143.33 Troy
8 143.12 Utah State
9 142.96 Western Michigan
10 142.96 Oklahoma
11 142.87 Tulsa
12 142.86 Southern Miss
13 142.31 Missouri
14 142.14 Texas
15 141.88 Memphis
16 141.30 Texas El Paso
17 141.23 Oregon
18 141.14 Rice
19 140.95 Northwestern
20 140.93 Toledo
21 140.66 New Mexico
22 140.54 Iowa State
23 139.87 Oklahoma State
24 139.74 Louisiana-Lafayette
25 139.71 Baylor
[96 130.11 Kansas State]
This only underscores that fact that the defense was not as greatly improved last year as many people think, rather we simply ran clock and limited the number of possessions. More to come later....
:ksu: :ksu: :ksu:
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Love the dumbasses on this site that try to PI a good/smart poster like chingon. 99 times out of 100 they end up looking like complete idiots.
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Pretty amazing how Snydsies slowed the game down by over 16 plays per game compared to 2008. :eek:
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Love the dumbasses on this site that try to PI a good/smart poster like chingon. 99 times out of 100 they end up looking like complete idiots.
:jerk: