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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: Powercat Posse on January 14, 2018, 12:44:21 AM

Title: Revised 2/7/18 (Battle for 3rd-5th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 14, 2018, 12:44:21 AM
These 4 teams are arguably 5th-8th in B12.

Let's put WV Tech Ou Ku in Tier A
TCU KState Texas Baylor In Tier B
OKSt and ISU Tier C

So if TCU KSU UT and BU can do this to get 9-9...
Go 4-0 vs Tier C
Go 3-3 vs Tier B
go 2-6 vs Tier A


So far....
Vs Tier A =
TCU 0-3 (2 home L)
Ksu 0-3 (2 road L)
Texas 0-1 (home L)
Baylor 0-2 (both road L)

Tier B=
TCU 1-1 (2 road)
Ksu 0-0
Texas 1-1 ( 1 home 1 road)
Baylor 1-1 (2 home)

Tier C=
TCU 0-0
Ksu 2-0 (1 home 1 road)
Texas 1-1 (1 home 1 road)
Baylor 0-1 (1 road)
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: MakeItRain on January 14, 2018, 01:57:31 AM
I don't think TCU is in a group with these other teams, they've probably had the toughest conference schedule to this point. If you're going to include UT here you should probably throw OSU in. I don't think they're good but it's perfectly within the realm of possibility that they could finish ahead of K-State, UT, and Baylor. Baylor might not win a road game this year.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 14, 2018, 05:05:19 AM
very true, Tcu is the best of those 4. I even told  FAN that they were clearly 5th on the eye test.

I put them in the mix (with Tier B) because although they have a road win vs Tier B, they are 0-3 with 2 home losses vs Tier A.   I'd be shocked if they don't finish 5th or at least 6th....but they got work to do to be in Tier A.

Ku is the only Tier A team that doesn't have a win over a fellow Tier A team, but they do have 2 road Wins over Tier B teams.  No Tier A team has lost to a B or C team either.

Ok St at 2-3 should get consideration for Tier B.  For now, I'm gonna keep them in Tier C.  That could change.  Of their next 6 conference games, they get Baylor twice and 3 Tier A teams. 
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: renocat on January 14, 2018, 07:18:23 AM
I hope we do not get wore down and go into a swoon like last year.  Texas and Baylor have big post players that will give us fits.  I am concerned Weber may lose it after his blow up at the refs and he said he was playing for his job. 
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 20, 2018, 09:24:25 PM
Kstate 4-3 = 1-3 vs Tier A. 1-0 vs Tier B. 2-0 vs Tier C.
Only 4 on last 11 games vs Tier A. 

Texas 3-4 =  1-2 vs Tier A. 1-1 vs Tier B. 1-1 vs C.

TCU 2-5 = 0-3 vs Tier A. 1-2 vs Tier B. 1-0 vs C.
 Still have 5 games vs Tier A, 3 of those on road.

Baylor 2-5 = 0-3 vs Tier A. 1-1 vs B. 1-1 vs C.
Home loss to B, road loss to C. No big Wins
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: kso_FAN on January 20, 2018, 09:33:32 PM
Why settle for 5th, when 3rd (at least) is available?
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: pissclams on January 20, 2018, 09:45:53 PM
baylor will beat us, too big in the blocks
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 20, 2018, 09:46:49 PM
Why settle for 5th, when 3rd (at least) is available?

Absolutely.  I think I'm just still doing the math for getting 5th... Because sometimes I get excited, ahead of myself thinking about more..  and then Boom, we have a letdown

A win at Baylor on Monday...and I think we all can start having thoughts like what you just posted
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 20, 2018, 09:55:03 PM
baylor will beat us, too big in the blocks

Maybe. But outside of the OK St game, Baylor in 6 other league games is putting up 0.95 PPP and 43.1 eFG on offense, plus about -5.0% on TO margain.  #ExtremelyBeatable
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: sys on January 20, 2018, 09:55:26 PM
Why settle for 5th, when 3rd (at least) is available?

with stokes finally out of the picture, there's no reason not to dream big.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: The Big Train on January 20, 2018, 10:08:57 PM
baylor will beat us, too big in the blocks

Saving for when this post doesn’t age well.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: gatoveintisiete on January 21, 2018, 01:41:43 AM
Why settle for 5th, when 3rd (at least) is available?

with stokes finally out of the picture, there's no reason not to dream big.

This
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: cat97 on January 21, 2018, 10:03:30 AM
A healthy Stokes last night would have made that a much easier game for us.  Brown would have been able to rest a little.  Brown would not have had to play point guard the entire game.   Stokes on ball defense is good enough he could have guarded Robinson some and given Brown a little more rest. 

Brown, Stokes and Diarra made a really good rotation at guard and also let us go small more often so Claws get some rest with Mawien playing center. 

Very positive development to have Stokes in a couple of weeks and still have a lot of the offense flowing through Claws. 
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!) on January 21, 2018, 02:31:06 PM
Other than @WVU and maybe @OU, I dont see a game on the schedule we shouldn't be able to win.

BU x2.  Suck
UT x2.  Suck
ISU @home.  Suck
TTU @home  Suddenly suck
Ku @home.  Suck
@OSU. Suck
@TCU. Gross
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: stunted on January 21, 2018, 03:10:09 PM
ou is a suddenly suck
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: pissclams on January 21, 2018, 03:32:46 PM
so you guys think we’re going to continue to lead the league in 2/3 pt fg %
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: kso_FAN on January 21, 2018, 03:55:24 PM
so you guys think we’re going to continue to lead the league in 2/3 pt fg %

Maybe, maybe not. Likely top 3 though. Leading after nearly 40% of the schedule doesn't seem like a fluke to me.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: wetwillie on January 21, 2018, 05:50:43 PM
I really thought Shaka would completely dominate at Texas, maybe he still will but the early results have been surprising. 
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: kso_FAN on January 21, 2018, 05:54:13 PM
I really thought Shaka would completely dominate at Texas, maybe he still will but the early results have been surprising.

He wasn't really dominant at VCU, but he had nice tournament runs. Never won a conference regular season title in 6 seasons.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: wetwillie on January 21, 2018, 05:58:32 PM
Was your expectation that he would be a middle of the pack team in year 3?  They don't seem any better right now than with Barnes. I suppose my expectations were too high initially.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: pissclams on January 21, 2018, 06:09:23 PM
he gets out coached on a regular basis and is in over his head when it comes to the coaching part of coaching
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: pissclams on January 21, 2018, 06:13:37 PM
so you guys think we’re going to continue to lead the league in 2/3 pt fg %

Maybe, maybe not. Likely top 3 though. Leading after nearly 40% of the schedule doesn't seem like a fluke to me.

17|18:  .488, .372

16|17:  .461, .362
15|16:  .429, .300
14|15:  .433, .335
13|14:  .434, .331
12|13:  .436, .362

Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: IPA4Me on January 21, 2018, 06:45:13 PM
oscar's teams seem to have stamina issues.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: dal9 on January 21, 2018, 07:27:05 PM
^you say this after barry played 40 and wade 39?
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: IPA4Me on January 21, 2018, 07:52:52 PM
^you say this after barry played 40 and wade 39?
Look at the annual stats. The % falls per those posted
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: MakeItRain on January 21, 2018, 09:13:17 PM
Was your expectation that he would be a middle of the pack team in year 3?  They don't seem any better right now than with Barnes. I suppose my expectations were too high initially.

He lost his leading scorer though. I don't understand why he hasn't installed havoc.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on January 21, 2018, 09:35:40 PM
I glanced at our game logs.  We have been extremely consistent on 2pt FG%.
Over the last 16 games, I believe we have had only 1 game under 52.9% on 2pt.  That was vs WV (10-30 that game) That cost us a chance to win.

Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: kso_FAN on January 22, 2018, 08:58:00 AM
I glanced at our game logs.  We have been extremely consistent on 2pt FG%.
Over the last 16 games, I believe we have had only 1 game under 52.9% on 2pt.  That was vs WV (10-30 that game) That cost us a chance to win.



Yes, and we face another Big 12 team that protects the rim very well. Baylor leads in 2PT% defense and is 2nd in block%, this will be a key to watch tonight.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on January 22, 2018, 09:44:24 AM
I think 9 wins in conference and a win vs Georgia gets us in. This is doable.
Title: Re: Tcu-KState-Texas-Baylor (battle for 5th/6th)
Post by: wetwillie on January 22, 2018, 09:48:55 AM
#bubblelife
Title: Revised 2/7/18 (Battle for 3rd-5th)
Post by: Powercat Posse on February 07, 2018, 10:28:39 PM
Ku or Tech probably gonna win the league.  Cats still have a shot to get 3rd or Tie for 3rd.

WVU-- 
Ok St
TCU
At KU
At Baylor
Iowa St
Texas Tech
At Texas


KState --
Texas Tech
At Ok St
Iowa St
Texas
At OU
At TCu
Baylor


Ou --
At Iowa St
At Texas Tech
Texas
At Ku
KState
At Baylor
Iowa St

-------------------------------------


Here is Texas & Tcu schedule.  Best finish is likely 5th for either one of these

Texas --
At TCU
Baylor
At OU
At Kstate
Ok St
At KU
WV

TCU --
Texas
At WVU
Ok St
At Isu
Baylor
KState
At Texas Tech