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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: AppleJack on March 10, 2017, 11:10:41 PM

Title: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: AppleJack on March 10, 2017, 11:10:41 PM
 :dunno:
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Skipper44 on March 10, 2017, 11:12:38 PM
 :'bye cruel world:
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: TownieCat on March 10, 2017, 11:24:42 PM
Yes
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: catastrophe on March 10, 2017, 11:27:23 PM
I'd be pretty surprised if we didn't but Tourney play-in game vs. no Tourney and oscar out I would be fine either way at this point.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 10, 2017, 11:30:21 PM
Not sure there is enough action of teams getting auto bids in front of us to bump us back out. 

Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.  All you need to do is finish .500 in conference and you're pretty much in.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on March 10, 2017, 11:45:58 PM
Not sure there is enough action of teams getting auto bids in front of us to bump us back out. 

Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.  All you need to do is finish .500 in conference and you're pretty much in.

We didn't even finish .500 and we are pretty much in.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kitten_mittons on March 10, 2017, 11:47:43 PM
Not in.  Pro tip.

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: bucket on March 10, 2017, 11:49:57 PM
Not sure there is enough action of teams getting auto bids in front of us to bump us back out. 

Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.  All you need to do is finish .500 in conference and you're pretty much in.

We didn't even finish .500 and we are pretty much in.

Thanks for all of the money Carl and Mary. We couldn't even win half our games in the rough ridin' conference!  :curse:
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: CHONGS on March 10, 2017, 11:50:36 PM
Insert sleepy cat pic here
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on March 10, 2017, 11:52:28 PM
Not in.  Pro tip.

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk

Pretty much in.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kitten_mittons on March 10, 2017, 11:53:11 PM
[quote name="Rage Against the McKee" post=1695596 timestamp=1489211548]
[quote name="kitten_mittons" post=1695592 timestamp=1489211263]
Not in.  Pro tip.

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Pretty much in.
[/quote]
 Pretty much. Except not.

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kitten_mittons on March 10, 2017, 11:54:55 PM
Nm
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Powercat Posse on March 11, 2017, 12:00:13 AM
We will be playing in Dayton either Tuesday or Wednesday.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kitten_mittons on March 11, 2017, 12:12:24 AM
"Hey, they almost beat Kansas twice!  IN!"

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on March 11, 2017, 06:51:31 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Joker on March 11, 2017, 07:47:15 AM
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theerrolflynnblog.com%2Fwordpress%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2016%2F01%2F0d241a7f233a6b1d06a8e99eaba63fbe.jpg&hash=512ea58265a2afabf18010a8b65a768c2dbde2e7)
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 09:47:13 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 10:09:42 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
are there any autobids that could bump US or teams playing today for trophies that have done enough?
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 10:11:24 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.

And that's still from yesterday at noon. It will be interesting to see how it shakes up today. To be fair, a  1 point loss to a 4 seed should not change anything at all. I don't believe any of the teams fighting for spots with us have done anything to supplant us now, our Baylor win Thursday is still probably the best bubble win this weekend.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 10:14:55 AM
http://cjonline.com/sports/catzone/2017-03-11/k-state-plays-waiting-game-ncaa-tournament
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: catastrophe on March 11, 2017, 10:16:39 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.

Yes, but there are only realistically two teams still competing for those spots.  Both would have to do something pretty amazing to bump KSU.

Also...and I've said this before...but I have no idea why so many people think Syracuse is safe.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 10:23:15 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
are there any autobids that could bump US or teams playing today for trophies that have done enough?

There are five tournaments left in which a bid can potentially be stolen
SEC
AAC
Mountain West
CUSA
A10
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Pett on March 11, 2017, 10:26:02 AM
yes, the play-in game. so it doesn't count.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: TownieCat on March 11, 2017, 10:45:47 AM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
are there any autobids that could bump US or teams playing today for trophies that have done enough?

There are five tournaments left in which a bid can potentially be stolen
SEC
AAC
Mountain West
CUSA
A10
The most likely of these is the A10. K-State needs Rhode Island to lose today and VCU to win the tournament.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 10:47:20 AM
Yeah, I think we're still in. Surprisingly, road/neutral should help us a lot.

(https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20170311/a049faf515366a17f3bde632d77f640f.jpg)
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: The Big Train on March 11, 2017, 10:54:03 AM
:sdeek:

https://twitter.com/tylerdreiling/status/840601598514610176
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 11:00:37 AM
Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.

Not a good comparison for measure of success.

64% of football teams make a bowl game.
19% of basketball teams make the tournament.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 11:11:03 AM
Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.

Not a good comparison for measure of success.

64% of football teams make a bowl game.
19% of basketball teams make the tournament.

Even the NIT isn't a good comparison. Maybe one of those other tournaments is like the low level bowls.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 11:23:42 AM
Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.

Not a good comparison for measure of success.

64% of football teams make a bowl game.
19% of basketball teams make the tournament.

Rerun those numbers in the parameters I suggested.
65 P5 teams.  39 are projected in right now.  So 60% in. 

So yeah, it's a pretty good comparison at how watered down things are today.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 11:40:07 AM
I don't see why P5 matters. There are also 32 auto bids.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kim carnes on March 11, 2017, 11:49:11 AM
Well, we are a P5 team.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 12:01:00 PM
We're also a Kansas team!
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 12:03:05 PM
I don't see why P5 matters. There are also 32 auto bids.
As noted it's what we are.  But broadly, it's because just finishing in the upper half of these conferences gives you a damn good chance of finishing with a bid.  And my issue is with the cat fans who think a tourney birth should be a metric for success for our program.  It's the baseline minimum in my book, akin to keeping your player eligible.  Missing should be seen as a failure, multiple times a fireable offense. 
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 12:05:53 PM
Lets be real though, being in a highly rated P5 and the expanded field makes an invite nearly the same as a 6-6 bowl invite.

Not a good comparison for measure of success.

64% of football teams make a bowl game.
19% of basketball teams make the tournament.

Rerun those numbers in the parameters I suggested.
65 P5 teams.  39 are projected in right now.  So 60% in. 

So yeah, it's a pretty good comparison at how watered down things are today.

I get that, but NCAA basketball is absolutely not watered down like football. Non P5 schools are better and capable of regular final 4 appearances and natural titles. 4 extra teams in the tournament isn't a big deal. Even NIT selection is valid now compared to just letting in P5 teams willing to sell home games like it was in the 90s.

We can argue the merits of keeping oscar, etc, but it doesn't have much to do with him being lucky to be on the bubble because of basketball being worse than it was because objectively it absolutely is not.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 12:14:29 PM
Teams don't get selected on the basis of conference. They're compared against the entire field.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 12:17:31 PM
Teams don't get selected on the basis of conference. They're compared against the entire field.

That's obtuse
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 12:20:15 PM
Teams don't get selected on the basis of conference. They're compared against the entire field.
You know that isn't correct or else we wouldn't talk about conference RPI.  Don't remake my comments into saying the top half of the P5 get in by rule because they are in a P5.  There are numerous times where people could make the argument for nonP5 teams to get in over middle of the road P5 teams.  You're telling me that in these "lesser conferences" that the 2nd place tourney team shouldn't get in over us or the 7th team from the Big 10? Nonsense, the conference makes a big deal in selection process. 
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 12:23:52 PM
The SEC is a great example of how a team can do well in a P5 conference and not be selected. In most cases, team that do well in a P5 conference do so because they are actually good teams. It's not just that they're good relative to their conference.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 12:29:27 PM
The SEC is a great example of how a team can do well in a P5 conference and not be selected. In most cases, team that do well in a P5 conference do so because they are actually good teams. It's not just that they're good relative to their conference.

Who is "doing well" in the SEC but is a threat to get left out? Vermont was undefeated in the America East yet they were one possession from getting left out of the tournament over a team like K-State, Vandy, or Michigan State. If conference affiliation didn't matter Illinois State would be looking at a single digit seed instead of the NIT.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 12:31:22 PM
The SEC is a great example of how a team can do well in a P5 conference and not be selected. In most cases, team that do well in a P5 conference do so because they are actually good teams. It's not just that they're good relative to their conference.

What team in the SEC is going well that isn't going to get selected?

I think they're projected at 5 teams in? I think the PAC is a better argument maybe since they're only looking at 4 in their massive conference.

But lets not get too lost in singular team scenarios.  Your using an example of a conference that didn't know they had basketball teams outside of Kentucky and Florida.  Look at the Big 12, Big 10, Big East (p5 in basketball kinda?) , and ACC for better point evidence to my point.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 12:31:58 PM
The SEC is consistently the worst P5 conference and they play an unbalanced schedule.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: chum1 on March 11, 2017, 12:45:54 PM
I believe the suggested criteria for "doing well" in a P5 conference was finishing in the top half or above .500 or something like that. In any case, if the B12 was as shitty as the SEC, it wouldn't get any teams in either.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on March 11, 2017, 12:47:39 PM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.

Yes, but there are only realistically two teams still competing for those spots.  Both would have to do something pretty amazing to bump KSU.

Also...and I've said this before...but I have no idea why so many people think Syracuse is safe.

Syracuse has a decent chance to get in because they are Syracuse and the process is subjective. I think they are more likely to get left out, though.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: kso_FAN on March 11, 2017, 12:56:04 PM
I believe the suggested criteria for "doing well" in a P5 conference was finishing in the top half or above .500 or something like that. In any case, if the B12 was as shitty as the SEC, it wouldn't get any teams in either.

I can agree with that.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 12:56:49 PM
The SEC is consistently the worst P5 conference and they play an unbalanced schedule.
I don't think anyone is crazy enough to argue that they are good by any means. 

But kinda speaks to the issue. 

Kentucky and UF, obvious.

Ark, USC, Vandy and if Bama shocks Kentucky?  Creates an interesting issue for "lesser" conference teams.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 02:33:48 PM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
are there any autobids that could bump US or teams playing today for trophies that have done enough?

There are five tournaments left in which a bid can potentially be stolen
SEC
AAC
Mountain West
CUSA
A10

Good bye Alabama and Davidson
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 02:37:20 PM
I believe the suggested criteria for "doing well" in a P5 conference was finishing in the top half or above .500 or something like that. In any case, if the B12 was as shitty as the SEC, it wouldn't get any teams in either.

I can agree with that.

As do I. I am struggling to figure out what this has to do chum previously intimating that being in a P5 conference has no advantage attached when it comes to the selection process.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: ednksu on March 11, 2017, 04:00:49 PM
I believe the suggested criteria for "doing well" in a P5 conference was finishing in the top half or above .500 or something like that. In any case, if the B12 was as shitty as the SEC, it wouldn't get any teams in either.

You realize you're the one who made that argument right?
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: MakeItRain on March 11, 2017, 04:47:45 PM
We're in you rough ridin' weirdos.

The bracket matrix has us as the next to last at large, it's very close.
are there any autobids that could bump US or teams playing today for trophies that have done enough?

There are five tournaments left in which a bid can potentially be stolen
SEC
AAC
Mountain West
CUSA
A10

Good bye Alabama and Davidson

I struck the A10 but I guess Rhode Island could be considered a bid steal since they are behind us on the matrix.
Title: Re: Does this team make the NCAA tournament?
Post by: cfbandyman on March 11, 2017, 04:57:13 PM
(https://annstawski.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/magic-8-ball.jpg?w=529)