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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:10:44 PM

Title: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:10:44 PM
ranknamescoreadj offadj defluck
1Iowa92.70.54-0.2724.2
2Alabama91.50.42-1.442.9
3Clemson911.27-1.02-3.2
4Ohio St.90.40.31-1.071.6
5Oklahoma90.30.79-1.012.2
6Michigan90.20.73-0.772.5
7Baylor90.11.74-0.594.8
8Notre Dame87.90.99-0.5110.1
9Florida86.90.09-0.856.1
10Oklahoma St.86.80.59-0.6410.7
11North Carolina86.60.71-0.467.5
12Stanford81.51.31-0.36-6
13Michigan St.80.40.66-0.66-2.6
14Florida St.79.90.5-0.570.4
15Washington St.76.20.47-0.31-3
16Mississippi St.74.50.7-0.750.7
17Wisconsin74.2-0.1-0.73-4.8
18UCLA73.80.45-0.53-3.7
19Mississippi73.30.96-0.35-3.1
20Utah72.60.03-0.730.5
21Georgia72.10.19-0.72-7
22Penn St.70.9-0.11-0.73-1.2
23Oregon70.80.93-0.1113.2
24Louisiana St.69.90.76-0.43-7.7
25TCU69.40.46-0.192.2

ranknamescoreadj offadj defluck
5Oklahoma90.30.79-1.012.2
7Baylor90.11.74-0.594.8
10Oklahoma St.86.80.59-0.6410.7
25TCU69.40.46-0.192.2
31West Virginia64.10.38-0.76-2.2
38Texas Tech53.41.010.634.4
50Texas38.1-0.64-0.096.2
53Iowa St.36.4-0.22-0.22.6
56Kansas St.29.9-0.1500.9
66Kansas1.9-1.380.971.6

Even with the win, the Cats fell a bit more in the CHiPPER :frown:
#7 in offense efficiency
#8 in defensive efficiency
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:12:34 PM
Predicto for the Cats - Hawks Sunflower Showdown!!!

Cats - 31
Hawks - 12

That 20pt spread looks like it's on the money (HA!).

Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:19:56 PM
Iowa?  :lol:
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:24:03 PM
ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:24:44 PM
1   Alabama   97.5
2   Clemson   96.6
3   Ohio State   95.7
4   Oklahoma   94.7
5   North Carolina   94.1
6   Baylor   93.9
7   Iowa   93.0
8   Navy   92.4
9   Florida   91.7
10   Notre Dame   91.6
11   Florida State   91.3
12   Michigan   91.0
13   Mississippi   90.4
14   Toledo   89.4
15   Appalachian State   89.3
16   Houston   89.2
17   Oklahoma State   89.2
18   Stanford   88.0
19   TCU   87.8
20   Michigan State   87.8
21   Marshall   87.6
22   Mississippi State   87.3
23   Western Kentucky   87.3
24   Wisconsin   86.8
25   Georgia   86.8


4   Oklahoma   94.7
6   Baylor   93.9
17   Oklahoma State   89.2
19   TCU   87.8
51   West Virginia   80.1
58   Texas Tech   78.1
82   Texas   72.9
88   Kansas State   71.2
94   Iowa State   68.4
127   Kansas   53.8


Kansas State 44
Kansas 22

Texas Tech 39
Texas 33

Baylor 40
TCU 35

Iowa State 24
West Virginia 37

Oklahoma 36
Oklahoma State 31
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:26:01 PM
ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama

i like it!  :thumbs:
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:28:38 PM
Iowa?  :lol:
They have earned it so far, but its very close between 1-11 honestly.  But If they played Alabama tomorrow CHiPPER thinks they would lose by a touchdown.
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:36:35 PM
ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: wetwillie on November 25, 2015, 02:42:49 PM
can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:43:11 PM
I mean if you look at the adj off and def, you can see Iowa is primed to lose a game, but they just haven't yet.

Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:43:41 PM
ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson
How is OSU winning the Big Ten?
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 02:45:26 PM
can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?
WVU - 34
Cats - 14

but I dunno man....
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: wetwillie on November 25, 2015, 02:47:21 PM
that makes me very sad
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:47:33 PM
I mean if you look at the adj off and def, you can see Iowa is primed to lose a game, but they just haven't yet.

yeah, do you calculate "luck" like kenpom?

sagarag luck:

1. UTEP 0.133
2. Michigan State 0.123
3. Washington State 0.116
4. Rice 0.107
5. Iowa 0.100
.
.
.
124. Mississippi -0.116
125. Washington -0.142
126. Maryland -0.163
127. Georgia Tech -0.169
128. Boston College -0.223
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:50:28 PM
ChIPPS using SAGARAG

1. Alabama
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina

6. Baylor
3. Ohio State

7. Navy
2. Clemson
How is OSU winning the Big Ten?

hmm i just took my highest rated big 10 team. if msu loses at home to penn state, tosu has a chance
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 02:51:29 PM
can you guys simulate the score of a KSU vs WVU game if it happened this weekend?
WVU - 34
Cats - 14

but I dunno man....

West Virginia 35
Kansas State 27
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 03:03:37 PM
oh I found a slight mistake in my computations... (yes while looking at luck).  I am going to modify the above rankings... stay tuned!
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 03:12:22 PM
Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers.  As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team.  Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23% 
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: mocat on November 25, 2015, 04:10:23 PM
Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers.  As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team.  Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23%

that's pretty close to what i got! where does Mich St rank in your luck ranking?
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: The Big Train on November 25, 2015, 04:32:16 PM

ChIPPS

Automatic bid:
Winner of each P5 conference
Hightest ranked midmajor
Two wildcards (two highest ranked P5 teams remaining, with the caveat that a conference can have at most two representatives in the playoffs)

1. Iowa
8. Stanford

4. Oklahoma
5. Ohio St.

6. Baylor
3. Clemson

7. Navy
2. Alabama

i like it!  :thumbs:

It's not nice to lie mocat
Title: Re: ChiPPER 2015 (Nov 25 2015)
Post by: CHONGS on November 25, 2015, 04:55:29 PM
Sooooo. Iowa has a "luck" of 24% which means they have an actual win% about 24% higher than should be expected with their efficiency numbers.  As it turns out, they are in fact the "luckiest" P5 team.  Washington seems to be the "unluckiest" at -23%

that's pretty close to what i got! where does Mich St rank in your luck ranking?
-2.6%