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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: CHONGS on October 19, 2014, 04:33:09 PM

Title: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: CHONGS on October 19, 2014, 04:33:09 PM
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FMDGiYlF.png&hash=81ce7781c451f83ae3f516209ea090aaf9017b08)
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FgpLI43q.png&hash=741d0b55a5a4d1aaff789be38af2ea57b822d96d)

 :ksu: :ksu: :ksu: :ksu: :ksu: :ksu:

ChiMERA thinks the Cats have a good shot at a 10-2 season!
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: DQ12 on October 19, 2014, 04:55:03 PM
CHIMERA do K-State v. TCU!
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: CHONGS on October 19, 2014, 05:01:44 PM
AS OF TODAY:
Kansas State   32   TCU   35

:ohno:
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: DQ12 on October 19, 2014, 05:09:22 PM
AS OF TODAY:
Kansas State   32   TCU   35

:ohno:
Throw that deceitful machine of yours in the garbage!
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: cDubya on October 19, 2014, 05:44:58 PM
Could you be so kind as to show a key for what the abbreviations mean? Some are obvious, others not so much. Pleeeease?   :pray:
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: CHONGS on October 19, 2014, 06:13:55 PM
Below are straight from the box scores/stats:
P/G = Points Scored/Game
P/Ps = Points Scored/Possession (avg number of points scored each offensive/special teams possession)
Def. P/G = Points Allowed/Game
Def. P/Ps = Points Allowed/Possession (avg number of points allowed each defensive/special teams possession)
Net P/Ps = Points Scored (or Allowed if negative)/Possession (avg points gained/lost every possession)

These are adjusted stats (They are adjusted to a common baseline [the "average" FBS opponent] by taking into account the opponents stats relative to the mean.):
Adj. P/Ps = Adjusted Points Scored/Possession (essentially expected P/Ps against an average FBS defense)
Adj. Def. P/Ps = Adjusted Points Scored/Possession (essentially expected Def. P/Ps against an average FBS offense)
Adj. Net P/Ps = Points Scored (or Allowed if negative)/Possession  (essentially expected Net P/Ps against an average FBS offense)

WQ = Win/Loss Quality (A measure of "quality" based on actual accomplishments.  You get more credit for beating a "good" team than losing to one, and less penalty for beating a "bad" team than losing to one.  In a sense this is like a strength of schedule measure, but I dislike the common idea that simply losing to good teams means that you "might" be good. You need to actually beat a good team for a strong schedule to matter.  The result is scaled to be a max of 1 each week).

Rating = Expected Win%. (Given an Adj. Net P/Ps its pretty easy to project an expected win% against an average team.  To this expected win% a bonus is added based on WQ. The actual real-life win% for the team is accounted for as well to come up with the final rating).

Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: cDubya on October 19, 2014, 06:19:27 PM
Thanks, purple pal!  :cheers:
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: mocat on October 20, 2014, 10:10:44 AM
hard to argue SEC bias when all the computers match up:

(snowbrag)

1   Mississippi
2   Mississippi State
3   Auburn
4   Alabama
5   Georgia
6   Marshall
7   Oregon
8   Michigan State
9   Ohio State
10   Florida State
11   Notre Dame
12   TCU
13   Nebraska
14   LSU
15   Oklahoma
16   Baylor
17   Clemson
18   Duke
19   Arizona
20   UCLA
21   USC
22   Kansas State
23   Minnesota
24   Louisville
25   Georgia Southern
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: ChiComCat on October 20, 2014, 10:27:11 AM
Maybe you idiots need to get rid of the formula line IF"SEC"=yes,THEN+10000
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: MadCat on October 20, 2014, 10:59:18 AM
Texas Instruments must employ mostly aggies.
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: CHONGS on October 20, 2014, 11:00:34 AM
Its mostly a scheduling thing.  It will even out as the year progresses.
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: Skipper44 on October 20, 2014, 11:55:49 AM
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FgpLI43q.png&hash=741d0b55a5a4d1aaff789be38af2ea57b822d96d)

Can we see this for the SEC?  tia
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on October 20, 2014, 12:08:32 PM
Can one of you math wizards help to explain how the hell Sagarin still has OU at 6 ahead of TCU (7), Baylor (8) and the 'Cats at 14?!?!?

 :sdeek:
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: DQ12 on October 20, 2014, 12:09:29 PM
Do you guys have to go through and input all the data for every team every week?
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: CHONGS on October 20, 2014, 12:27:19 PM
Do you guys have to go through and input all the data for every team every week?
manually?  nope.  I just have to re-run my code on sunday and it pulls in all of the updated stats from online sources.
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: mocat on October 20, 2014, 12:32:44 PM
DLew i can't even embed a video
Title: Re: ChiMERA Week 8
Post by: DQ12 on October 20, 2014, 12:34:53 PM
Interesting.  This is a lot more techie than I thought.