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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: yoEMAW on January 23, 2014, 08:41:26 AM

Title: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: yoEMAW on January 23, 2014, 08:41:26 AM
Anybody else planning on entering this? If everyone from here submitted a bracket, I feel like the odds are pretty good that one of us would be :kstategrad: by the time this all plays out (please confirm, mocat).

(https://scontent-a-iad.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-frc3/t1/1549353_10151803498746846_733145852_n.jpg)

Anyway, that's the best payout I have found for a perfect bracket, so I plan to save my best one just for this.

Here's the deets: https://www.facebook.com/notes/quicken-loans/quicken-loans-billion-dollar-bracket-challenge-short-form-rules/10152185833560489 (https://www.facebook.com/notes/quicken-loans/quicken-loans-billion-dollar-bracket-challenge-short-form-rules/10152185833560489)
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: mocat on January 23, 2014, 08:44:57 AM
odds are not good yoEMAW
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: yoEMAW on January 23, 2014, 08:47:31 AM
odds are not good yoEMAW

You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 08:51:17 AM
what if 9 or 10 of us win. do we have to split the billion or does each get a billion?
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: TheCatFanSpeaks on January 23, 2014, 08:55:05 AM
what if 9 or 10 of us win. do we have to split the billion or does each get a billion?
You have to split it.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: yoEMAW on January 23, 2014, 09:02:31 AM
what if 9 or 10 of us win. do we have to split the billion or does each get a billion?

No worries, steve. This thing has Buffett's backing.

He's good for it.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: 'taterblast on January 23, 2014, 10:26:30 AM
can't wait to give kstate athletics $100 million with one requirement: lazy river
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: Trogdor on January 23, 2014, 10:32:54 AM
can't wait to give kstate athletics $100 million with one requirement: lazy river

Im going to buy the WSC and have all the seats to myself
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep on January 23, 2014, 10:45:13 AM
what if 9 or 10 of us win. do we have to split the billion or does each get a billion?

I can only hope 3 or 4 goE's win. would make for some interesting BBS'n.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: OK_Cat on January 23, 2014, 11:32:51 AM
how many spare tires could fanning buy with a billion?
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: kynard_fan on January 23, 2014, 12:24:37 PM
Out of the millions of entries, has there ever been a verified perfect bracket in the 64 team bracket era. I seriously doubt it. Otherwise continue with the fantasizing :dubious:
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: Spracne on January 23, 2014, 12:26:14 PM
Out of the millions of entries, has there ever been a verified perfect bracket in the 64 team bracket era. I seriously doubt it. Otherwise continue with the fantasizing :dubious:

I bet you're a blast at parties
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: sonofdaxjones on January 23, 2014, 12:28:17 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep on January 23, 2014, 12:28:36 PM
Out of the millions of entries, has there ever been a verified perfect bracket in the 64 team bracket era. I seriously doubt it. Otherwise continue with the fantasizing :dubious:

I bet you're a blast at parties

 :lol:
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: MadCat on January 23, 2014, 12:41:07 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Probably a better chance of discovering the correct bracket by developing time travel.  :impatient:
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: sonofdaxjones on January 23, 2014, 12:44:34 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Probably a better chance of discovering the correct bracket by developing time travel.  :impatient:

I know, would somebody PLEASE get on that!

Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 01:00:16 PM
Out of the millions of entries, has there ever been a verified perfect bracket in the 64 team bracket era. I seriously doubt it. Otherwise continue with the fantasizing :dubious:

I've done it. We had a 50+ page thread about it on ksufans.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: #LIFE on January 23, 2014, 01:01:57 PM
The championship game would be the most epic nervous shits of all time  :runaway:
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 01:06:34 PM
The championship game would be the most epic nervous shits of all time  :runaway:

unless you are a complete dumbass you have a $500 million bet on whoever you don't have picked.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 01:07:34 PM
The championship game would be the most epic nervous shits of all time  :runaway:

unless you are a complete dumbass you have a $500 million bet on whoever you don't have picked.

a good advisor would instruct you to hedge at the final four or probably even elite eight.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 23, 2014, 01:20:28 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Assuming Creighton shoots 40% from 3 range, their odds of making the first 10 consecutive 3's in a game are 9537:1.  So like crazy crap happens, man.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: yoEMAW on January 23, 2014, 01:22:06 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Or, to put it another way: "You're just as likely to win Powerball three consecutive times as you are to picking a perfect bracket by flipping a coin," Weimerskirch says.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/12/ncaa-tournament-bracket-odds-against-perfect-bracket_n_1340212.html (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/03/12/ncaa-tournament-bracket-odds-against-perfect-bracket_n_1340212.html)



You won't find me flipping coins with a cool Billion on the line. I plan to rely heavily on the three S's (seeds + stats + science), thanks.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 01:22:42 PM
nobody is going to waste their time buying another powerball ticket after they just won the powerball idiots.
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 23, 2014, 01:22:57 PM
ESPN Radio guys were saying you have better odds of winning power ball three times in a row.

So, there's chance.

Assuming Creighton shoots 40% from 3 range, their odds of making the first 10 consecutive 3's in a game are 9537:1.  So like crazy crap happens, man.

They've only played ~2400 games all time, many of those before the 3 ball, so that's more crazy crap, brah!
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 23, 2014, 01:24:39 PM
nobody is going to waste their time buying another powerball ticket after they just won the powerball idiots.

http://www.ibtimes.com/7-time-powerball-winner-richard-lustig-other-victors-offer-lottery-advice-905908
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: sonofdaxjones on January 23, 2014, 01:24:53 PM
nobody is going to waste their time buying another powerball ticket after they just won the powerball idiots.

Yeah
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: #LIFE on January 23, 2014, 01:27:38 PM
The championship game would be the most epic nervous shits of all time  :runaway:

unless you are a complete dumbass you have a $500 million bet on whoever you don't have picked.

Well no crap.  Expect most non-KSU'ers don't have $500 million laying around in their couch cushions
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: steve dave on January 23, 2014, 01:29:18 PM
The championship game would be the most epic nervous shits of all time  :runaway:

unless you are a complete dumbass you have a $500 million bet on whoever you don't have picked.

Well no crap.  Expect most non-KSU'ers don't have $500 million laying around in their couch cushions

I'd finance you for 10%
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep on January 23, 2014, 01:57:23 PM
id be interested to see what the odds change to if you put every #1 and #2 seed through the first (round of 64) round...
Title: Re: Billion $ Bracket Challenge
Post by: The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep on January 23, 2014, 02:10:12 PM
so... heres a little fun math game.

say you eliminate the top 4 seeds from losing their round of 64 game. push them all through... that's 2^47 (number of games left to choose). you've just increased your odds by 65 thousand.

boom. TTHOTUC just helped you outsmart warren buffet. now all you need is chalk and a one in 1 quintillionth of a chance. youre welcome.