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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: CHONGS on October 13, 2013, 04:37:34 PM

Title: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: CHONGS on October 13, 2013, 04:37:34 PM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           
#   Team    Adj Off Eff Off Drives Adj Def Eff  Def Drives  Δ Eff
1Florida State4.3711.81.1711.43.2
2Baylor4.3314.61.5215.2.81
3Oregon3.9514.331.2114.672.73
4Alabama3.3811.670.9111.52.47
5Louisville3.5310.671.1110.832.43
6Washington3.3311.831.0812.2.25
7UCLA3.3512.81.1513.62.2
8Ohio State3.7812.671.5812.332.2
9Miami (Florida)3.713.1.5113.62.18
10LSU3.7910.51.6711.572.12
11Missouri3.512.671.4713.2.03
12Wisconsin3.0212.331.0412.671.98
13Stanford3.3611.671.5411.831.82
14Clemson2.9514.331.2814.331.67
15Auburn2.9512.671.2912.51.65
16Georgia3.6112.51.9912.51.62
17Florida2.3610.330.8410.51.52
18Nebraska3.2112.831.812.831.4
19UCF3.0510.81.6511.41.39
20South Carolina3.3310.671.9610.1.37
21Michigan3.2713.331.913.171.36
22Oklahoma State2.8413.61.4913.61.35
23BYU2.3315.171.0315.331.31
24Mississippi State2.9711.171.711.51.27
25Oklahoma2.7512.51.5312.171.22

                                                                                                                                                         
#   Team    Adj Off Eff Off Drives Adj Def Eff  Def Drives  Δ Eff
2Baylor4.3314.61.5215.2.81
22Oklahoma State2.8413.61.4913.61.35
25Oklahoma2.7512.51.5312.171.22
33Texas Tech2.6815.671.6715.51.01
43Kansas State2.7211.51.9511.670.77
58TCU2.1614.1.7613.830.4
65West Virginia1.8814.51.6814.50.2
67Texas2.3213.332.1313.330.19
72Iowa State2.3513.62.313.20.05
87Kansas1.5814.41.8614.4-0.28

The cats are still sitting in the middle.  Of note: we have the third worst defense in the league which is hidden by having the slowest pace of play in the B12.  I would argue we likely have the second worst as UT has drastically improved in defense eff since the start of the year (which is killing them in ChUMP).


Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: CHONGS on October 13, 2013, 04:38:45 PM
NEXT WEEK PREVIEW:

Using the current stats:

West Virginia   22
Kansas State   36

:ksu:

Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: chemhawk on October 13, 2013, 04:41:48 PM
can we get an updated KSU version that's only #TEAMLIFE?
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: steve dave on October 13, 2013, 05:06:22 PM
Quote from: Chingon on October 13, 2013, 04:38:45 PM
NEXT WEEK PREVIEW:

Using the current stats:

West Virginia   22
Kansas State   36

:ksu:

 :excited:
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: CHONGS on October 13, 2013, 06:49:14 PM
some interesting infographics:

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fimage%2Fweek07_rankings.png&hash=0fa86090105bd8694aacac79cb84c5c3aac7dd84)

This breaks down the rankings (into groups of ~ 10) by conference.  For example the Big12 has 1 team ranked between 1-9 while the Pac 12 has 3.

Avg rank by conference:
                                               
ConferenceAvg Rank
SEC34
Pac 1239
Big Ten40
ACC46
Big 1247
American65
Independent82
MWC83
CUSA90
MAC92
Sun Belt94

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fimage%2Fweek07_pace.png&hash=fb8ad69eb2fee70d2b52d90b296dd9b3fd490cfb)

Similar to the above graphic, but displaying avg possesions.

Avg number of possessions by conference:
                                               
ConferenceAvg Rank
Big 1213.8
Pac 1213.3
MWC13.3
CUSA13.
Big Ten12.9
ACC12.9
Sun Belt12.8
American12.6
MAC12.1
Independent12.1
SEC11.5

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fimage%2Fweek07_off.png&hash=7bf5bf91dfcd123ee2f24ae496cd9dd4177c9ef1)

And for offensive efficiency

                                               
ConferenceAvg Off E
SEC3.01
Pac 122.85
Big Ten2.82
ACC2.6
Big 122.56
American2.28
MWC2.24
Independent1.95
CUSA1.89
Sun Belt1.88
MAC1.82

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2FgoEMAW.com%2Fimage%2Fweek07_def.png&hash=2e5e8b3d1f345d1e5dbdb0de5dec1296e3b1b342)

And by defensive efficiency...

                                               
ConferenceAvg Def E
ACC1.75
Pac 121.78
Big 121.79
SEC1.84
Big Ten1.92
American2.
Independent2.41
MWC2.46
CUSA2.48
MAC2.55
Sun Belt2.6


 :Wha:
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: DQ12 on October 13, 2013, 07:10:57 PM
crazy stuff chings!  i'm glad me and ChUMP are in total agreement re. Baylor.

 :eek:
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: Pete on October 13, 2013, 07:32:29 PM
Guys, we could maybe beat OU. 
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: wetwillie on October 13, 2013, 07:42:21 PM
Quote from: Pete on October 13, 2013, 07:32:29 PM
Guys, we could maybe beat OU. 

If they trot out Blake Bell we won't just beat them, will crush them.
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: DQ12 on October 13, 2013, 08:05:18 PM
ChUMP seems to have us going bowling.
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on October 13, 2013, 09:46:05 PM
Some strange scores still getting kicked out by the ChUMP... IE: F$U vs Clemson, All-barn vs aggy, Washington vs ASU, BYU vs Houston, and UCLA vs Stanford

On another note...

Like yours, most math models I've seen have us going either 5-1 or 6-0 but the loss is on the road to Tech, rather than to ou at home.
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: CHONGS on October 20, 2013, 11:52:02 AM
Quote from: Bookie Pimp on October 13, 2013, 09:46:05 PM
Some strange scores still getting kicked out by the ChUMP... IE: F$U vs Clemson, All-barn vs aggy, Washington vs ASU, BYU vs Houston, and UCLA vs Stanford

On another note...

Like yours, most math models I've seen have us going either 5-1 or 6-0 but the loss is on the road to Tech, rather than to ou at home.
F$U vs Clemson

not too bad on this one
Title: Re: ChUMP Week 07
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on October 20, 2013, 11:56:05 AM
Quote from: Chingon on October 20, 2013, 11:52:02 AM
Quote from: Bookie Pimp on October 13, 2013, 09:46:05 PM
Some strange scores still getting kicked out by the ChUMP... IE: F$U vs Clemson, All-barn vs aggy, Washington vs ASU, BYU vs Houston, and UCLA vs Stanford

On another note...

Like yours, most math models I've seen have us going either 5-1 or 6-0 but the loss is on the road to Tech, rather than to ou at home.
F$U vs Clemson

not too bad on this one

Good call, brother. 

Has been interesting to compare game scores across ChUMP, Massey, and The512's algorithm.