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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: Mikeyis4dcats on February 10, 2013, 02:33:06 PM

Title: +9
Post by: Mikeyis4dcats on February 10, 2013, 02:33:06 PM
 :ohno:
Title: Re: +9
Post by: OregonSmock on February 10, 2013, 02:34:59 PM
Bet the farm on K-State.  KU has been awful against the spread this season.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Phil Titola on February 10, 2013, 02:35:13 PM
Moneyline!!!!!!!
Title: +9
Post by: Pete on February 10, 2013, 02:36:58 PM
I thought the line typically came out the day of the game?
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Mikeyis4dcats on February 10, 2013, 02:39:03 PM
I thought the line typically came out the day of the game?

that's why they have the term "early line"
Title: Re: +9
Post by: HerrSonntag on February 10, 2013, 02:39:31 PM
the day before isn't unheard of, especially on saturday/monday games
Title: Re: +9
Post by: wabash909 on February 10, 2013, 02:40:45 PM

Feb. 11   Kansas State                  
6 p.m.    at Kansas                  
    
Point spreads have not been posted for this contest
Title: Re: +9
Post by: HerrSonntag on February 10, 2013, 03:30:59 PM
http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball/odds/pointspread?day=2013-02-11&pg=1 (http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball/odds/pointspread?day=2013-02-11&pg=1)

not all sites have something posted
Title: +9
Post by: Pete on February 10, 2013, 04:32:32 PM
What has the line been on the last 3 KU games?
Title: +9
Post by: Pete on February 10, 2013, 04:33:15 PM
... I mean the last three games that they have played, not the last three times we played them.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: EMAWesome on February 10, 2013, 04:34:27 PM
... I mean the last three games that they have played, not the last three times we played them.

FIXED


KU's Last 5:

Feb 9 - Lost 72-66 at Oklahoma   L (-5½)   O (135½)
Feb 6 - Lost 62-55 at TCU   L (-17)   U (118½)
Feb 2 - Lost 85-80 vs Oklahoma State   L (-9½)   O (129)
Jan 28 - Won 61-56 at West Virginia   L (-8)   U (131)
Jan 26 - Won 67-54 vs Oklahoma   W (-12½)   U (136)

KSU's Last 5:

Feb 9 - Won 79-70 vs Iowa State   W (-6½)   O (137½)
Feb 5 - Won 68-59 at Texas Tech   L (-11)   U (127½)
Feb 2 - Won 52-50 at Oklahoma   W (2)   U (131½)
Jan 30 - Won 83-57 vs Texas   W (-9½)   O (122)
Jan 26 - Lost 73-67 at Iowa State   L (4)   O (136)
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Phil Titola on February 10, 2013, 07:40:29 PM
looks like it's settling in at +7.5
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on February 10, 2013, 08:40:14 PM
  KU has been awful against the spread this season.

This is typical of under-achieving teams. 

Title: Re: +9
Post by: K-S-U-Wildcats! on February 10, 2013, 08:50:02 PM
Wow. So over the last 5 games, uk is underperforming the spread by a whopping 10.1 points, and we've over performed the spread by 3.8. But one more stat to consider: we've got a 97.6% choke rate against uk (with a margin of error of +/- 2 points).
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Winters on February 10, 2013, 09:19:23 PM
Bet the farm on K-State.  KU has been awful against the spread this season.
great post
Title: Re: +9
Post by: wabash909 on February 11, 2013, 08:01:11 AM
Not to be a Nancy Neg, but there's no way we win tonight.

I mean seriously, there is really nothing more predictable in sports than K-State going into Allen Fieldhouse and pissing and shitting themselves in front of everyone.  It's what we do and it has happened almost without exception for the last 25 years.

So here's the script, we will come out tight and nervous, start off insanely bad from the field, let KU begin the game on an 18-4 run, panic, JO will make a lot of weird faces, allow the crowd to take over, wonder aloud why this is happening again, then hope we can cut it to single digits before half time.  Ultimately our star players will finish well below their season averages and some guy like Martavious Irving will have a career night and we'll lose by about 12 points.

That is all.   :gocho:



Title: Re: +9
Post by: mocat on February 11, 2013, 08:15:42 AM
Not to be a Nancy Neg, but there's no way we win tonight.

I mean seriously, there is really nothing more predictable in sports than K-State going into Allen Fieldhouse and pissing and shitting themselves in front of everyone.  It's what we do and it has happened almost without exception for the last 25 years.

So here's the script, we will come out tight and nervous, start of insanely bad from the field, let KU begin the game on an 18-4 run, panic, JO will make a lot of weird faces, allow the crowd to take over, wonder aloud why this is happening again, then hope we can cut it to single digits before half time.  Ultimately our star players will finish well below their season averages and some guy like Martavious Irving will have a career night and we'll lose by about 12 points.

That is all.   :gocho:

Yeah Tay is going to have a career high tonight.

Also JO will have a great game. Won't matter. Remember when Luis Colon went nuts at AFH?
Title: Re: +9
Post by: wabash909 on February 11, 2013, 08:23:26 AM
Remember when Luis Colon went nuts at AFH?

I do not.  But I do remember a fellow by the name of Jermaine Maybank going for 26 in route to a 27 point loss in Allen one time.

Title: Re: +9
Post by: kso_FAN on February 11, 2013, 09:30:21 AM
Remember when Luis Colon went nuts at AFH?

I do not.  But I do remember a fellow by the name of Jermaine Maybank going for 26 in route to a 27 point loss in Allen one time.



Big time Lawrence in Lawrence tonight?
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Alpinist on February 11, 2013, 09:33:39 AM
Remember when Luis Colon went nuts at AFH?

I do not.  But I do remember a fellow by the name of Jermaine Maybank going for 26 in route to a 27 point loss in Allen one time.
MURDA!!
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Phil Titola on February 11, 2013, 09:39:17 AM
 :kstategrad: ML +300
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Stevesie60 on February 11, 2013, 11:48:49 AM
I don't think KU can score well enough to go on a run before the under 12. They may hold us to 4, but at most we'd only be 3 behind.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: 'taterblast on February 11, 2013, 12:10:16 PM
I don't think KU can score well enough to go on a run before the under 12.

the thing is, i fear that they will be able to tonight.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: SabiNation on February 11, 2013, 12:37:05 PM
I don't think KU can score well enough to go on a run before the under 12.

the thing is, i fear that they will be able to tonight.

Any sane fan of Kansas State basketball does.   :frown:
Title: Re: +9
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 11, 2013, 12:44:38 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/
Title: Re: +9
Post by: kso_FAN on February 11, 2013, 01:02:14 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/

 :horrorsurprise:
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Belvis Noland on February 11, 2013, 01:04:52 PM
Not to be a Nancy Neg, but there's no way we win tonight.

I mean seriously, there is really nothing more predictable in sports than K-State going into Allen Fieldhouse and pissing and shitting themselves in front of everyone.  It's what we do and it has happened almost without exception for the last 25 years.

So here's the script, we will come out tight and nervous, start off insanely bad from the field, let KU begin the game on an 18-4 run, panic, JO will make a lot of weird faces, allow the crowd to take over, wonder aloud why this is happening again, then hope we can cut it to single digits before half time.  Ultimately our star players will finish well below their season averages and some guy like Martavious Irving will have a career night and we'll lose by about 12 points.

That is all.   :gocho:

you forgot the part where KU is in the bonus 8 minutes into the game, our best player is on the bench in foul trouble, and KU ends the game shooting 20 more free throws than us. 
Title: Re: +9
Post by: 8manpick on February 11, 2013, 01:16:04 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/

 :horrorsurprise:

What is KU's record against K-State on Big Monday ATS or otherwise?  Answer 0-0.

Title: Re: +9
Post by: ChiComCat on February 11, 2013, 01:18:35 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/

 :horrorsurprise:

What is KU's record at home[/]t K-State on Big Monday ATS or otherwise?  Answer 0-0.



FYP
Title: Re: +9
Post by: 8manpick on February 11, 2013, 01:19:49 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/

 :horrorsurprise:

What is KU's record at home[/]t K-State on Big Monday ATS or otherwise?  Answer 0-0.



FYP
t-y
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Belvis Noland on February 11, 2013, 01:28:21 PM
Another thing to think about.  Our bigs don't have range, allowing Withey to camp under the bucket.

Withey has had matchup problems when rangier forwards pulled him away from the basket, freeing up the paint.  Withey had to respect the range of ISU's Ejim and Niang, OSU's Cobbins and Nash, and OU's Osby.  When he didn't close out, these guys were able to knock down 8-10 ft. mid-rangers.  Ejim, Niang, and Osby had 19, 13, and 17 pts. respectively.  A good chunk of those were not scored at the rim.  Look at KU's losses and the number of points scored by Forwards and Centers.  Withey, Young, Trailer, etc. are probably the worst collection of bigs that KU has had in the last 20 years. 

But, in our loss to KU, we had no post production.  We had 9 points from all of our bigs combined.  Gip (5), JO (4), everybody else (0). 

   
Title: Re: +9
Post by: Gooch on February 11, 2013, 01:29:56 PM
Another thing to think about.  Our bigs don't have range, allowing Withey to camp under the bucket.

Withey has had matchup problems when rangier forwards pulled him away from the basket, freeing up the paint.  Withey had to respect the range of ISU's Ejim and Niang, OSU's Cobbins and Nash, and OU's Osby.  When he didn't close out, these guys were able to knock down 8-10 ft. mid-rangers.  Ejim, Niang, and Osby had 19, 13, and 17 pts. respectively.  A good chunk of those were not scored at the rim.  Look at KU's losses and the number of points scored by Forwards and Centers.  Withey, Young, Trailer, etc. are probably the worst collection of bigs that KU has had in the last 20 years. 

But, in our loss to KU, we had no post production.  We had 9 points from all of our bigs combined.  Gip (5), JO (4), everybody else (0). 

   
NINO!





















































































JK :lol:
Title: Re: +9
Post by: kso_FAN on February 11, 2013, 01:32:15 PM
Another thing to think about.  Our bigs don't have range, allowing Withey to camp under the bucket.

Withey has had matchup problems when rangier forwards pulled him away from the basket, freeing up the paint.  Withey had to respect the range of ISU's Ejim and Niang, OSU's Cobbins and Nash, and OU's Osby.  When he didn't close out, these guys were able to knock down 8-10 ft. mid-rangers.  Ejim, Niang, and Osby had 19, 13, and 17 pts. respectively.  A good chunk of those were not scored at the rim.  Look at KU's losses and the number of points scored by Forwards and Centers.  Withey, Young, Trailer, etc. are probably the worst collection of bigs that KU has had in the last 20 years. 

But, in our loss to KU, we had no post production.  We had 9 points from all of our bigs combined.  Gip (5), JO (4), everybody else (0). 

If they truly don't bring Withey out on Gip or JO, then those guys have to ball screen a bunch. Forces KU to make a decision on Withey hedging and how they will play the ball screens (over or under) with the on-ball defender. We have done that plenty this year with Angel.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: WillieWatanabe on February 11, 2013, 01:32:58 PM
I'm OK with JO shooting 8-10 footers in rhythm.
Title: Re: Re: +9
Post by: SwiftCat on February 11, 2013, 01:49:02 PM
I'm OK with JO shooting 8-10 footers in rhythm.

He's been very average from that range.
Title: Re: +9
Post by: I_have_purplewood on February 11, 2013, 06:26:47 PM
http://www.beyondthebets.com/kansas-state-kansas-point-spread-betting-preview-2013/

 :horrorsurprise:

Welp, wasn't going to do the win-win bet because the spread is too large but this changes my mind.  Betting on the Hawk's tonight guys....    :tsc: (ftp://:tsc:)