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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: Powercat Posse on January 26, 2013, 04:59:01 PM
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Had a great shot to at least go 1-1 this week. Hold Ku to 59 pts and then shoot 57% eFG vs the Clonies and cant win either
Texas and at OU this week. Gotta find a way to still have 2 conf losses come next Saturday night
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No way we win at OU.
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Next week is important if we want separation to get into the Top 3 or 4 of the league. 1-1 doesn't destroy the season (neither did tonight's loss in Ames). But 2-0 creates separation with OU and keeps us at pace with BU and ISU. These are the games that work us out of the 7-9 lines when it comes to seeding in March.
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Next three games are must wins if we want to hold out hope for a 6 seed or higher.
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Next three games are must wins if we want to hold out hope for a 6 seed or higher.
You're talking about the NCAA tournament, right?
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Next three games are must wins if we want to hold out hope for a 6 seed or higher.
You're talking about the NCAA tournament, right?
Yep. Six seed or better in the NCAA's and 3rd or better in confy. Gotta win the next three...
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Yes. 12-6 is still very doable. Our chances of getting that 6 seed are pretty good with 12 wins and 1 in the B12 tourney
Get 2 wins next week and that 12 win plateau looks oh so attainable.
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Yes. 12-6 is still very doable. Our chances of getting that 6 seed are pretty good with 12 wins and 1 in the B12 tourney
Get 2 wins next week and that 12 win plateau looks oh so attainable.
Yes, 12-6 should be fine. We went 4-2 in our first 6. We have 2 more groups of 6 games, the question becomes how doable are 4-2 marks in each stretch?
UT, @OU, @Tech, ISU, @KU, BU.
4-2 looks very doable, and 5-1 is possible. Likely loss @KU, maybe @OU. Every other game we'll be favored and should win.
WVU, @UT, Tech, @BU, TCU, @OSU
The 3 worst teams in the league at home, a loss in any of those is unacceptable. 3 reasonably tough road games, not winning at least 1 would be very disappointing. Very possible to win 2.
I'd say 11-7 would be worst case, 12-6 should be expected, and 13-5 is very reasonable. If we are the team we hope to be anyway, and playing in a league that has some good teams, but nobody besides KU is a legit Top 10 team.
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I wouldn't be surprised at all if Baylor swept us.
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The game in Norman is big. Get that win and its very possible we are sitting at 8-2 in 2 wks
Then those 3 gimme wins at home. That would be 11 wins.
Baylor (home) Texas, Osu, Baylor (road) .....get 1 of those and u get 12.
13 wins is the ceiling. Getting that would be a pleasant surprise
8-1 at home would be great but always a chance Baylor could get us at home. Just be pissed if its someone else beating us in the OOD.
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The game in Norman is big. Get that win and its very possible we are sitting at 8-2 in 2 wks
Then those 3 gimme wins at home. That would be 11 wins.
Baylor (home) Texas, Osu, Baylor (road) .....get 1 of those and u get 12.
13 wins is the ceiling. Getting that would be a pleasant surprise
8-1 at home would be great but always a chance Baylor could get us at home. Just be pissed if its someone else beating us in the OOD.
I want to see more of Baylor before I get too worried about them. They have impressive Big 12 defensive numbers, but they also have played TCU twice, Tech once, and UT once; the worst 3 offenses (efficiency) in the league. OSU was a solid win, but that's a 3-3 Big 12 team and the #6 offense.
Winning in Norman would be a significant step, but a loss doesn't destroy the season.
They key is winning out at home (not easy by any means) and winning the road games against the bottom 4 (already beat WVU, TCU, now need to get Tech and UT). Then steal one more road win (OSU, OU, or BU).
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Lon is going to eff us without a kiss first.
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The game in Norman is big. Get that win and its very possible we are sitting at 8-2 in 2 wks
Then those 3 gimme wins at home. That would be 11 wins.
Baylor (home) Texas, Osu, Baylor (road) .....get 1 of those and u get 12.
13 wins is the ceiling. Getting that would be a pleasant surprise
8-1 at home would be great but always a chance Baylor could get us at home. Just be pissed if its someone else beating us in the OOD.
baylor is a horrible match up for us.
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The game in Norman is big. Get that win and its very possible we are sitting at 8-2 in 2 wks
Then those 3 gimme wins at home. That would be 11 wins.
Baylor (home) Texas, Osu, Baylor (road) .....get 1 of those and u get 12.
13 wins is the ceiling. Getting that would be a pleasant surprise
8-1 at home would be great but always a chance Baylor could get us at home. Just be pissed if its someone else beating us in the OOD.
baylor is a horrible match up for us.
Indeed.
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FWIW:
Final Record Expected RPI Probability
26-4 12.0 0.01%
25-5 13.3 0.30%
24-6 18.0 2.78%
23-7 23.7 10.66%
22-8 30.6 20.63%
21-9 38.4 26.57%
20-10 46.8 22.39%
19-11 56.7 12.11%
18-12 67.9 3.64%
17-13 81.3 0.84%
16-14 96.8 0.05%
15-15 116.0 0.01%
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baylor is a horrible match up for us.
I will conceed they are more talented, but I think I probably view Baylor a bit like you view Iowa State.
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LLoyd Noble center is quiet as a graveyard when the Thunder is in town, but furk, Thunder is in Cleveland.
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LLoyd Noble center is quiet as a graveyard when the Thunder is in town, but furk, Thunder is in Cleveland.
Please. Lloyd Noble is a graveyard all the time. It was never loud even before the Thunder existed.
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If we could somehow go 4-0 before traveling east for our annual beating in AFH that would be HUGE
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FWIW:
Final Record Expected RPI Probability
26-4 12.0 0.01%
25-5 13.3 0.30%
24-6 18.0 2.78%
23-7 23.7 10.66%
22-8 30.6 20.63%
21-9 38.4 26.57%
20-10 46.8 22.39%
19-11 56.7 12.11%
18-12 67.9 3.64%
17-13 81.3 0.84%
16-14 96.8 0.05%
15-15 116.0 0.01%
This makes no sense. Weren't we 11-2 in the noncon? How can we finish with 30 games? :confused:
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FWIW:
Final Record Expected RPI Probability
26-4 12.0 0.01%
25-5 13.3 0.30%
24-6 18.0 2.78%
23-7 23.7 10.66%
22-8 30.6 20.63%
21-9 38.4 26.57%
20-10 46.8 22.39%
19-11 56.7 12.11%
18-12 67.9 3.64%
17-13 81.3 0.84%
16-14 96.8 0.05%
15-15 116.0 0.01%
This makes no sense. Weren't we 11-2 in the noncon? How can we finish with 30 games? :confused:
May not of counted a Fort Hays win or whatever lower level team we played
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I think Cats have best chance of BU, KSU, OU,ISU and OSU to win both games this week. I hope they can do it.
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FWIW:
Final Record Expected RPI Probability
26-4 12.0 0.01%
25-5 13.3 0.30%
24-6 18.0 2.78%
23-7 23.7 10.66%
22-8 30.6 20.63%
21-9 38.4 26.57%
20-10 46.8 22.39%
19-11 56.7 12.11%
18-12 67.9 3.64%
17-13 81.3 0.84%
16-14 96.8 0.05%
15-15 116.0 0.01%
This makes no sense. Weren't we 11-2 in the noncon? How can we finish with 30 games? :confused:
May not of counted a Fort Hays win or whatever lower level team we played
This. Most true RPI sites don't count non-D1 wins. That is from rpiforecast.