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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 10:20:11 AM

Title: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 10:20:11 AM
FWIW, I will be rolling out exclusive Fiesta Bowl previews over the next few days leading up to the game. I'm currently in the process of watching at least 4-5 full Oregon games and breaking down their offense in similar fashion to my breakdowns of K-State's offense. I will do something on their defense and special teams.

Expect the first installment late tonight or tomorrow.

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: AppleJack on December 30, 2012, 10:22:39 AM
 :excited:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: CNS on December 30, 2012, 10:26:31 AM
Fantastic.

Sent from my SGH-T999 using Tapatalk 2

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 12:19:20 PM
Watching/breaking down Oregon's offense is exhausting. They don't do a lot of stuff, but man they play fast running nearly 18 more plays per game on ave than K-State. That said, plenty of Big 12 teams play at similar speeds; Baylor, OK State, Tech.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Pete on December 30, 2012, 12:21:42 PM
Watching/breaking down Oregon's offense is exhausting. They don't do a lot of stuff, but man they play fast running nearly 18 more plays per game on ave than K-State. That said, plenty of Big 12 teams play at similar speeds; Baylor, OK State, Tech.

Are you finding it to be true that they really are simply a team that runs "normal" running plays out of a spread formation?  Or, is there more to it.  Some have been suggesting that is the case....but, I'm not qualified to agree or disagree....
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 12:34:43 PM
Watching/breaking down Oregon's offense is exhausting. They don't do a lot of stuff, but man they play fast running nearly 18 more plays per game on ave than K-State. That said, plenty of Big 12 teams play at similar speeds; Baylor, OK State, Tech.

Are you finding it to be true that they really are simply a team that runs "normal" running plays out of a spread formation?  Or, is there more to it.  Some have been suggesting that is the case....but, I'm not qualified to agree or disagree....

Yes.

Early impressions... 2/3 of their plays will be runs. 3/4 of their runs will be some sort of zone read and they read everybody. I'm just watching the Oregon State game and they have read (left unblocked) literally every position in OSU's front 7.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Pete on December 30, 2012, 12:37:27 PM
Watching/breaking down Oregon's offense is exhausting. They don't do a lot of stuff, but man they play fast running nearly 18 more plays per game on ave than K-State. That said, plenty of Big 12 teams play at similar speeds; Baylor, OK State, Tech.

Are you finding it to be true that they really are simply a team that runs "normal" running plays out of a spread formation?  Or, is there more to it.  Some have been suggesting that is the case....but, I'm not qualified to agree or disagree....

Yes.

Early impressions... 2/3 of their plays will be runs. 3/4 of their runs will be some sort of zone read and they read everybody. I'm just watching the Oregon State game and they have read (left unblocked) literally every position in OSU's front 7.

So, is it because their backs are so shifty/fast that they can make that work so well? 
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 12:43:47 PM
So, is it because their backs are so shifty/fast that they can make that work so well? 

Yes, that mixed with the speed at which they play gets people out of position. Having Zimm back will help a lot with that.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: LickNeckey on December 30, 2012, 12:57:25 PM
will this preview include any inside jokes?

if so please pm me in advance so I can knowingly chuckle as I come across them.  tia
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 01:06:18 PM
will this preview include any inside jokes?

if so please pm me in advance so I can knowingly chuckle as I come across them.  tia

Lots.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Dugout DickStone on December 30, 2012, 02:09:06 PM
I will instantly put it in gizoogle
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Trim on December 30, 2012, 02:12:04 PM
I will instantly put it in gizoogle

Don't gizoogle the bottom parts.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!) on December 30, 2012, 04:33:49 PM
What channel is the game on?
 :lynchmob:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 06:28:33 PM
What channel is the game on?
 :lynchmob:

Plenty of threads to post junk in, don't ruin this one.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: WillieWatanabe on December 30, 2012, 06:34:13 PM
Texas' ability to have some big plays on the edge scares me for this game. Maybe Ty will help. 
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Fake Sugar Dick (WARNING, NOT THE REAL SUGAR DICK!) on December 30, 2012, 06:41:14 PM
What channel is the game on?
 :lynchmob:

Plenty of threads to post junk in, don't ruin this one.

It needs content, and I'm comfortable providing.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 06:44:51 PM
Texas' ability to have some big plays on the edge scares me for this game. Maybe Ty will help. 

Yeah, and Oregon loves the edge. They run stretch and stretch read A LOT.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoodForAnother on December 30, 2012, 06:52:59 PM
I am petrified of this game
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: I_have_purplewood on December 30, 2012, 07:11:48 PM
 :runaway: :runaway: :runaway: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :runaway: :runaway: :runaway: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :runaway: :runaway: :runaway:[/move]] (ftp://[move)
:runaway: :runaway: :runaway: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :runaway: :runaway: :runaway: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :ohno: :runaway: :runaway: :runaway:
[/ftp]
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: BIG APPLE CAT on December 30, 2012, 07:12:32 PM
_FAN, apologies in advance if this is a derpy sounding question but has Oregon faced either a defense or offense comparable to the wild wild cats this season? I guess I feel like the pac12 really did not compare well to the big 12 but admittedly that analysis is based purely on eyeball test comparisons, through big12 lenses to boot. Figured you'd probably have an opinion based more heavily in statistics and sound logical reasoning to support one way or the other.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 30, 2012, 08:08:38 PM
Still early in the 1st half of the Stanford game, but Oregon threw a lot against Stanford. Not quite as dramatic of a game, but reminded me of our Baylor game a bit. And seeing the Baylor "highlights" as the game goes along is very :blindfold:.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: MakeItRain on December 30, 2012, 10:58:56 PM
http://insider.espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/8790421/making-picks-bcs-other-new-year-bowl-games-ncf

Oregon Ducks versus Kansas State Wildcats
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 3)
Oregon is favored by 9 points
Oregon and Kansas State are championship-caliber organizations that get our business on a regular basis. The Ducks are talented enough to deserve the favorite's mantle and well-coached enough to blunt one of the Wildcats' regular advantages. Only seven teams have vanquished Chip Kelly, but it is striking just how well this underdog matches up in its attempt to become the eighth.

Oregon's offense doesn't have many weaknesses, but the ones it does have are as follows: a propensity for fumbling, a tendency to allow tackles for loss, a habit of accruing penalties and an inability to hit long pass plays. Kansas State seems perfectly suited to exploit what few edges Oregon makes available, as the Wildcats cause and collect fumbles, rack up tackles behind the line, accumulate virtually no penalties themselves, and deny cheap scores on long plays.

This Oregon defense is the best Kelly has had, but the Ducks do consistently allow long, methodical multiplay rushing drives and rely quite heavily on their NCAA-leading number of takeaways. Kansas State is perfectly suited to craft the kind of possessions Oregon permits, and the Wildcats boast sublime ball security.

Until last year, the knock on Oregon was that it couldn't beat a physical, downhill team, couldn't win a big game away from Autzen and couldn't conquer the postseason. Wins over Stanford on the Farm and Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl slew those demons, but it's still worth noting that a Fiesta date with Collin Klein and the Wildcats profiles much like Kelly's past defeats.

We won't deny that the favorite is the better team in a vacuum, but the Wildcats match up quite well and field the nation's best special teams to boot. Giving this many points is a generous bonus in a toss-up game between two of the nation's best that we think could be lower-scoring than most project.

The pick: Kansas State 31, Oregon 28
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: BIG APPLE CAT on December 30, 2012, 11:43:55 PM
 :thumbs:
Would take
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: steve dave on December 31, 2012, 08:12:23 AM
 :excited:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: lopakman on December 31, 2012, 09:41:00 AM
Watching/breaking down Oregon's offense is exhausting. They don't do a lot of stuff, but man they play fast running nearly 18 more plays per game on ave than K-State. That said, plenty of Big 12 teams play at similar speeds; Baylor, OK State, Tech.

That's only because of LHC Bill Snyder's grind it out game plan.  Oregon runs the fifth most plays per game average at 84.2 and K-State runs the fifth least at 65.  Plus even with all these plays, their time of possession is only ranked #96 in D1 football vs K-State at #18.  Obviously due to their high powered offense and ability to go 80 yards in less time than it takes LifeofFitz to eat a bucket of KFC.  This game isn't going to be won by time of possession or number of plays but how many yards per play K-State's D can hold Oregon to and turnovers.  Zimmerman is a lock for one INT.  Mark it down.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on December 31, 2012, 09:47:57 AM
"We gonna win!"
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kstate4life on December 31, 2012, 10:20:13 AM
So what do we get if we win? Besides the huge ass trophy.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: SabiNation on December 31, 2012, 10:22:31 AM
Free Tostitos for life, I'm guessing   :crossfingers:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: AppleJack on December 31, 2012, 10:28:22 AM
_Fan, do we have as huge of an advantage on special teams as it would seem to the naked eye?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 10:56:51 AM
Still early in the 1st half of the Stanford game, but Oregon threw a lot against Stanford. Not quite as dramatic of a game, but reminded me of our Baylor game a bit. And seeing the Baylor "highlights" as the game goes along is very :blindfold:.

The reason Oregon threw so much was because Stanford designed recruiting defensive players around stopping the Oregon spread and the front 7 had the size strength speed and stamina to stop the Oregon running game. Which means Oregon throws the ball. Mariota just had a really bad game throwing the ball. If he'd had an "average" passing day, Oregon wins. But Stanford won and deserve the credit for the win, they played well.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: steve dave on December 31, 2012, 11:02:04 AM
That was the best Mariola can play fwiw. I've watched him since Jr. High and he just sucks at throwing. Sorry.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 11:11:49 AM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.



Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 31, 2012, 11:40:53 AM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: SabiNation on December 31, 2012, 11:50:26 AM
granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan.

Let's be honest though, they might as well rename Glendale "Manhattan West"  :gocho:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 12:06:31 PM
That was the best Mariola can play fwiw. I've watched him since Jr. High and he just sucks at throwing. Sorry.

Really? I believe he completed over 70% of his passes in all but three games. Against Stanford he completed only 56%. Also, I'd love to see what stats you have for him from junior high and high school. I thought he really didn't start at QB till his senior season in HS.

Plus I certainly know that what a kid does in Junior High isn't exactly relevant. I know I didn't make varsity in bball, yet I did end up starting as a freshman at a small college. Point is lots change and no I'm not a great athlete.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 12:13:40 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on December 31, 2012, 12:17:40 PM
That was the best Mariola can play fwiw. I've watched him since Jr. High and he just sucks at throwing. Sorry.

Really? I believe he completed over 70% of his passes in all but three games. Against Stanford he completed only 56%. Also, I'd love to see what stats you have for him from junior high and high school. I thought he really didn't start at QB till his senior season in HS.

Plus I certainly know that what a kid does in Junior High isn't exactly relevant. I know I didn't make varsity in bball, yet I did end up starting as a freshman at a small college. Point is lots change and no I'm not a great athlete.
#fanningbrag
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoodForAnother on December 31, 2012, 12:21:41 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 12:24:43 PM
That was the best Mariola can play fwiw. I've watched him since Jr. High and he just sucks at throwing. Sorry.

Really? I believe he completed over 70% of his passes in all but three games. Against Stanford he completed only 56%. Also, I'd love to see what stats you have for him from junior high and high school. I thought he really didn't start at QB till his senior season in HS.

Plus I certainly know that what a kid does in Junior High isn't exactly relevant. I know I didn't make varsity in bball, yet I did end up starting as a freshman at a small college. Point is lots change and no I'm not a great athlete.
#fanningbrag

Wasn't trying to brag, just illustrate a point that is common for kids going from junior high to college and how much they change, mature, grow etc. Sorry you felt it was bragging.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: steve dave on December 31, 2012, 12:25:25 PM
his nickname in 8th grade was smell'iola. 'nuff said.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: eastcat on December 31, 2012, 12:27:13 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards

Solid gameplan  :thumbs:

GoDucks, at what point do the real Oregon fans normally show up? Are you the scout squad?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on December 31, 2012, 12:33:07 PM
That was the best Mariola can play fwiw. I've watched him since Jr. High and he just sucks at throwing. Sorry.

Really? I believe he completed over 70% of his passes in all but three games. Against Stanford he completed only 56%. Also, I'd love to see what stats you have for him from junior high and high school. I thought he really didn't start at QB till his senior season in HS.

Plus I certainly know that what a kid does in Junior High isn't exactly relevant. I know I didn't make varsity in bball, yet I did end up starting as a freshman at a small college. Point is lots change and no I'm not a great athlete.
#fanningbrag

Wasn't trying to brag, just illustrate a point that is common for kids going from junior high to college and how much they change, mature, grow etc. Sorry you felt it was bragging.
It's ok. I do it all the time.  :cheers:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Dugout DickStone on December 31, 2012, 12:43:56 PM
his nickname in 8th grade was smell'iola. 'nuff said.

Are you going for "'nuff said" now?

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on December 31, 2012, 01:27:26 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards

Solid gameplan  :thumbs:

GoDucks, at what point do the real Oregon fans normally show up? Are you the scout squad?

LOL I've only been a Duck fan since 1969......

Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Cire on December 31, 2012, 01:35:45 PM
Oregon is going to Piss pound us, old balls is terrible in bowl games guys
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: eastcat on December 31, 2012, 01:49:27 PM
Oregon is going to Piss pound us, old balls is terrible in bowl games guys

Kim Carnes post.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: lopakman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:52 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards

Solid gameplan  :thumbs:

GoDucks, at what point do the real Oregon fans normally show up? Are you the scout squad?

LOL I've only been a Duck fan since 1969......

Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

GoDucks, I feel like I have to respond to your post since I used to nail an Oregon grad on a fairly regular basis.  She was a huge Duck fan and through our trysts I can confirm that Oregon will neither stuff the run or contain the passing game.  Trust me, I have "inside her" information.

Title: Re: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kitten_mittons on December 31, 2012, 03:42:09 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards

Solid gameplan  :thumbs:

GoDucks, at what point do the real Oregon fans normally show up? Are you the scout squad?

LOL I've only been a Duck fan since 1969......

Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.
Oh, you are just on the wrong ksu site. If any of your grandchildren/great grandchildren are Oregon fans, please direct them here.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on December 31, 2012, 03:51:32 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: eastcat on December 31, 2012, 03:55:01 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

They will put 9 people in the box just like every other team we have played the last 3 years.

Clearly a recipe for success wouldn't you say?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoodForAnother on December 31, 2012, 04:02:14 PM
out of the 25 teams that have tried to stuff the run and force us to pass the last two years, 4 have ended up winning the game
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: eastcat on December 31, 2012, 04:03:47 PM
out of the 25 teams that have tried to stuff the run and force us to pass the last two years, 4 have ended up winning the game

Not to mention 8 of them have had multiple attempts.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 01, 2013, 10:59:43 AM
I'm going to forego the blog and just post stuff here.

What to expect from Oregon's offense.

If you've been paying attention by now you realize that Oregon is a running team. They will mix in the pass effectively, but they want to run the football. Most of their concepts are finesse/zone blocking schemes, but they will include some power football by pulling multiple linemen (I've seen them pull 3 a few times even) and using their tight end (#15, very good player) as an H back/lead blocker. All that said, the base run game for Oregon is zone read/option and they will read anyone and everyone in the front 7 of the defense. They run true zone read where they attack both edges, zone read with a bubble route on the edge, triple option when motioning Thomas to the backfield, using Barner as the dive back, and Thomas as the pitch man. They will attack all edges of the defense until Kelly figures out the weakness in the defense. ON zone read they run both inside zone and stretch, they really like to let Barner/Thomas run to the edge until they find a vertical crease. Mixed in with all this zone read will be some tosses, a few leads (TE leading), occasionally a counter trey type power run, and a few draws for Mariota. Based on what I've watched I'd say we'll probably see 2/3 to 3/4 of their run game be zone read/option football.

The passing game is fairly simple. Mariota spread the ball well, but the biggest threats are their big WR Huff #1, Lyerla #15 the TE, and Thomas #1 (usually a slot WR, but will be anywhere). They will run a ton of zone read play action, sending the TE down the middle seam of the field, or looking for Huff on deep vertical/posts, but they don't throw vertical a lot. I'd say that's the biggest difference from Baylor, Oregon doesn't look to attack down the field a lot with the passing game. They like to test the edges and run a ton of 2 or 3 level routes against zone coverages with a deep route, intermediate route, and short route, often a swing by the Thomas/Barner. Against man they run quite a few short crossing routes as well. Finally, Mariota is really dangerous scrambling, Oregon's biggest play against Stanford was a 70+ yard run when he broke contain.

Formation wise Oregon is fairly simple, almost exclusively a 1 back team. Occasionally Thomas will line up with Barner in a 2 back set, or Thomas will motion to the backfield. Oregon will also often motion their back to either side of Mariota to get the proper alignment for their zone read running game. They mostly run 3 WR/1 TE sets, and balanced formations (2 by 2) with a TE or with 4 WR. They also like 3 WR trips formation, and they will unbalance the defense with the TE lined up to the 3 WR side. Finally, they will run quite a bit of TE with 2 WR split to the same side for TE trips. They are varied game to game, but a big key will be figuring out their tendencies by formation. Its pretty clear Kelly comes up with a game plan going in, and they generally have a package of plays out of each formation and will stay with that package. As the game goes along they won't deviate a lot from that; they are counting on the tendencies they see in the defense and especially for defenses to get into bad alignments because of the speed that they play at.

Keys:

Simply getting lined up right (Zimm back should help tremendously) and tackling. They want to spread you out and create vertical creases in your defense and often the breakdowns occur because defenses aren't gap sound. Also, when you watch Oregon you see a lot of runs where defenses seemingly have Barner/Thomas tackled or contained, and they break one tackle and are off on a 20+ yard run. K-State has tended not to blitz a lot, and that's wise against Oregon's offense. Another way to stop fast pace offenses is to force TOs, but Oregon has gotten a lot better over the season with only 3 TOs their last 5 games. As a result they have won the turnover margin battle in 8 of their last 9. Finally, try to force some FGs. Oregon leads the country, scoring TDs 80+% of the time in the redzone. As a result they've scored at least 42 points in every game except against Stanford. I'm not expecting us to hold them to 14 like Stanford did, but hopefully we can keep them at 35 or below. If the Cats can manage that I think we have a good shot.

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: BIG APPLE CAT on January 01, 2013, 02:57:28 PM
Thoughts on oregon's d? Can we be successful if Klein plays like he did post OkSt or will he have to go skettibrains and run like in the 2nd half of the Texas game?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Dugout DickStone on January 01, 2013, 03:06:01 PM
We are adding a lot of quality new posters.  Love it
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 04:33:27 PM
I think the first quarter will tell a lot about how this game ends. My impression is that K State starts slow on offense. That's not a good thing to do against the Ducks. If K State starts slow and Oregon gets rolling on offense, it's game over. It's just not wise to get behind the Ducks as it gives both the offense and defense a lot more good choices in schemes.

If K State starts slow offensively and doesn't let Oregon get started, it should be a tight game. I'm not to worried about it if Oregon gets behind early, because they can score quickly and don't panic. They could be down 21 in the fourth and still be in the game with a good chance to win.

Lets have a great game with no injuries and may the best team win.

I agree that how the teams start will make a big difference. K-State showed that they they could overcome somewhat slow starts against fast paced, explosive offenses against Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, granted neither team is as talented as Oregon and both games were in Manhattan. The Baylor game was where K-State really got off course and panicked. K-State can't let that happen again.

As far as pace goes, K-State won't be surprised by how fast Oregon plays. 5 Big 12 teams averaged over 76 plays per game and 6 ran plays every 24 seconds of total possession or less. The average number of plays on offense for the Big 12 was 73.9 per game and teams ran plays 24.3 seconds of possession on average. The Pac 12 averages were 73 plays per game and average a play ran ever 24.5 seconds of possession. Overall K-State handled that well, only Baylor and KU reached 80 offensive plays against them. The KU game was skewed because K-State averaged nearly 10 yards per snapped, so possession wasn't as high as normal.

I think too much is said about how many plays get run, time of possession, etc. I do not expect K State to be surprised at all by the pace of the Oregon offense. K State has an excellent defense and will be a great challenge. K State doesn't make mistakes and Oregon thrives on opponents mistakes, so I think this is a close game. What I am curious about is how K State handle Barner, Thomas, Mariota, and Lyerla carrying the ball. Remember Seastrunk was sitting #3 on the depth charts behind Barner and Thomas before he left.

I imagine we'll probably try and tackle them before they get too many yards

Solid gameplan  :thumbs:

GoDucks, at what point do the real Oregon fans normally show up? Are you the scout squad?

LOL I've only been a Duck fan since 1969......

Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.



GoDucks, I feel like I have to respond to your post since I used to nail an Oregon grad on a fairly regular basis.  She was a huge Duck fan and through our trysts I can confirm that Oregon will neither stuff the run or contain the passing game.  Trust me, I have "inside her" information.

Cute........ LOL 

I'm just saying Aliotti, defensive coordinator for Oregon for something like 18 years has ALWAYS tried to "Stuff the run and make teams beat Oregon in the air". I don't expect him to change for K State.  I'm not saying anything that everyone else hasn't know for a decade or two.

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Dugout DickStone on January 01, 2013, 04:34:49 PM
Is the NCAA going to shut them down before or after the game?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 04:46:13 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 05:18:28 PM
I'm going to forego the blog and just post stuff here.

What to expect from Oregon's offense.

If you've been paying attention by now you realize that Oregon is a running team. They will mix in the pass effectively, but they want to run the football. Most of their concepts are finesse/zone blocking schemes, but they will include some power football by pulling multiple linemen (I've seen them pull 3 a few times even) and using their tight end (#15, very good player) as an H back/lead blocker. All that said, the base run game for Oregon is zone read/option and they will read anyone and everyone in the front 7 of the defense. They run true zone read where they attack both edges, zone read with a bubble route on the edge, triple option when motioning Thomas to the backfield, using Barner as the dive back, and Thomas as the pitch man. They will attack all edges of the defense until Kelly figures out the weakness in the defense. ON zone read they run both inside zone and stretch, they really like to let Barner/Thomas run to the edge until they find a vertical crease. Mixed in with all this zone read will be some tosses, a few leads (TE leading), occasionally a counter trey type power run, and a few draws for Mariota. Based on what I've watched I'd say we'll probably see 2/3 to 3/4 of their run game be zone read/option football.

The passing game is fairly simple. Mariota spread the ball well, but the biggest threats are their big WR Huff #1, Lyerla #15 the TE, and Thomas #1 (usually a slot WR, but will be anywhere). They will run a ton of zone read play action, sending the TE down the middle seam of the field, or looking for Huff on deep vertical/posts, but they don't throw vertical a lot. I'd say that's the biggest difference from Baylor, Oregon doesn't look to attack down the field a lot with the passing game. They like to test the edges and run a ton of 2 or 3 level routes against zone coverages with a deep route, intermediate route, and short route, often a swing by the Thomas/Barner. Against man they run quite a few short crossing routes as well. Finally, Mariota is really dangerous scrambling, Oregon's biggest play against Stanford was a 70+ yard run when he broke contain.

Formation wise Oregon is fairly simple, almost exclusively a 1 back team. Occasionally Thomas will line up with Barner in a 2 back set, or Thomas will motion to the backfield. Oregon will also often motion their back to either side of Mariota to get the proper alignment for their zone read running game. They mostly run 3 WR/1 TE sets, and balanced formations (2 by 2) with a TE or with 4 WR. They also like 3 WR trips formation, and they will unbalance the defense with the TE lined up to the 3 WR side. Finally, they will run quite a bit of TE with 2 WR split to the same side for TE trips. They are varied game to game, but a big key will be figuring out their tendencies by formation. Its pretty clear Kelly comes up with a game plan going in, and they generally have a package of plays out of each formation and will stay with that package. As the game goes along they won't deviate a lot from that; they are counting on the tendencies they see in the defense and especially for defenses to get into bad alignments because of the speed that they play at.

Keys:

Simply getting lined up right (Zimm back should help tremendously) and tackling. They want to spread you out and create vertical creases in your defense and often the breakdowns occur because defenses aren't gap sound. Also, when you watch Oregon you see a lot of runs where defenses seemingly have Barner/Thomas tackled or contained, and they break one tackle and are off on a 20+ yard run. K-State has tended not to blitz a lot, and that's wise against Oregon's offense. Another way to stop fast pace offenses is to force TOs, but Oregon has gotten a lot better over the season with only 3 TOs their last 5 games. As a result they have won the turnover margin battle in 8 of their last 9. Finally, try to force some FGs. Oregon leads the country, scoring TDs 80+% of the time in the redzone. As a result they've scored at least 42 points in every game except against Stanford. I'm not expecting us to hold them to 14 like Stanford did, but hopefully we can keep them at 35 or below. If the Cats can manage that I think we have a good shot.

Good analysis
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 01, 2013, 05:23:46 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.

Fair enough. I haven't watched as much of the Oregon defense yet, but I did notice the Ducks are very aggressive and will put a lot of guys at the line of scrimmage. It will be interesting to see what K-State does to counter that.

BTW, I've got a bunch of breakdowns of our offense from this past season on the goEMAW blog here: http://goEMAW.com/blog/?cat=4
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Emo EMAW on January 01, 2013, 05:26:50 PM
Does Oregon's defense check into/out of a blitz if the offense checks down to another play?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Dugout DickStone on January 01, 2013, 05:27:30 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.

Fair enough. I haven't watched as much of the Oregon defense yet, but I did notice the Ducks are very aggressive and will put a lot of guys at the line of scrimmage. It will be interesting to see what K-State does to counter that.

BTW, I've got a bunch of breakdowns of our offense from this past season on the goEMAW blog here: http://goEMAW.com/blog/?cat=4

Don't give them our secrets!   :shakesfist:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 01, 2013, 05:59:20 PM
Does Oregon's defense check into/out of a blitz if the offense checks down to another play?

I'm planning to watch some more and get something on their defense up tomorrow.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 06:00:23 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.

Fair enough. I haven't watched as much of the Oregon defense yet, but I did notice the Ducks are very aggressive and will put a lot of guys at the line of scrimmage. It will be interesting to see what K-State does to counter that.

BTW, I've got a bunch of breakdowns of our offense from this past season on the goEMAW blog here: http://goEMAW.com/blog/?cat=4

Thanks, for the link. As far as Oregon fans go, we've become accustom to the defense giving up a lot of yards until someone gets inside the red zone. Then the Ducks tend to shut things down better. Of course part of that is that opponents fear Oregon's offense enough that they tend to go for it on fourth down rather than settle for a field goal.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 06:02:22 PM
Does Oregon's defense check into/out of a blitz if the offense checks down to another play?

Of course, doesn't everyone?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Winters on January 01, 2013, 06:45:50 PM
Does Oregon's defense check into/out of a blitz if the offense checks down to another play?

Of course, doesn't everyone?
No.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoodForAnother on January 01, 2013, 07:32:06 PM
Does Oregon's defense check into/out of a blitz if the offense checks down to another play?

Of course, doesn't everyone?

If so there would be no blitzes
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: ben ji on January 01, 2013, 08:18:16 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.

Fair enough. I haven't watched as much of the Oregon defense yet, but I did notice the Ducks are very aggressive and will put a lot of guys at the line of scrimmage. It will be interesting to see what K-State does to counter that.

BTW, I've got a bunch of breakdowns of our offense from this past season on the goEMAW blog here: http://goEMAW.com/blog/?cat=4

Thanks, for the link. As far as Oregon fans go, we've become accustom to the defense giving up a lot of yards until someone gets inside the red zone. Then the Ducks tend to shut things down better. Of course part of that is that opponents fear Oregon's offense enough that they tend to go for it on fourth down rather than settle for a field goal.

ZOMG, thats totally what KSU does as well!'

Do you think that having stud wide receiver Chris Harper on our team will help when the Oregon Defense decides to "Tighten Up" down in the red zone?

I would imagine Harp would read their defense and shout over to CK7 "Hey, they are sending a blitz. Just throw it up to me and I'll grab it"
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 01, 2013, 08:25:19 PM
Back to fball, I'd expect the Oregon defense to stuff the K State running game forcing K State to move the ball through the air. Question is can Oregon contain K States passing game.

I think your defense is solid... but I see nothing that says your defense will "stuff" the K-State running game.

I'm not saying they will succeed in stopping K State, I'm just saying Oregon will commit to stopping the run first, always have, always will as long as Aliotti is the defensive coordinator. I wouldn't expect 9 in the box, I'd expect 7 with blitzes coming from the other four trying to catch K State off balance and force 3rd and long as much as possible.

Fair enough. I haven't watched as much of the Oregon defense yet, but I did notice the Ducks are very aggressive and will put a lot of guys at the line of scrimmage. It will be interesting to see what K-State does to counter that.

BTW, I've got a bunch of breakdowns of our offense from this past season on the goEMAW blog here: http://goEMAW.com/blog/?cat=4

Thanks, for the link. As far as Oregon fans go, we've become accustom to the defense giving up a lot of yards until someone gets inside the red zone. Then the Ducks tend to shut things down better. Of course part of that is that opponents fear Oregon's offense enough that they tend to go for it on fourth down rather than settle for a field goal.

ZOMG, thats totally what KSU does as well!'

Do you think that having stud wide receiver Chris Harper on our team will help when the Oregon Defense decides to "Tighten Up" down in the red zone?

I would imagine Harp would read their defense and shout over to CK7 "Hey, they are sending a blitz. Just throw it up to me and I'll grab it"

Harper's a stud, wish he'd have stayed at Oregon. We'll have our hands full with him.

Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Cire on January 01, 2013, 08:43:19 PM
where are the rest of your message boarding fans?  hope you stick around after the bowl.

we have a michigan guy, and an illinois guy who are really good.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: MadCat on January 01, 2013, 09:12:59 PM
where are the rest of your message boarding fans?  hope you stick around after the bowl.

we have a michigan guy, and an illinois guy who are really good.

How would you classify Beems?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Cire on January 01, 2013, 10:36:47 PM
where are the rest of your message boarding fans?  hope you stick around after the bowl.

we have a michigan guy, and an illinois guy who are really good.

How would you classify Beems?

beems doesn't post anymore.  if he posted throughout football season he would deserve every bit of this.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Bloodfart on January 02, 2013, 06:55:32 PM
I did some math guys WE GONNA WIN!!!   
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kim carnes on January 02, 2013, 09:09:57 PM
We are so mumped.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Hurricane Cat on January 02, 2013, 11:13:33 PM
We are so mumped.

KC you are one persistent POS.    you wear me out .....  I sure am glad I don't know you, because you seem to kind of negative   :dunno:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 02:07:40 PM
Special teams.

On paper, K-State has the advantage, but mainly in a couple areas. K-State's KO return averages 28 while Oregon gives up over 20 yards per return and K-State has made 18/21 FGs while Oregon has only made 5/12.

K-State is better in the punt return game, 22 yards per, but Oregon is averages a solid 14. Both teams are very good in punt coverage; Oregon only gives up 3.4 yards per punt return and K-State only gives up 2.2. Surprisingly Oregon's KO return unit only averages 16.7 per return, which is probably K-State's biggest ST weakness, giving up 23 yards per return.

Its cliche for a K-State game, but there is no doubt in my mind a big special teams play will be needed for K-State in this game. Having Lockett back to 100% again will be huge. The biggest fear is allowing a big Oregon KO return. If the game does come down to a final FG, K-State has the advantage there.

Oregon Defense.

K-State needs to run the ball, but Klein will have to make throws to win it. Oregon's pass defense is very efficient, only giving up 5.9 yards per attempt. K-State needs to approach 10 YPA in this game and take advantage of Oregon's aggressiveness. K-State was 6th best nationally, averaging 9.0 yards per attempt. However, bigger than that will be Klein's decision making as Oregon led the nation with 23 interceptions and finished 3rd (2 spots behind K-State) in turnover margin. Oregon is average in getting sacks at 2.3 per game. Oregon was solid against the run, giving up just over 4 per carry. K-State will still want to run it and gained over 4 yards per carry in only 2 of our last 7 games. However, the key will be staying sound with our number of carries, and K-State probably needs 36-40 carries (mixed with 25 or so throws) to keep the balance that has made K-State most successful offensively. K-State averaged running the ball 63% of the time and only had one game where that number was below 57%, the abismal performance agaisnt Baylor where the Cats ran the ball only 38% of the time.

Keys:

1. Limit Oregon's big plays. The Ducks will likely gain 400+ yards and run 70+ plays, but K-State can't give up a bunch of 30+ yard scores.
2. Win the TO battle. Oregon thrives on TO margin and a big reason they scored so much is they forced a nation leading 38 turnovers on the season. However, they also turned it over themselves 19 times.
3. Maintain offensive balance. The numbers are clear above, K-State can't make this a high volume pass attempt game, but they must be efficient while still being near 4.0 yards per carry rushing the ball.
4. Big play special teams. K-State has thrived on the return game putting up big numbers in both KO and punt returns. Lockett needs to have a big game in this area tonight.

I think the Cats win 3 of those 4 key battles and if they do that they will be fine. Yeah, bowl games are merely exhibitions, but it would be nice to celebrate our first bowl victory since this (http://vimeo.com/24572946) was the number one song in the land.

Cats 41
Ducks 37
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: bigwillie20 on January 03, 2013, 02:11:06 PM
 :fistpump:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: MadCat on January 03, 2013, 02:12:54 PM
Straight to the bottom...I did read some of the keys though.  :ksu:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: pc5k on January 03, 2013, 03:33:50 PM
When Oregon is kicking off they have only had 13 of their kicks go for touchbacks- so there's a chance of 1 or 2 getting taken to the house by Babylock
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Belvis Noland on January 03, 2013, 03:55:17 PM
I don't view Bowl Games as exhibitions.  I think a win over Oregon on the national stage does a lot for this program. 
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 03, 2013, 03:56:49 PM
where are the rest of your message boarding fans?  hope you stick around after the bowl.

we have a michigan guy, and an illinois guy who are really good.

Sure I'll come back.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 03, 2013, 04:03:18 PM
Special teams.

On paper, K-State has the advantage, but mainly in a couple areas. K-State's KO return averages 28 while Oregon gives up over 20 yards per return and K-State has made 18/21 FGs while Oregon has only made 5/12.

K-State is better in the punt return game, 22 yards per, but Oregon is averages a solid 14. Both teams are very good in punt coverage; Oregon only gives up 3.4 yards per punt return and K-State only gives up 2.2. Surprisingly Oregon's KO return unit only averages 16.7 per return, which is probably K-State's biggest ST weakness, giving up 23 yards per return.

Its cliche for a K-State game, but there is no doubt in my mind a big special teams play will be needed for K-State in this game. Having Lockett back to 100% again will be huge. The biggest fear is allowing a big Oregon KO return. If the game does come down to a final FG, K-State has the advantage there.

Oregon Defense.

K-State needs to run the ball, but Klein will have to make throws to win it. Oregon's pass defense is very efficient, only giving up 5.9 yards per attempt. K-State needs to approach 10 YPA in this game and take advantage of Oregon's aggressiveness. K-State was 6th best nationally, averaging 9.0 yards per attempt. However, bigger than that will be Klein's decision making as Oregon led the nation with 23 interceptions and finished 3rd (2 spots behind K-State) in turnover margin. Oregon is average in getting sacks at 2.3 per game. Oregon was solid against the run, giving up just over 4 per carry. K-State will still want to run it and gained over 4 yards per carry in only 2 of our last 7 games. However, the key will be staying sound with our number of carries, and K-State probably needs 36-40 carries (mixed with 25 or so throws) to keep the balance that has made K-State most successful offensively. K-State averaged running the ball 63% of the time and only had one game where that number was below 57%, the abismal performance agaisnt Baylor where the Cats ran the ball only 38% of the time.

Keys:

1. Limit Oregon's big plays. The Ducks will likely gain 400+ yards and run 70+ plays, but K-State can't give up a bunch of 30+ yard scores.
2. Win the TO battle. Oregon thrives on TO margin and a big reason they scored so much is they forced a nation leading 38 turnovers on the season. However, they also turned it over themselves 19 times.
3. Maintain offensive balance. The numbers are clear above, K-State can't make this a high volume pass attempt game, but they must be efficient while still being near 4.0 yards per carry rushing the ball.
4. Big play special teams. K-State has thrived on the return game putting up big numbers in both KO and punt returns. Lockett needs to have a big game in this area tonight.

I think the Cats win 3 of those 4 key battles and if they do that they will be fine. Yeah, bowl games are merely exhibitions, but it would be nice to celebrate our first bowl victory since this (http://vimeo.com/24572946) was the number one song in the land.

Cats 41
Ducks 37

The Duck kick return stat is really misleading, for most of the season opponents squib kicked to avoid letting Oregon return the ball. Oregon also faced a lot of "quick kicks" by opponents also meant to avoid letting Oregon "return" the ball. Don't be fooled by the low yards on the return stat.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 04:08:55 PM
The Duck kick return stat is really misleading, for most of the season opponents squib kicked to avoid letting Oregon return the ball. Oregon also faced a lot of "quick kicks" by opponents also meant to avoid letting Oregon "return" the ball. Don't be fooled by the low yards on the return stat.

That's reasonable. Starting field position after a KO return would be a more meaningful stat. Overall K-State led the country in average starting field position on the year.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 04:11:17 PM
When Oregon is kicking off they have only had 13 of their kicks go for touchbacks- so there's a chance of 1 or 2 getting taken to the house by Babylock

That's a good KO return stat. I haven't watched a ton, but it would seem their kicker is not very good.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: GoDucks349 on January 03, 2013, 04:16:24 PM
The Duck kick return stat is really misleading, for most of the season opponents squib kicked to avoid letting Oregon return the ball. Oregon also faced a lot of "quick kicks" by opponents also meant to avoid letting Oregon "return" the ball. Don't be fooled by the low yards on the return stat.

That's reasonable. Starting field position after a KO return would be a more meaningful stat. Overall K-State led the country in average starting field position on the year.

I agree that's a better stat. I don't know where Oregon ranks in that area.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 03, 2013, 04:20:31 PM
The Duck kick return stat is really misleading, for most of the season opponents squib kicked to avoid letting Oregon return the ball. Oregon also faced a lot of "quick kicks" by opponents also meant to avoid letting Oregon "return" the ball. Don't be fooled by the low yards on the return stat.

That's reasonable. Starting field position after a KO return would be a more meaningful stat. Overall K-State led the country in average starting field position on the year.

Did K-State lead the nation in average starting field position after a KO return or does that stat include every possession?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 04:21:23 PM
The Duck kick return stat is really misleading, for most of the season opponents squib kicked to avoid letting Oregon return the ball. Oregon also faced a lot of "quick kicks" by opponents also meant to avoid letting Oregon "return" the ball. Don't be fooled by the low yards on the return stat.

That's reasonable. Starting field position after a KO return would be a more meaningful stat. Overall K-State led the country in average starting field position on the year.

Did K-State lead the nation in average starting field position after a KO return or does that stat include every possession?

Overall, including after punts, turnovers, etc.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 04:32:14 PM
I don't view Bowl Games as exhibitions.  I think a win over Oregon on the national stage does a lot for this program. 

I agree, but I think that a lot of fans view it as basically an exhibition. Probably to feel better if a loss happens.

Its annoying that our last bowl win was over Arizona State.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on January 03, 2013, 05:40:38 PM
2/3 of our bowl wins have come vs teams from west of Manhattan with half coming against the PAC 10/12

Generally speaking, teams are "tougher" as one moves from west to east across the country.

 :bill:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: bones129 on January 03, 2013, 05:52:41 PM
2/3 of our bowl wins have come vs teams from west of Manhattan with half coming against the PAC 10/12

Generally speaking, teams are "tougher" as one moves from west to east across the country.

 :bill:
:thumbs:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: MixBerryCrunch on January 03, 2013, 06:08:34 PM
40,000- 17,000

 :sdeek: :sdeek:
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Stevesie60 on January 03, 2013, 06:10:05 PM
40,000- 17,000

 :sdeek: :sdeek:

link?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Unruly on January 03, 2013, 06:10:48 PM
40,000- 17,000

 :sdeek: :sdeek:

link?


Holly Rowe just said it on TV
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Institutional Control on January 03, 2013, 07:00:38 PM
I'm pretty sure Lou Holtz is a muppet or something. Can't be a real person.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: _33 on January 03, 2013, 07:11:39 PM
Why does Mark May always get angry and start yelling at Lou? I'm pretty sure it's an act, but it's really stupid.  Not everything has to be an argument. Or a pretend argument.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: gcat on January 03, 2013, 07:13:39 PM
Anyone have a link to watch the game online????
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kim carnes on January 03, 2013, 07:14:32 PM
GO CATS!
Title: Re: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: kso_FAN on January 03, 2013, 11:42:35 PM
Special teams.

On paper, K-State has the advantage, but mainly in a couple areas. K-State's KO return averages 28 while Oregon gives up over 20 yards per return and K-State has made 18/21 FGs while Oregon has only made 5/12.

K-State is better in the punt return game, 22 yards per, but Oregon is averages a solid 14. Both teams are very good in punt coverage; Oregon only gives up 3.4 yards per punt return and K-State only gives up 2.2. Surprisingly Oregon's KO return unit only averages 16.7 per return, which is probably K-State's biggest ST weakness, giving up 23 yards per return.

Its cliche for a K-State game, but there is no doubt in my mind a big special teams play will be needed for K-State in this game. Having Lockett back to 100% again will be huge. The biggest fear is allowing a big Oregon KO return. If the game does come down to a final FG, K-State has the advantage there.

Oregon Defense.

K-State needs to run the ball, but Klein will have to make throws to win it. Oregon's pass defense is very efficient, only giving up 5.9 yards per attempt. K-State needs to approach 10 YPA in this game and take advantage of Oregon's aggressiveness. K-State was 6th best nationally, averaging 9.0 yards per attempt. However, bigger than that will be Klein's decision making as Oregon led the nation with 23 interceptions and finished 3rd (2 spots behind K-State) in turnover margin. Oregon is average in getting sacks at 2.3 per game. Oregon was solid against the run, giving up just over 4 per carry. K-State will still want to run it and gained over 4 yards per carry in only 2 of our last 7 games. However, the key will be staying sound with our number of carries, and K-State probably needs 36-40 carries (mixed with 25 or so throws) to keep the balance that has made K-State most successful offensively. K-State averaged running the ball 63% of the time and only had one game where that number was below 57%, the abismal performance agaisnt Baylor where the Cats ran the ball only 38% of the time.

Keys:

1. Limit Oregon's big plays. The Ducks will likely gain 400+ yards and run 70+ plays, but K-State can't give up a bunch of 30+ yard scores.
2. Win the TO battle. Oregon thrives on TO margin and a big reason they scored so much is they forced a nation leading 38 turnovers on the season. However, they also turned it over themselves 19 times.
3. Maintain offensive balance. The numbers are clear above, K-State can't make this a high volume pass attempt game, but they must be efficient while still being near 4.0 yards per carry rushing the ball.
4. Big play special teams. K-State has thrived on the return game putting up big numbers in both KO and punt returns. Lockett needs to have a big game in this area tonight.

I think the Cats win 3 of those 4 key battles and if they do that they will be fine. Yeah, bowl games are merely exhibitions, but it would be nice to celebrate our first bowl victory since this (http://vimeo.com/24572946) was the number one song in the land.

Cats 41
Ducks 37

We hit on 0 of the 4, fortunate to keep it as close as we did.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Bloodfart on January 04, 2013, 12:15:45 AM
i am so gratefull for all that you do fan! I'm pak'd now but I will still have the same sentiment tomorow. THANK YOU!!!
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Stevesie60 on January 04, 2013, 01:29:02 AM
Why does Mark May always get angry and start yelling at Lou? I'm pretty sure it's an act, but it's really stupid.  Not everything has to be an argument. Or a pretend argument.

Mark May honestly reminds me of Ben Stiller in Happy Gilmore, angrily yelling at all the old senile people. Sickening.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: bobby_runs on January 04, 2013, 12:11:43 PM
Does someone have a video or gif of that Oregon alcoholic/thief punching Klein after the helmet to helmet?
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on January 04, 2013, 04:49:31 PM
Does someone have a video or gif of that Oregon alcoholic/thief punching Klein after the helmet to helmet?

I was so pissed off about that. I wanted him ejected from the game, mainly because he was one of their best defensive players.
Title: Re: Fiesta Bowl/Oregon FB Discussion
Post by: OK_Cat on January 04, 2013, 04:50:51 PM
we need the gif of the oregon guy not looking for the ball  :lol: