Kansas State: 30
Oklahoma State: 30
Quote from: Stupid crappy ORCHID that used to be greatKansas State: 30
Oklahoma State: 30:dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious:
The game is at home IS IT NOT? (user error)Quote from: Stupid crappy ORCHID that used to be greatKansas State: 30
Oklahoma State: 30:dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious:
:runaway:
The game is at home IS IT NOT? (user error)Quote from: Stupid crappy ORCHID that used to be greatKansas State: 30
Oklahoma State: 30:dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious:
:runaway:
Touché. Still, I think the chances of a tie in Stillwater are slim. So you set home and away difference to be +3 points for home team and -3 for away?I am also a bit puzzled by the predicted score, but I suspect it has to do with the high number of plays we allows on defense and the high efficiency OSU has on offense. It looks like the close score is purely a function of them running so many more plays than us. I think we will control the tempo a bit better personally, but I can't tweak the predictions just for K-State and the past scores have been pretty good.
yes it takes their schedule into account. but texas isn't as awful in ORCHID as you think. OSU has lost two games yes, but they appear to be a very schizophrenic team. Plus there is only so much I can do to correct for the absolute pounding they have put to their cupcakes if I apply the same standards to every team.The game is at home IS IT NOT? (user error)Quote from: Stupid crappy ORCHID that used to be greatKansas State: 30
Oklahoma State: 30:dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious: :dubious:
:runaway:
I'm still not convinced. Does this take into account that OSU hasn't played too tough of schedule yet? I mean, they lost to Texas (kind of). And Texas is pretty awful.
I guess I'm confused why our defense is the same, our offense is .18 better, but we'd tie on a neutral site.the number of offensive plays they would run is the difference
I guess I'm confused why our defense is the same, our offense is .18 better, but we'd tie on a neutral site.the number of offensive plays they would run is the difference
I guess I'm confused why our defense is the same, our offense is .18 better, but we'd tie on a neutral site.the number of offensive plays they would run is the difference
I hate the ORCHID.
I guess I'm confused why our defense is the same, our offense is .18 better, but we'd tie on a neutral site.btw, it doesn't predict a tie on a neutral site, it has winning by 3.
Hope snyds pins the ORCHID up on the bulletin board.maybe that's my plan (!?)
I guess I'm confused why our defense is the same, our offense is .18 better, but we'd tie on a neutral site.the number of offensive plays they would run is the difference
I hate the ORCHID.
I found a problem with my approach. Unlike basketball I don't think tempos should have a multiplying effect. This was giving teams with very high offensive tempos a lot more plays against us then they should (because we allow teams on average more plays than the nat'l average). I have fixed it and the predictions seem more reasonable to me now (for the wonks, I not using a geometric mean anymore for pace).Touché. Still, I think the chances of a tie in Stillwater are slim. So you set home and away difference to be +3 points for home team and -3 for away?I am also a bit puzzled by the predicted score, but I suspect it has to do with the high number of plays we allows on defense and the high efficiency OSU has on offense. It looks like the close score is purely a function of them running so many more plays than us. I think we will control the tempo a bit better personally, but I can't tweak the predictions just for K-State and the past scores have been pretty good.
I account for home field in a very rudimentary way (I don't have enough data to really correlate a home field advantage for each team): visitor -1 home team +2.
I think K-State is going to be very fired up because they were so close knocking off Oklahoma State last year. They'll want some revenge because had they beat Oklahoma State, K-State could had won the conference last year.
If there is a statement game, this is it.
I think K-State is going to be very fired up because they were so close knocking off Oklahoma State last year. They'll want some revenge because had they beat Oklahoma State, K-State could had won the conference last year.
If there is a statement game, this is it.
We should be greatful we don't have to pay for that kind of stuff. We are so lucky.I think K-State is going to be very fired up because they were so close knocking off Oklahoma State last year. They'll want some revenge because had they beat Oklahoma State, K-State could had won the conference last year.
If there is a statement game, this is it.
hmm.... great insight.
Alabama, Notre Dame, Oregon
:dubious: :dubious: :dubious:
I posted this before, but I think it should be its own thread:
Just pick your teams and get a score! This uses stats up through Oct 27th.
you will need to download the CDF Player http://www.wolfram.com/cdf-player/ to view the computable document. It's free, but it is a large download.
you will need to download the CDF Player http://www.wolfram.com/cdf-player/ to view the computable document. It's free, but it is a large download.
I did. It is at that point that I can't find what to click on for the score predicting specific teams and games. I've come up with a couple of sports related things browsing the topics or searching "sports." I figure I must be missing something obvious.
It definitely was a huge download! I was surprised at the size of the file.
you will need to download the CDF Player http://www.wolfram.com/cdf-player/ to view the computable document. It's free, but it is a large download.
I did. It is at that point that I can't find what to click on for the score predicting specific teams and games. I've come up with a couple of sports related things browsing the topics or searching "sports." I figure I must be missing something obvious.
It definitely was a huge download! I was surprised at the size of the file.
There is nothing else to download. You might need to make sure the plug-in is enabled on your system. You should just be able to change teams in the first post of this thread.