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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: steve dave on October 15, 2012, 12:18:50 PM

Title: 76%
Post by: steve dave on October 15, 2012, 12:18:50 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3731&s=181623

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Ft2.gstatic.com%2Fimages%3Fq%3Dtbn%3AANd9GcSqu_ChH0jL4jkL3gp_6CufYhrO9hHhAAb9PQlOy77BNxpHlee0nKNqMtcMqA&hash=46e9212b0cfc086304722263da5558f5bcd46bc5)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 420seriouscat69 on October 15, 2012, 12:22:20 PM

 :zzz:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: GoodForAnother on October 15, 2012, 12:24:54 PM

 :bill:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: ChiComCat on October 15, 2012, 12:26:41 PM

17% chance of undefeated

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Sandstone Outcropping on October 15, 2012, 12:34:24 PM

 :lynchmob:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: RightMeow on October 15, 2012, 12:45:44 PM

57% chance against sand aggy?

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 8manpick on October 15, 2012, 12:48:49 PM

Quote from: ChiCat on October 15, 2012, 12:26:41 PM

17% chance of undefeated

Hmm... depending on my methodolgy I get either a 441% chance of undefeated, or a 15.1% chance.  I'm pretty sure the 441% is correct though.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: slobber on October 15, 2012, 12:49:13 PM

I haven't followed this in the past. Is 76% good. It seems pretty good.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on October 15, 2012, 01:29:23 PM

Quote from: 8manpick on October 15, 2012, 12:48:49 PM

Quote from: ChiCat on October 15, 2012, 12:26:41 PM

17% chance of undefeated

Hmm... depending on my methodolgy I get either a 441% chance of undefeated, or a 15.1% chance.  I'm pretty sure the 441% is correct though.

It's 15.1%. I'm not sure where you are pulling 441% from, but that methodology is obviously flawed.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Cartierfor3 on October 15, 2012, 01:31:00 PM

Someone text me the final score Saturday night.  I'm not big on watching blowouts. 

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: mocat on October 15, 2012, 01:32:48 PM

Quote from: 8manpick on October 15, 2012, 12:48:49 PM

Quote from: ChiCat on October 15, 2012, 12:26:41 PM

17% chance of undefeated

Hmm... depending on my methodolgy I get either a 441% chance of undefeated, or a 15.1% chance.  I'm pretty sure the 441% is correct though.

17 is if you have the website simulate the rest of the season. KSU wins the next 6 games 17% of the time according to their simulator.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on October 15, 2012, 01:34:07 PM

If we win our next two, our odds will go all the way up to 35%. Bill just needs to keep the team focused.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Stevesie60 on October 15, 2012, 01:38:31 PM

Let me tuck in my shirt real quick........there: Considering between this season and last season our only losses have come to top 10 teams, I think Bill does a good job of keeping the team focused when they need to be. Or Collin and Arthur get the team focused. Or they all do. I don't know who gets them focused, but someone seems to be doing a good job of it.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: slobber on October 15, 2012, 01:40:37 PM

Quote from: Jakesie60 on October 15, 2012, 01:38:31 PM

Let me tuck in my shirt real quick........there: Considering between this season and last season our only losses have come to top 10 teams, I think Bill does a good job of keeping the team focused when they need to be. Or Collin and Arthur get the team focused. Or they all do. I don't know who gets them focused, but someone seems to be doing a good job of it.

and we won't play a top 10 team until the MuksuwiNC. GO CATS!

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: EllToPay on October 15, 2012, 01:57:37 PM

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.visualphotos.com%2Fphoto%2F4x8972107%2FWildcat_Sleeping_in_Tree_42-18734202.jpg&hash=54a3b572784149a4264d1463dc93138987bce2e6)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Mikeyis4dcats on October 15, 2012, 03:34:29 PM

what was the prediction before last Saturday?

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Spaces on October 15, 2012, 04:53:24 PM

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fmedia.tumblr.com%2Ftumblr_llb1yeuV791qg945w.gif&hash=81f38298d795bcbfa6dc7023c59dab7fec58e6e9)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: The1BigWillie on October 15, 2012, 05:00:57 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623)

 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on October 15, 2012, 05:03:14 PM

Quote from: The1BigWillie on October 15, 2012, 05:00:57 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623)

 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

That gives them a 42% chance of winning at least one more game. I'll take coach Weis with those odds any time.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: EMAWmeister on October 15, 2012, 05:14:27 PM

I asked it to simulate the WVU game as a best of 7 series.

Get the rough ridin' brooms out.

Simulation Results
Kansas St   38   West Virginia   34   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   38   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   41   West Virginia   38   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   71   West Virginia   34   (4-0-0)  :sdeek:

Talk about slamming the rough ridin' door.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Unruly on October 15, 2012, 05:53:07 PM

 :clac:

Quote from: EMAWmeister on October 15, 2012, 05:14:27 PM

I asked it to simulate the WVU game as a best of 7 series.

Get the rough ridin' brooms out.

Simulation Results
Kansas St   38   West Virginia   34   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   38   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   41   West Virginia   38   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   71   West Virginia   34   (4-0-0) 

Talk about slamming the rough ridin' door.

:sdeek:


Good lord if that happened the real life PI handed out would be so glorious.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Bqqkie Pimp on October 15, 2012, 07:33:35 PM

Quote from: EMAWmeister on October 15, 2012, 05:14:27 PM

I asked it to simulate the WVU game as a best of 7 series.

Get the rough ridin' brooms out.

Simulation Results
Kansas St   38   West Virginia   34   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   38   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   41   West Virginia   38   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   71   West Virginia   34   (4-0-0)  :sdeek:

Talk about slamming the rough ridin' door.

I ran the sim several times.

It's odd that it doesn't always give the same results...

 :dunno:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: jtksu on October 15, 2012, 07:46:37 PM

Quote from: The1BigWillie on October 15, 2012, 05:00:57 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623)

 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

0% chance of beaing OU?!  That seems pretty mean.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: p1k3 on October 15, 2012, 07:51:10 PM

lil bro needs to leave the league. Come on RCJH. Do the right thing for us, and everyone else

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Frankenklein on October 15, 2012, 08:13:06 PM

Quote from: jtksu on October 15, 2012, 07:46:37 PM

Quote from: The1BigWillie on October 15, 2012, 05:00:57 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623)

 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

0% chance of beaing OU?!  That seems pretty mean.

Their odds with WVU look good

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: hemmy on October 15, 2012, 08:29:17 PM

Quote from: Bookie Pimp on October 15, 2012, 07:33:35 PM

Quote from: EMAWmeister on October 15, 2012, 05:14:27 PM

I asked it to simulate the WVU game as a best of 7 series.

Get the rough ridin' brooms out.

Simulation Results
Kansas St   38   West Virginia   34   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   38   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   41   West Virginia   38   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   71   West Virginia   34   (4-0-0)  :sdeek:

Talk about slamming the rough ridin' door.

I ran the sim several times.

It's odd that it doesn't always give the same results...

 :dunno:

Lot of randomness at play.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: doom on October 15, 2012, 08:30:30 PM

Quote from: p1k3 on October 15, 2012, 07:51:10 PM

lil bro needs to leave the league. Come on RCJH. Do the right thing for us, and everyone else

odds @ WVU are second highest.   :lol:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Testy Westy on October 15, 2012, 10:45:00 PM

Quote from: jtksu on October 15, 2012, 07:46:37 PM

Quote from: The1BigWillie on October 15, 2012, 05:00:57 PM

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3717&s=181623)

 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

0% chance of beaing OU?!  That seems pretty mean.

Not nearly as mean as a 10% chance to beat that crap crap iowa state team AT HOME

Title: Re: Re: 76%
Post by: Rams on October 15, 2012, 10:51:45 PM

Quote from: Bookie Pimp on October 15, 2012, 07:33:35 PM

Quote from: EMAWmeister on October 15, 2012, 05:14:27 PM

I asked it to simulate the WVU game as a best of 7 series.

Get the rough ridin' brooms out.

Simulation Results
Kansas St   38   West Virginia   34   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   38   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   41   West Virginia   38   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   71   West Virginia   34   (4-0-0)  :sdeek:

Talk about slamming the rough ridin' door.

I ran the sim several times.

It's odd that it doesn't always give the same results...

 :dunno:

jesus christ :facepalm:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 3maw on October 16, 2012, 10:39:20 AM

statistics are fun. and odds are the 70% of the time there's a 2:1 chance any probability is right. so i think that means that we win because math.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Paul Moscow on October 16, 2012, 10:45:01 AM

because math!

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: The1BigWillie on October 16, 2012, 10:47:25 AM

because math!   :emawkid: :excited: :comeatme: :woot: :fistpump: :weirdrobert:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: slobber on October 16, 2012, 10:52:05 AM

Well, I guess I don't know crap, because I always thought

it's science! :emawkid: :excited: :comeatme: :woot: :fistpump: :weirdrobert:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: SdK on October 16, 2012, 11:34:57 AM

MATHLETES

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Spaces on October 16, 2012, 11:57:41 AM

Quote from: 3maw on October 16, 2012, 10:39:20 AM

statistics are fun. and odds are the 70% of the time there's a 2:1 chance any probability is right. so i think that means that we win because math.

Can confirm that 3maw knows his math and stuff!  :excited:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Domino on October 18, 2012, 09:36:04 AM

Bumping this in the hope that at least a couple of WVU fans can say they have taken and passed a math lesson.

Also:

Kansas St   48   West Virginia   41   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   49   West Virginia   35   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   52   West Virginia   28   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   47   West Virginia   41   (4-0-0)
Kansas St   39   West Virginia   34   (5-0-0)

First simulation

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: williewest on October 18, 2012, 10:01:41 AM

:weirdrobert:
Kenny K-State

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 8manpick on October 18, 2012, 10:07:59 AM

Boom

Simulation Results
Kansas St   65   West Virginia   42   (1-0-0)
Kansas St   58   West Virginia   23   (2-0-0)
Kansas St   28   West Virginia   18   (3-0-0)
Kansas St   48   West Virginia   21   (4-0-0)
Kansas St   46   West Virginia   31   (5-0-0)
Kansas St   64   West Virginia   38   (6-0-0)
Kansas St   42   West Virginia   13   (7-0-0)

(7-0-0)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: SwiftCat on October 18, 2012, 12:36:59 PM

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Ffc08.deviantart.net%2Ffs70%2Ff%2F2012%2F176%2Fa%2Fb%2Fsleepy_sunday_by_dienutza-d54sar6.gif&hash=f90ae21916e35c3d1fe1c826930da61a7bb6b76c)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Spaces on October 19, 2012, 12:09:27 AM

(https://sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash3/581599_513506798661002_352209957_n.jpg)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: FuzzyWuzzy on October 19, 2012, 12:10:11 AM

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.funnyanimalworld.net%2Fvar%2Falbums%2FBeautiful-cute-cats-and-dogs-do-yoga-postures%2FBeautiful%2520cute%2520cats%2520and%2520dogs%2520do%2520yoga%2520postures%2520%2813%29.jpg%3Fm%3D1306406108&hash=754b1fbf2d1720f98940f4b37a5af070c95c2a6e)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: The1BigWillie on October 22, 2012, 10:24:12 AM

 :lynchmob:

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3731&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3731&s=181623)

BECAUSE MATH!!

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Stevesie60 on October 22, 2012, 10:35:48 AM

Quote from: The1BigWillie on October 22, 2012, 10:24:12 AM

:lynchmob:

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3731&s=181623 (http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3731&s=181623)

BECAUSE MATH!!

:emawkid:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Spaces on October 22, 2012, 02:04:55 PM

Simulation Results
Texas Tech   36   Kansas St   51   (0-1-0)
Texas Tech   20   Kansas St   41   (0-2-0)
Texas Tech   41   Kansas St   61   (0-3-0)
Texas Tech   34   Kansas St   41   (0-4-0)
Texas Tech   21   Kansas St   33   (0-5-0)
Texas Tech   28   Kansas St   45   (0-6-0)
Texas Tech   35   Kansas St   40   (0-7-0)

MATH

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Spaces on October 22, 2012, 02:06:14 PM

27.81% chance of going undefeated according to massey. 100% chance according to my heart.  :excited:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: slobber on October 22, 2012, 02:37:24 PM

Quote from: Spaces on October 22, 2012, 02:06:14 PM

27.81% chance of going undefeated according to massey. 100% chance according to my heart.  :excited:

GO WITH YOUR HEART!

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Cartierfor3 on October 22, 2012, 02:42:39 PM

Quote from: dobber on October 22, 2012, 02:37:24 PM

Quote from: Spaces on October 22, 2012, 02:06:14 PM

27.81% chance of going undefeated according to massey. 100% chance according to my heart.  :excited:

GO WITH YOUR HEART!

 :lynchmob:

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: SwiftCat on October 22, 2012, 02:43:34 PM

(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fstatic.themetapicture.com%2Fmedia%2Ffunny-gif-cat-tired-sleeping.gif&hash=d1412eedb87669fa58fda69de6c9aade723252b1)

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: HeinBallz on October 22, 2012, 03:23:11 PM

thank god we don't have a CC game anymore... Oregon looks just as likely to go undefeated in regular season.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 3maw on October 22, 2012, 03:25:20 PM

Quote from: CartierFor3 on October 22, 2012, 02:42:39 PM

Quote from: dobber on October 22, 2012, 02:37:24 PM

Quote from: Spaces on October 22, 2012, 02:06:14 PM

27.81% chance of going undefeated according to massey. 100% chance according to my heart.  :excited:

GO WITH YOUR HEART!

 :lynchmob:

Kstate cat football 2012: a disney movie

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Cartierfor3 on October 22, 2012, 03:30:16 PM

Quote from: HeinBallz on October 22, 2012, 03:23:11 PM

thank god we don't have a CC game anymore... Oregon looks just as likely to go undefeated in regular season.

Um, no they don't.  That post, well, that post was a bad post. 

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: HeinBallz on October 22, 2012, 03:36:43 PM

well then I don't know how to work that site. Jerk.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Mikeyis4dcats on October 22, 2012, 03:49:52 PM

Quote from: CartierFor3 on October 22, 2012, 03:30:16 PM

Quote from: HeinBallz on October 22, 2012, 03:23:11 PM

thank god we don't have a CC game anymore... Oregon looks just as likely to go undefeated in regular season.

Um, no they don't.  That post, well, that post was a bad post.

http://masseyratings.com/team.php?t=5961&s=181623


100%!!!!

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on October 22, 2012, 03:52:47 PM

Oregon's remaining schedule is much easier than ours, even playing USC twice.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: 0.42 on October 22, 2012, 03:57:37 PM

quick somebody call in and tell bitb

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Mikeyis4dcats on October 22, 2012, 04:52:43 PM

is there a way to simulate Oregon vs. KSU?

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Rage Against the McKee on October 22, 2012, 04:53:41 PM

Quote from: Mikeyis4dcats on October 22, 2012, 04:52:43 PM

is there a way to simulate Oregon vs. KSU?

Yeah, just ask Chingon to simulate the score in ORCHID.

Title: Re: 76%
Post by: Stevesie60 on October 22, 2012, 05:02:18 PM

Quote from: Nuts Kicked on October 22, 2012, 04:53:41 PM

Quote from: Mikeyis4dcats on October 22, 2012, 04:52:43 PM

is there a way to simulate Oregon vs. KSU?

Yeah, just ask Chingon to simulate the score in ORCHID.

I prefer The Ed.