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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Football => Topic started by: mocat on October 11, 2012, 02:13:04 PM
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It's no CHIRP/ORCHID, but I have my own little system.
It does not take into account previous wins/losses.
It does not take into account home/away team.
It does not take into account SOS
It is predominately based on YPP, PPP, and TO%
I only have data for all Big 12 teams, and all teams currently in the Coach's Top 25.
So therefore only Big 12 teams and Top 25 teams playing each other are in this predicto.
Welp here goes! :D
Texas 30
Oklahoma 32
Oklahoma State 42
Kansas 25
West Virginia 33
Texas Tech 37
Baylor 31
TCU 35
Stanford 19
Notre Dame 26
South Carolina 24
LSU 22
Texas A&M 41
Louisiana Tech 33
and finally....
Kansas State 31
Iowa State 21
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My system, where I just casually watch football on Saturday and make uninformed decisions, says the winners are as follows:
Oklahoma, close.
Oklahoma State, blowout.
West Virginia, very close.
Baylor, blowout.
Stanford, close.
South Carolina, close.
Texas A&M, very close.
Kansas State, blowout.
This system takes into account previous wins/losses, home/away team, and SOS. It does not take into account YPP, PPP, or TO%.
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It's no CHIRP/ORCHID, but I have my own little system.
It does not take into account previous wins/losses.
It does not take into account home/away team.
It does not take into account SOS
It is predominately based on YPP, PPP, and TO%
I only have data for all Big 12 teams, and all teams currently in the Coach's Top 25.
So therefore only Big 12 teams and Top 25 teams playing each other are in this predicto.
Welp here goes! :D
Texas 30
Oklahoma 32
Oklahoma State 42
Kansas 25
West Virginia 33
Texas Tech 37
Baylor 31
TCU 35
Stanford 19
Notre Dame 26
South Carolina 24
LSU 22
Texas A&M 41
Louisiana Tech 33
and finally....
Kansas State 31
Iowa State 21
:sdeek:
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Horns
Cowboys
Raiders
Bears
Trees
Cocks
Whatever Louisiana Tech is
EMAW
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West Virginia 33
Texas Tech 37
Baylor 31
TCU 35
:sdeek:
1. Guess which Big 12 team has the best Passing Defense numbers right now?
2. Yeah, hard to factor a QB injury into the numbers. Oh well, they'll work themselves out as the season progresses.
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this mocat system is great! :emawkid:
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How does your system rank the top 25, mocat?
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How does your system rank the top 25, mocat?
1. Alabama
2. Kansas State
3. Notre Dame
4. Florida State
5. Mississippi State
6. South Carolina
7. Florida
8. Rutgers
9. Oregon
10. West Virginia
11. Louisiana Tech
12. Cincinnati
13. LSU
14. Oregon State
15. Texas
16. Louisville
17. Texas A&M
18. Texas Tech
19. TCU
20. USC
21. Boise State
22. Stanford
23. Georgia
24. Iowa State
25. Baylor
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How does your system rank the top 25, mocat?
1. Alabama
2. Kansas State
3. Notre Dame
4. Florida State
5. Mississippi State
6. South Carolina
7. Florida
8. Rutgers
9. Oregon
10. West Virginia
11. Louisiana Tech
12. Cincinnati
13. LSU
14. Oregon State
15. Texas
16. Louisville
17. Texas A&M
18. Texas Tech
19. TCU
20. USC
21. Boise State
22. Stanford
23. Georgia
24. Iowa State
25. Baylor
Looks good.
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
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Top 5 mocat Offensive Efficiency Rating
1. West Virginia 1.41
2. Kansas State 1.37
3. Texas 1.33
4. Alabama 1.25
5. Louisiana Tech 1.25
Top 5 mocat Defensive Efficiency Rating
1. Alabama 0.64
2. LSU 0.80
3. Notre Dame 0.83
4. Rutgers 0.85
5. Florida State 0.86
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
Tough break for LandThieves!
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STRAIGHT TO THE BOTTOM
:ksu:
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47-18
Gonna win 'em all.
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
It seems a little strange that #26 is better than #15 on a neutral field. There must not be much separation at the bottom of the rankings. It's hard to criticize a system that nails the top as well as yours does, though.
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
pretty strong 1 loss fsu i see
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My prediction is that Kleinsdale will run all over those idiots out wandering around, giddyup!
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fgifsoup.com%2Fview3%2F4185321%2Fkramer-o.gif&hash=2a719f43305ecd45220e1b5403908970b045b54b)
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
pretty strong 1 loss fsu i see
It does not take into account previous wins/losses.
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My prediction is that Kleinsdale will run all over those idiots out wandering around, giddyup!
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fgifsoup.com%2Fview3%2F4185321%2Fkramer-o.gif&hash=2a719f43305ecd45220e1b5403908970b045b54b)
(https://goemaw.com/forum/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Fi48.tinypic.com%2F3142s6q.gif&hash=21d702b7a21cefd3999d8e8357c8749c56ec54db)
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No Oklahoma! :horrorsurprise:
They just missed the cut. #26, 0.02 points behind Baylor.
It seems a little strange that #26 is better than #15 on a neutral field. There must not be much separation at the bottom of the rankings. It's hard to criticize a system that nails the top as well as yours does, though.
I agree, and comparing the numbers, they are fairly close. Hence the 2 point victory. It came down to the matchup of
UT OFF 0.65 PPP vs OU DEF 0.25 PPP
vs
OU OFF 0.53 PPP vs UT DEF 0.40 PPP
Basically the mocat system says that though UT has overall a slightly better rating than OU, OU's defensive advantage is greater than UT's offensive advantage when they match up against each other.
The reason UT is ranked higher than OU in the rankings is OU does not take care of the ball quite as well. But this was not a huge factor in a game with limited plays (68 for UT and 69 for OU)
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It's no CHIRP/ORCHID, but I have my own little system.
It does not take into account previous wins/losses.
It does not take into account home/away team.
It does not take into account SOS
It is predominately based on YPP, PPP, and TO%
I only have data for all Big 12 teams, and all teams currently in the Coach's Top 25.
So therefore only Big 12 teams and Top 25 teams playing each other are in this predicto.
Welp here goes! :D
Texas 30
Oklahoma 32
Oklahoma State 42
Kansas 25
West Virginia 33
Texas Tech 37
Baylor 31
TCU 35
Stanford 19
Notre Dame 26
South Carolina 24
LSU 22
Texas A&M 41
Louisiana Tech 33
and finally....
Kansas State 31
Iowa State 21
:sdeek:
We definitely do NOT want WV to lose to TTech this week... see OU last year.
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It's no CHIRP/ORCHID, but I have my own little system.
It does not take into account previous wins/losses.
It does not take into account home/away team.
It does not take into account SOS
It is predominately based on YPP, PPP, and TO%
I only have data for all Big 12 teams, and all teams currently in the Coach's Top 25.
So therefore only Big 12 teams and Top 25 teams playing each other are in this predicto.
Welp here goes! :D
Texas 30
Oklahoma 32
Oklahoma State 42
Kansas 25
West Virginia 33
Texas Tech 37
Baylor 31
TCU 35
Stanford 19
Notre Dame 26
South Carolina 24
LSU 22
Texas A&M 41
Louisiana Tech 33
and finally....
Kansas State 31
Iowa State 21
:sdeek:
We definitely do NOT want WV to lose to TTech this week... see OU last year.
WVU is no 2011 OU.
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I think we will beat WVU regardless of what happens this week, but I would rather beat them when they are still in the top 5. Tech will be a tough game for them, though.
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I adjusted the predictor formula to be slightly closer to the rankings formula. It did not affect any outcomes, but the games got a little closer and slightly lower-scoring.
Texas 30
Oklahoma 31
Oklahoma State 40
Kansas 24
West Virginia 32
Texas Tech 35
Baylor 29
TCU 32
Stanford 17
Notre Dame 24
South Carolina 23
LSU 20
Texas A&M 39
Louisiana Tech 32
and finally...
Kansas State 30
Iowa State 19
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I adjusted the predictor formula to be slightly closer to the rankings formula. It did not affect any outcomes, but the games got a little closer and slightly lower-scoring.
Texas 30
Oklahoma 31
Oklahoma State 40
Kansas 24
West Virginia 32
Texas Tech 35
Baylor 29
TCU 32
Stanford 17
Notre Dame 24
South Carolina 23
LSU 20
Texas A&M 39
Louisiana Tech 32
and finally...
Kansas State 30
Iowa State 19
The teams I bolded are the ones that we really really want to win this weekend, right?
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I adjusted the predictor formula to be slightly closer to the rankings formula. It did not affect any outcomes, but the games got a little closer and slightly lower-scoring.
Texas 30
Oklahoma 31
Oklahoma State 40
Kansas 24
West Virginia 32
Texas Tech 35
Baylor 29
TCU 32
Stanford 17
Notre Dame 24
South Carolina 23
LSU 20
Texas A&M 39
Louisiana Tech 32
and finally...
Kansas State 30
Iowa State 19
The teams I bolded are the ones that we really really want to win this weekend, right?
Honestly I don't GAF about future Big 12 opponents winning/losing. We will settle it on the field. That said, mentally it would be better for WV to win, and probably for the perceived strength of the Big 12 for WV to win.
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omg wvu is going to blow dogshit tech out of the water. at least thats what my formula says.
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Texas 30
Oklahoma 31
Oklahoma State 40
Kansas 24
West Virginia 32
Texas Tech 35
Baylor 29
TCU 32
Stanford 17
Notre Dame 24
South Carolina 23
LSU 20
Texas A&M 39
Louisiana Tech 32
and finally...
Kansas State 30
Iowa State 19
:gocho:
mocat system went 7-1.
week 8 predicto and updated rankings coming soon