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TITLETOWN - A Decade Long Celebration Of The Greatest Achievement In College Athletics History => Kansas State Basketball is hard => Topic started by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2012, 11:45:33 AM

Title: EBS
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2012, 11:45:33 AM: Well, I'll be...

http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=2053

Quote
Want to figure out which bubble teams will make the NCAA tournament? You don't need to parse through every team's resume and try to understand the inner workings of the selection committee. Just follow this eight-word set of instructions:

Add a team's KenPom rank to their RPI.

I've chosen to call the resulting number the Easiest Bubble Solver, or EBS. Here's how the EBS has performed over the past five years:

2007: 62 of 65 (Old Dominion, Texas Tech, and Stanford instead of Air Force, Clemson, and Missouri State)

2008: 62 of 65 (Villanova, South Alabama, and Kentucky instead of Ohio State, Virginia Tech, and Illinois State)

2009: 63 of 65 (Maryland and Dayton instead of San Diego State and Florida)

2010: 64 of 65 (Florida instead of Virginia Tech)

2011: 66 of 68 (USC and VCU instead of Virginia Tech and Saint Mary's)

The Cats would be #36 in the EBS.
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: ChiComCat on February 06, 2012, 11:55:49 AM: missing 3 teams isn't necessarily all that impressive, seeing as about 55 or so or complete givens
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2012, 11:58:24 AM: Quote from: ChiCat on February 06, 2012, 11:55:49 AM
missing 3 teams isn't necessarily all that impressive, seeing as about 55 or so or complete givens

Using that simple of a formula it seems to be pretty good. :dunno:
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: ChiComCat on February 06, 2012, 12:00:50 PM: Quote from: ksu_FAN on February 06, 2012, 11:58:24 AM
Quote from: ChiCat on February 06, 2012, 11:55:49 AM
missing 3 teams isn't necessarily all that impressive, seeing as about 55 or so or complete givens

Using that simple of a formula it seems to be pretty good. :dunno:
Yea, I guess if they go straight formula and don't just put givens in, its not bad
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: ChiComCat on February 06, 2012, 12:02:23 PM: Assuming x number of one bid leagues getting in, where would you imagine 36 puts us? I would imagine on the better end of the bubble
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: kso_FAN on February 06, 2012, 12:08:13 PM: Quote from: ChiCat on February 06, 2012, 12:02:23 PM
Assuming x number of one bid leagues getting in, where would you imagine 36 puts us? I would imagine on the better end of the bubble

In really good shape at this moment. The in/out line is somewhere in the low 50s. A lot can/will change in the next month.
Title: Re: EBS
Post by: mocat on February 06, 2012, 12:23:46 PM: Virginia Tech :sdeek: