2014 Handicapping Thread -- Degenerates ONLY

[FadeMeAU]

Also, for those looking for more fade material, have at it.

Wazzu +17
Ga Tech -3
WVU -5.5
Memphis -8
Marshall -24.5
Indiana +3
UAB -6.5
Arkansas +9
Zona +2.5
Cuse +24

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Also, for those looking for more fade material, have at it.

Wazzu +17
Ga Tech -3
WVU -5.5
Memphis -8
Marshall -24.5
Indiana +3
UAB -6.5
Arkansas +9
Zona +2.5
Cuse +24

Good lookin' card, brotha.  Mathematically, the WVU game looks to be a no brainer and Tech is a dumpster fire.  The only challenge is that WVU hosts Baylor next week, so they *might* be peaking ahead a bit.   

Situationally, that Wazzu play looks very solid too.

[Winters]

Cuse might lose by 100

[cDubya]

Saw the WVU game was somewhere around 73pts. Seems like a trap, but with TT playing so poorly the under may be easy money.

[FadeMeAU]

Cuse might lose by 100

12:00 kick on the road the week before FSU's biggest game of the season. Looks like an excellent spot for a lackluster performance by a team who has struggled to put anyone away all season long. FSU fans seriously underestimated how much losing Jeremy Pruitt was going to impact their defense. That unit hasn't been nearly as strong this season, and the offense is really inconsistent.

Looks like the perfect trap cover game. But you're probably right, and Cuse will get freight trained in the dome.

['taterblast]

Saw the WVU game was somewhere around 73pts. Seems like a trap, but with TT playing so poorly the under may be easy money.

that's what i thought for TTU @ OSU

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Cuse might lose by 100

12:00 kick on the road the week before FSU's biggest game of the season. Looks like an excellent spot for a lackluster performance by a team who has struggled to put anyone away all season long. FSU fans seriously underestimated how much losing Jeremy Pruitt was going to impact their defense. That unit hasn't been nearly as strong this season, and the offense is really inconsistent.

Looks like the perfect trap cover game. But you're probably right, and Cuse will get freight trained in the dome.

1) Don't let Winters troll you.

2) All your points; very valid.

3) The best algo predictos I've seen have this as a 9-18 point game w the average sitting at 14.

4) All combined... good play on Cuse.

[The Tonya Harding of Twitter Users Creep]

really good troll, winters!

[Tobias]

The King

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Lee Sterling has released 24 "40/50unit" plays over the last 5 yrs going 22-2 on those plays.  One (BYU -2 vs UT) hit earlier this fall.

He has a 40 unit play just released on Miami FL this weekend for those interested.

['taterblast]

Missouri ML

Gurley suspended

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Missouri ML

Gurley suspended

I grabbed Mizzou +3 as soon as I heard and before it was taken off the board with the intention of middling it if there was excessive line adjustment when it reopens.  If not, I may just keep it.

[FadeMeAU]

Cuse might lose by 100

12:00 kick on the road the week before FSU's biggest game of the season. Looks like an excellent spot for a lackluster performance by a team who has struggled to put anyone away all season long. FSU fans seriously underestimated how much losing Jeremy Pruitt was going to impact their defense. That unit hasn't been nearly as strong this season, and the offense is really inconsistent.

Looks like the perfect trap cover game. But you're probably right, and Cuse will get freight trained in the dome.

1) Don't let Winters troll you.

2) All your points; very valid.

3) The best algo predictos I've seen have this as a 9-18 point game w the average sitting at 14.

4) All combined... good play on Cuse.

I been duped. Nice grab on that Mizzou line. They probably go back up on the board as a 1-2 point favorite.

[mocat]

if a game goes into overtime, the score at the end of regulation should be the one that counts for betting purposes 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

if a game goes into overtime, the score at the end of regulation should be the one that counts for betting purposes 

What's worse tho is a game that is 15-20 points below the total, then goes over after like 3 or 4 OT's.  Have you shared your score on Wazzu yet?  FadeMe may be on to something there....  Any line value by your numbers?

[mocat]

Washington State 17
Stanford 30

 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Washington State 17
Stanford 30

 

While I think that FadeMe is on the right side, I also think its a good line.   It looks like the bet is really more about whether the Cardinal can keep their focus after going to Notre Dame and before playing ASU.  No play for me.

[FadeMeAU]

Worried about that Wazzu play. The public is pounding them. Line down to +15.5.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Worried about that Wazzu play. The public is pounding them. Line down to +15.5.

If it gets to 15, could always buy to 14 at -130 and try to middle it on 15/16 with pushes on 14/17.  Pretty good upside with little risk.

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Here's this weeks card for those looking to fade:

Minnesota -3 
Temple -16.5 
Marshall -23.5 
'Cuse +24.5 
Dook +4 
BC +4.5 
Miami FL -13.5 
Kansas +21 
TCU +9 
UAB -6 
W. Mich PK 
Washington +4   
C. Mich +10   
Ga State +11 



Will likely make some small "entertainment plays" on the following:

aggy -2 
Miss State ML   
UCLA +3 

13-4 week.... Season now at 72-47-5

[mocat]

wow, great week 'imp.

Temple, wtf?? that was like, my most confident play 

[Bqqkie Pimp]

wow, great week 'imp.

Temple, wtf?? that was like, my most confident play 

Thanks, brother!!  Was a fun one... Let's find another batch of winners this week!

[Bqqkie Pimp]

This weeks card:

Pitt ML
Houston -8
Miami OH +12
W Mich ML
New Mexico +11
Alabama -11
Hawaii +7.5
Boston College +6

[cDubya]

Baylor -7 1/2, 80u...

[Bqqkie Pimp]

Baylor -7 1/2, 80u...

I don't know if I'll end up adding it cDub, but I lean hard to the 'eers this weekend.  Good luck, my dude.