My final predictions, based upon my highly sophisticated computer models, are that if the election were held today, Pubs have a 77.59% chance of holding the House with a net Dem gain of 18 seats. If this doesn’t come to pass, it is because the election is not until tomorrow, and I did say the Dems have a 22.41% chance.
On the Senate side, Pubs hold AZ and NV, and pick up ND, MO, IN, MT, and FL (margins biggest to smallest). (Oh - and I think DeSantis wins FL Gov, btw).
On the Kansas side, Yoder prevails in a squeaker and Your New Governor Kris Kobach wins by a fairly comfortable 4-5pts.
On the media coverage side, expect any Dem gains, large or small, to be breathlessly reported as a Major Rebuke to President Trump.
On the political side, the best outcomes for Dems would be either massive wave election gains of 40+ seats in the house, or to narrowly fail to capture the House. The worst outcomes would be for Pubs to gain house seats, or for the Dems t narrowly retake the House by less than 5 votes (giving them just enough control to go full battshit, but not enough to actually get anything meaningful passed).
