Author Topic: Blue wave/red wave 2018 midterms prediction thread, now add your own! (Read 24189 times)

star seed 7 · « **Reply #100 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:12:00 PM »

This is the first I've heard of removing voting from polling places. Are you talking about the Oregon model of mail in ballots or just something you read on breitbart?

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #101 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:26:22 PM »

Quote from: libliblibliblibliblib on October 31, 2018, 01:05:38 PM

Early voting totals, it could have been worded better

When they put the "total" between asterisks, kinda looked like they were emphasizing that "total" meant "total." I'm legitimately wondering if whatever dumb dumb tweeted that actually thinks that's what's happened. Problem with getting news by tweet.

star seed 7 · « **Reply #102 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:28:31 PM »

The problem was using a hashtagged word as part of the sentence, for some reason that's giving you a mental block

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #103 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:29:14 PM »

Quote from: libliblibliblibliblib on October 31, 2018, 01:12:00 PM

This is the first I've heard of removing voting from polling places. Are you talking about the Oregon model of mail in ballots or just something you read on breitbart?

I'm talking absentee voting (by mail), which I believe is now permitted in every state. In most states you don't even have to provide a reason you can't make it to the polls.

star seed 7 · « **Reply #104 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:31:04 PM »

Interesting definition of "removing voting from polling places", I'd more accurately describe it as alternatives to voting at a polling place

Rage Against the McKee · « **Reply #105 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:31:47 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 01:29:14 PM

Quote from: libliblibliblibliblib on October 31, 2018, 01:12:00 PM
This is the first I've heard of removing voting from polling places. Are you talking about the Oregon model of mail in ballots or just something you read on breitbart?

I'm talking absentee voting (by mail), which I believe is now permitted in every state. In most states you don't even have to provide a reason you can't make it to the polls.

I have no idea why this would be a concern. Sometimes you are just going to be out of town or be too busy to vote on election day.

sys · « **Reply #106 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:32:09 PM »

it took me like an hour to fill out my ballot and i used my computer frequently to research ballot measures and candidates. filling it out in person at a polling place would have been a nightmare and i'd have voted dumber.

ChiComCat · « **Reply #107 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:35:17 PM »

Quote from: sys on October 31, 2018, 01:32:09 PM

it took me like an hour to fill out my ballot and i used my computer frequently to research ballot measures and candidates. filling it out in person at a polling place would have been a nightmare and i'd have voted dumber.

I did the same when I lived in Colorado. I'm a big fan, particularly with lesser known ballot measures and candidates.

catastrophe · « **Reply #108 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:38:28 PM »

At least in the great state of TX you can print out a sample ballot based on your jurisdiction and then research in the comfort of your own home. I just take that in with me and copy the answers. It’s never taken me longer than 20 minutes to actually vote and that includes waiting in line.

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #109 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:38:50 PM »

I like vote by mail. I’m simply pointing out that if you’re worried that husbands are filling out ballots for their wives, as Dems evidently are, then it’s kinda weird to favor a voting mechanism that enables that.

_33 · « **Reply #110 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:40:47 PM »

Quote from: sys on October 31, 2018, 01:32:09 PM

it took me like an hour to fill out my ballot and i used my computer frequently to research ballot measures and candidates. filling it out in person at a polling place would have been a nightmare and i'd have voted dumber.

An hour?! Goodness. I usually don't even sit down.

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #111 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:41:45 PM »

I’m all over the place today, but one of the bigger surprises to me this election cycle is I kinda assumed the KC Star was gonna drop at least one more Propublica-written hit piece against Kobach in late October. Maybe this guy is cleaner than I thought.

star seed 7 · « **Reply #112 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:44:43 PM »

Much like trump, Kobach is his own hit piece

chum1 · « **Reply #113 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:51:06 PM »

I voted at the local Board of Elections today. No line. Whole thing took five minutes.

Total no-brainer issues. Reduced state sentences for drug offenses and a liquor license for a local business. YES and YES!

star seed 7 · « **Reply #114 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:54:49 PM »

MO ballot is huge this cycle, the state is cautioning to allow 40-60 minutes just to fill it out, and with no early voting the lines are already guaranteed to be long. I'm guessing at least 2 hours for me Tuesday

ChiComCat · « **Reply #115 on:** October 31, 2018, 01:58:25 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 01:38:50 PM

I like vote by mail. I’m simply pointing out that if you’re worried that husbands are filling out ballots for their wives, as Dems evidently are, then it’s kinda weird to favor a voting mechanism that enables that.

I don't think there is a concern that husbands are literally filing out the ballot for their wives. I think they mean that white married women tend to vote the way their husband wants or for his best interest, and not necessarily their own.

I haven't dove into it enough to see how they discern this, but I don't think anyone is saying there needs to be a systemic solution to this. The solution would be in using this information to campaign more effectively.

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #116 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:09:40 PM »

Quote from: ChiCat on October 31, 2018, 01:58:25 PM

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 01:38:50 PM
I like vote by mail. I’m simply pointing out that if you’re worried that husbands are filling out ballots for their wives, as Dems evidently are, then it’s kinda weird to favor a voting mechanism that enables that.
I don't think there is a concern that husbands are literally filing out the ballot for their wives. I think they mean that white married women tend to vote the way their husband wants or for his best interest, and not necessarily their own.

I haven't dove into it enough to see how they discern this, but I don't think anyone is saying there needs to be a systemic solution to this. The solution would be in using this information to campaign more effectively.

Well if that's the case, then I am shocked - shocked - that one spouse might follow the other spouse's lead, particularly if one spouse thinks it's to the economic advantage of the primary bread-winning spouse.

And seriously, I don't think it's a stretch of the imagination that one spouse fills out the ballot (hopefully at least with consent) for the other - this probably happens quite often.

chum1 · « **Reply #117 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:13:07 PM »

KSUW apparently has many things he'd like to get off his chest. Goodness.

star seed 7 · « **Reply #118 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:14:03 PM »

Is that what happens at your house?

steve dave · « **Reply #119 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:14:45 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 02:09:40 PM

Quote from: ChiCat on October 31, 2018, 01:58:25 PM
Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 01:38:50 PM
I like vote by mail. I’m simply pointing out that if you’re worried that husbands are filling out ballots for their wives, as Dems evidently are, then it’s kinda weird to favor a voting mechanism that enables that.
I don't think there is a concern that husbands are literally filing out the ballot for their wives. I think they mean that white married women tend to vote the way their husband wants or for his best interest, and not necessarily their own.

I haven't dove into it enough to see how they discern this, but I don't think anyone is saying there needs to be a systemic solution to this. The solution would be in using this information to campaign more effectively.

Well if that's the case, then I am shocked - shocked - that one spouse might follow the other spouse's lead, particularly if one spouse thinks it's to the economic advantage of the primary bread-winning spouse. And seriously, I don't think it's a stretch of the imagination that one spouse fills out the ballot (hopefully at least with consent) for the other - this probably happens quite often.

lmao

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

sys · « **Reply #120 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:20:50 PM »

Quote from: libliblibliblibliblib on October 31, 2018, 01:05:38 PM

Early voting totals, it could have been worded better

speaking of which:

https://twitter.com/mcpli/status/1057698731666165761

worth pointing out that texas 2018 turnout is weird (big) compared to most states and also that 2014 turnout is weird (small) compared to most midterms.

sys · « **Reply #121 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:22:54 PM »

on the same theme, this is a good thread where nate cohn talks about how so far the early voting appears to be in line with their turnout models for states.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1057692219669446656

LickNeckey · « **Reply #122 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:24:53 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 02:09:40 PM

Quote from: ChiCat on October 31, 2018, 01:58:25 PM
Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 01:38:50 PM
I like vote by mail. I’m simply pointing out that if you’re worried that husbands are filling out ballots for their wives, as Dems evidently are, then it’s kinda weird to favor a voting mechanism that enables that.
I don't think there is a concern that husbands are literally filing out the ballot for their wives. I think they mean that white married women tend to vote the way their husband wants or for his best interest, and not necessarily their own.

I haven't dove into it enough to see how they discern this, but I don't think anyone is saying there needs to be a systemic solution to this. The solution would be in using this information to campaign more effectively.

Well if that's the case, then I am shocked - shocked - that one spouse might follow the other spouse's lead, particularly if one spouse thinks it's to the economic advantage of the primary bread-winning spouse. And seriously, I don't think it's a stretch of the imagination that one spouse fills out the ballot (hopefully at least with consent) for the other - this probably happens quite often.

my wife asked me how she should vote today

(odd coincidence)

K-S-U-Wildcats! · « **Reply #123 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:26:27 PM »

Quote from: libliblibliblibliblib on October 31, 2018, 02:14:03 PM

Is that what happens at your house?

My wife asked me to but I refused out of principle. Pretty sure she did sneak a peek at mine when she filled hers out. (My wife also thinks the suffrage movement was probably a mistake overall

)

ChiComCat · « **Reply #124 on:** October 31, 2018, 02:29:40 PM »

Quote from: K-S-U-Wildcats! on October 31, 2018, 02:26:27 PM

(My wife also thinks the suffrage movement was probably a mistake overall )