Total Members Voted: 11
Voting closed: January 20, 2021, 01:42:57 PM
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Might break 600
past 520K. 540 - 560 looks like a safe bet at this point
Quote from: 8manpick on February 26, 2021, 12:51:30 PMMight break 6007 day moving average is around 2,000 deaths per day so deaths would need to start trending back up for that to happen (I suck at stats but I think that is right).
went over 540k today. we're almost certain to get over 560k before the end of the month. i'm a little surprised at how slowly deaths have come down, especially given that vaccine distribution has surprised to the upside.
yeah, there's a lag in death reporting, but afaik, there isn't anything about that lag that has recently changed.
Quote from: sys on March 10, 2021, 12:08:09 AMyeah, there's a lag in death reporting, but afaik, there isn't anything about that lag that has recently changed.There are people who got infected in January that are still hospitalized so the lag in time from infection to death plays a role - probably more than time from death to time that death is reported. Per COVID Tracking Project, we are about to drop under 40K Americans hospitalized. Smallville, KS hospital has not had a positive test in their lab for over a week.
looks like were going to land in the 560 - 580K slot.
congratulations to the 560-580'ers. the majority were too optimistic on this one.
Quote from: sys on March 28, 2021, 02:39:16 PMcongratulations to the 560-580'ers. the majority were too optimistic on this one. Gonna take a (tragic) victory lap on this one. Curious to know what happened in Czech Republic. They were very early adopters of masks and had great numbers last spring.
Can I crap post a stupid take here? If masks produced the same outcomes as the AZ vaccine, I'd be happier today.
So does this thing hit 600k when it's all said and done? Has to right?
it's amazing how many countries are getting close to having had 1 out of every 500 residents die from covid over the last fourteen months.
Quote from: sys on April 28, 2021, 06:26:01 PMit's amazing how many countries are getting close to having had 1 out of every 500 residents die from covid over the last fourteen months.Yeah but how many of those people got hit by a train while also having covid?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk