Date: 24/08/25 - 18:47 PM   48060 Topics and 694399 Posts

Author Topic: I've been reading Pomeroy's blog, and I'm getting hooked.  (Read 828 times)

February 27, 2007, 10:41:46 AM
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michigancat

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    You can't be racist and like basketball.
So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

OSU:
                       
Quote
   Correlations
                        to OE       to DE
                 Pace:  +0.33       -0.21

                 eFG%: +0.83*      -0.66*
                  OR%:  +0.63*      -0.18
                  TO%:  -0.28       -0.04
                  FTR:  +0.07       -0.10

             Opp eFG%:  -0.63*      +0.66*
              Opp OR%:  +0.03       +0.20
              Opp TO%:  +0.18       -0.57*
              Opp FTR:  -0.15       +0.35

             Bold  values are significant with a 95% confidence
             Bold* values are significant with a 99% confidence

KSU:

Quote
                          Correlations
                        to OE       to DE
                 Pace:  -0.11       -0.04

                 eFG%:  +0.80*      -0.02
                  OR%:  +0.31       -0.23
                  TO%:  -0.33       -0.40
                  FTR:  +0.23       -0.02

             Opp eFG%:  -0.10       +0.85*
              Opp OR%:  +0.30       +0.11
              Opp TO%:  -0.16       -0.56*
              Opp FTR:  -0.40       +0.25

The game plan shows which phases affect a team's offensive and defensive efficiency most.  Shooting % obviously has the biggest effect on just about every team, but for KSU, our next most important factor is creating turnovers.  He explains it a little more here.

http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/game_plan/

Interesting thing about OSU:  How well they shoot has a large effect on how well they play defense, and how well their opponents shoot has a large effect on how well they play offense.  In other words, we need to shoot well tonight.

Riveting stuff from this Pomeroy guy.
« Last Edit: February 27, 2007, 10:47:19 AM by Rusty »

February 27, 2007, 10:43:05 AM
Reply #1

kougar24

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    shame on you, non-believers

February 27, 2007, 10:45:37 AM
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ksu_FAN

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So do you own this Oliver guy's book?  I'm already assuming sys has it memorized. :)

February 27, 2007, 10:47:57 AM
Reply #3

michigancat

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He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

So do you own this Oliver guy's book?  I'm already assuming sys has it memorized. :)

I might need to get it.

February 27, 2007, 10:50:21 AM
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ksu_FAN

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It sounds interesting.  And Oliver actually played ball at Cal Tech. 

February 27, 2007, 10:54:37 AM
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kougar24

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    shame on you, non-believers

February 27, 2007, 10:56:33 AM
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AzCat

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He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

Isn't he a meteorologist or something?  He does the hoops stuff when he gets home to his parents basement after a long day of working on wrong forecasts.
Ladies & gentlemen, I present: The Problem

February 27, 2007, 10:59:00 AM
Reply #7

michigancat

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    You can't be racist and like basketball.
I would love to do what he does full time.

You are a huge nerd.



He is a huge nerd.

I would love to do what he does full time.

Isn't he a meteorologist or something?  He does the hoops stuff when he gets home to his parents basement after a long day of working on wrong forecasts.

Yeah, I'd still love to do that full time.  Like the nerds that Billy Beane hired or something.

February 27, 2007, 11:03:04 AM
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ksu_FAN

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Yeah, he works for the National Weather Service.  The basketball stats stuff is just his hobby, not sure if he gets paid or not.  Glad he hasn't sold out and made his stuff subscription based. 

Quote
"There's more money in weather," Pomeroy said. "If somebody was willing to pay, basketball would be full time and weather would be my hobby."

February 27, 2007, 11:03:51 AM
Reply #9

kougar24

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    shame on you, non-believers
My avatar > Rusty's avatar, which is the worst relic from the worst period in Kansas State basketball.

February 27, 2007, 11:10:55 AM
Reply #10

michigancat

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    You can't be racist and like basketball.
Yeah, he works for the National Weather Service.  The basketball stats stuff is just his hobby, not sure if he gets paid or not.  Glad he hasn't sold out and made his stuff subscription based. 

Quote
"There's more money in weather," Pomeroy said. "If somebody was willing to pay, basketball would be full time and weather would be my hobby."

The guy should be making a little cash off his website.

February 27, 2007, 11:49:15 AM
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fatty fat fat

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    The very best.
It is a tragedy because now, we have at least an extra month without Cat football until next year. I hate wasting my life away but I can hardly wait until next year.

February 27, 2007, 02:45:13 PM
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sys

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So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

check out the consistency rankings for both ksu and osu.  also, osu turns the ball over a ton.
"these are no longer “games” in the commonly accepted sense of the term. these are free throw shooting contests leavened by the occasional sprint to the other end of the floor."

February 27, 2007, 03:51:17 PM
Reply #13

michigancat

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    You can't be racist and like basketball.
So, I looked at the "game plans" for KSU and OSU.

check out the consistency rankings for both ksu and osu.  also, osu turns the ball over a ton.

They're also lucky.

February 27, 2007, 04:20:58 PM
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KState25

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February 27, 2007, 04:23:56 PM
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fatty fat fat

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If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.
It is a tragedy because now, we have at least an extra month without Cat football until next year. I hate wasting my life away but I can hardly wait until next year.

February 27, 2007, 04:25:29 PM
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sys

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If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.

pomeroy on football = trips  :lick:
"these are no longer “games” in the commonly accepted sense of the term. these are free throw shooting contests leavened by the occasional sprint to the other end of the floor."

February 27, 2007, 04:27:21 PM
Reply #17

fatty fat fat

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If pomeroy did football, the 2002 and 2003 KSU football teams would both be national champs.

pomeroy on football = trips  :lick:

I wish you'd appreciate how incredibly dominating those football teams were. Every game we won was a 30+ blowout, and our 6 losses over those two years were by a combined 29 points.
It is a tragedy because now, we have at least an extra month without Cat football until next year. I hate wasting my life away but I can hardly wait until next year.

February 27, 2007, 04:38:49 PM
Reply #18

sys

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I wish you'd appreciate how incredibly dominating those football teams were. Every game we won was a 30+ blowout, and our 6 losses over those two years were by a combined 29 points.

i´ll try really hard to care.
"these are no longer “games” in the commonly accepted sense of the term. these are free throw shooting contests leavened by the occasional sprint to the other end of the floor."

February 27, 2007, 04:40:07 PM
Reply #19

fatty fat fat

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you've been miserable these past 20 years, haven't you?
It is a tragedy because now, we have at least an extra month without Cat football until next year. I hate wasting my life away but I can hardly wait until next year.

February 27, 2007, 04:41:56 PM
Reply #20

sys

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"these are no longer “games” in the commonly accepted sense of the term. these are free throw shooting contests leavened by the occasional sprint to the other end of the floor."